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Wrap | Machine Learning Everywhere 2018


 

>> Narrator: Live from New York, it's theCUBE. Covering machine learning everywhere. Build your ladder to AI. Brought to you by IBM. >> Welcome back to IBM's Machine Learning Everywhere. Build your ladder to AI, along with Dave Vellante, John Walls here, wrapping up here in New York City. Just about done with the programming here in Midtown. Dave, let's just take a step back. We've heard a lot, seen a lot, talked to a lot of folks today. First off, tell me, AI. We've heard some optimistic outlooks, some, I wouldn't say pessimistic, but some folks saying, "Eh, hold off." Not as daunting as some might think. So just your take on the artificial intelligence conversation we've heard so far today. >> I think generally, John, that people don't realize what's coming. I think the industry, in general, our industry, technology industry, the consumers of technology, the businesses that are out there, they're steeped in the past, that's what they know. They know what they've done, they know the history and they're looking at that as past equals prologue. Everybody knows that's not the case, but I think it's hard for people to envision what's coming, and what the potential of AI is. Having said that, Jennifer Shin is a near-term pessimist on the potential for AI, and rightly so. There are a lot of implementation challenges. But as we said at the open, I'm very convinced that we are now entering a new era. The Hadoop big data industry is going to pale in comparison to what we're seeing. And we're already seeing very clear glimpses of it. The obvious things are Airbnb and Uber, and the disruptions that are going on with Netflix and over-the-top programming, and how Google has changed advertising, and how Amazon is changing and has changed retail. But what you can see, and again, the best examples are Apple getting into financial services, moving into healthcare, trying to solve that problem. Amazon buying a grocer. The rumor that I heard about Amazon potentially buying Nordstrom, which my wife said is a horrible idea. (John laughs) But think about the fact that they can do that is a function of, that they are a digital-first company. Are built around data, and they can take those data models and they can apply it to different places. Who would have thought, for example, that Alexa would be so successful? That Siri is not so great? >> Alexa's become our best friend. >> And it came out of the blue. And it seems like Google has a pretty competitive piece there, but I can almost guarantee that doing this with our thumbs is not the way in which we're going to communicate in the future. It's going to be some kind of natural language interface that's going to rely on artificial intelligence and machine learning and the like. And so, I think it's hard for people to envision what's coming, other than fast forward where machines take over the world and Stephen Hawking and Elon Musk say, "Hey, we should be concerned." Maybe they're right, not in the next 10 years. >> You mentioned Jennifer, we were talking about her and the influencer panel, and we've heard from others as well, it's a combination of human intelligence and artificial intelligence. That combination's more powerful than just artificial intelligence, and so, there is a human component to this. So, for those who might be on the edge of their seat a little bit, or looking at this from a slightly more concerning perspective, maybe not the case. Maybe not necessary, is what you're thinking. >> I guess at the end of the day, the question is, "Is the world going to be a better place with all this AI? "Are we going to be more prosperous, more productive, "healthier, safer on the roads?" I am an optimist, I come down on the side of yes. I would not want to go back to the days where I didn't have GPS. That's worth it to me. >> Can you imagine, right? If you did that now, you go back five years, just five years from where we are now, back to where we were. Waze was nowhere, right? >> All the downside of these things, I feel is offset by that. And I do think it's incumbent upon the industry to try to deal with the problem, especially with young people, the blue light problem. >> John: The addictive issue. >> That's right. But I feel like those downsides are manageable, and the upsides are of enough value that society is going to continue to move forward. And I do think that humans and machines are going to continue to coexist, at least in the near- to mid- reasonable long-term. But the question is, "What can machines "do that humans can't do?" And "What can humans do that machines can't do?" And the answer to that changes every year. It's like I said earlier, not too long ago, machines couldn't climb stairs. They can now, robots can climb stairs. Can they negotiate? Can they identify cats? Who would've imagined that all these cats on the Internet would've led to facial recognition technology. It's improving very, very rapidly. So, I guess my point is that that is changing very rapidly, and there's no question it's going to have an impact on society and an impact on jobs, and all those other negative things that people talk about. To me, the key is, how do we embrace that and turn it into an opportunity? And it's about education, it's about creativity, it's about having multi-talented disciplines that you can tap. So we talked about this earlier, not just being an expert in marketing, but being an expert in marketing with digital as an understanding in your toolbox. So it's that two-tool star that I think is going to emerge. And maybe it's more than two tools. So that's how I see it shaping up. And the last thing is disruption, we talked a lot about disruption. I don't think there's any industry that's safe. Colin was saying, "Well, certain industries "that are highly regulated-" In some respects, I can see those taking longer. But I see those as the most ripe for disruption. Financial services, healthcare. Can't we solve the HIPAA challenge? We can't get access to our own healthcare information. Well, things like artificial intelligence and blockchain, we were talking off-camera about blockchain, those things, I think, can help solve the challenge of, maybe I can carry around my health profile, my medical records. I don't have access to them, it's hard to get them. So can things like artificial intelligence improve our lives? I think there's no question about it. >> What about, on the other side of the coin, if you will, the misuse concerns? There are a lot of great applications. There are a lot of great services. As you pointed out, a lot of positive, a lot of upside here. But as opportunities become available and technology develops, that you run the risk of somebody crossing the line for nefarious means. And there's a lot more at stake now because there's a lot more of us out there, if you will. So, how do you balance that? >> There's no question that's going to happen. And it has to be managed. But even if you could stop it, I would say you shouldn't because the benefits are going to outweigh the risks. And again, the question we asked the panelists, "How far can we take machines? "How far can we go?" That's question number one, number two is, "How far should we go?" We're not even close to the "should we go" yet. We're still on the, "How far can we go?" Jennifer was pointing out, I can't get my password reset 'cause I got to call somebody. That problem will be solved. >> So, you're saying it's more of a practical consideration now than an ethical one, right now? >> Right now. Moreso, and there's certainly still ethical considerations, don't get me wrong, but I see light at the end of the privacy tunnel, I see artificial intelligence as, well, analytics is helping us solve credit card fraud and things of that nature. Autonomous vehicles are just fascinating, right? Both culturally, we talked about that, you know, we learned how to drive a stick shift. (both laugh) It's a funny story you told me. >> Not going to worry about that anymore, right? >> But it was an exciting time in our lives, so there's a cultural downside of that. I don't know what the highway death toll number is, but it's enormous. If cell phones caused that many deaths, we wouldn't be using them. So that's a problem that I think things like artificial intelligence and machine intelligence can solve. And then the other big thing that we talked about is, I see a huge gap between traditional companies and these born-in-the-cloud, born-data-oriented companies. We talked about the top five companies by market cap. Microsoft, Amazon, Facebook, Alphabet, which is Google, who am I missing? >> John: Apple. >> Apple, right. And those are pretty much very much data companies. Apple's got the data from the phones, Google, we know where they get their data, et cetera, et cetera. Traditional companies, however, their data resides in silos. Jennifer talked about this, Craig, as well as Colin. Data resides in silos, it's hard to get to. It's a very human-driven business and the data is bolted on. With the companies that we just talked about, it's a data-driven business, and the humans have expertise to exploit that data, which is very important. So there's a giant skills gap in existing companies. There's data silos. The other thing we touched on this is, where does innovation come from? Innovation drives value drives disruption. So the innovation comes from data. He or she who has the best data wins. It comes from artificial intelligence, and the ability to apply artificial intelligence and machine learning. And I think something that we take for granted a lot, but it's cloud economics. And it's more than just, and somebody, one of the folks mentioned this on the interview, it's more than just putting stuff in the cloud. It's certainly managed services, that's part of it. But it's also economies of scale. It's marginal economics that are essentially zero. It's speed, it's low latency. It's, and again, global scale. You combine those things, data, artificial intelligence, and cloud economics, that's where the innovation is going to come from. And if you think about what Uber's done, what Airbnb have done, where Waze came from, they were picking and choosing from the best digital services out there, and then developing their own software from this, what I say my colleague Dave Misheloff calls this matrix. And, just to repeat, that matrix is, the vertical matrix is industries. The horizontal matrix are technology platforms, cloud, data, mobile, social, security, et cetera. They're building companies on top of that matrix. So, it's how you leverage the matrix is going to determine your future. Whether or not you get disrupted, whether your the disruptor or the disruptee. It's not just about, we talked about this at the open. Cloud, SaaS, mobile, social, big data. They're kind of yesterday's news. It's now new artificial intelligence, machine intelligence, deep learning, machine learning, cognitive. We're still trying to figure out the parlance. You could feel the changes coming. I think this matrix idea is very powerful, and how that gets leveraged in organizations ultimately will determine the levels of disruption. But every single industry is at risk. Because every single industry is going digital, digital allows you to traverse industries. We've said it many times today. Amazon went from bookseller to content producer to grocer- >> John: To grocer now, right? >> To maybe high-end retailer. Content company, Apple with Apple Pay and companies getting into healthcare, trying to solve healthcare problems. The future of warfare, you live in the Beltway. The future of warfare and cybersecurity are just coming together. One of the biggest issues I think we face as a country is we have fake news, we're seeing the weaponization of social media, as James Scott said on theCUBE. So, all these things are coming together that I think are going to make the last 10 years look tame. >> Let's just switch over to the currency of AI, data. And we've talked to, Sam Lightstone today was talking about the database querying that they've developed with the Plex product. Some fascinating capabilities now that make it a lot richer, a lot more meaningful, a lot more relevant. And that seems to be, really, an integral step to making that stuff come alive and really making it applicable to improving your business. Because they've come up with some fantastic new ways to squeeze data that's relevant out, and get it out to the user. >> Well, if you think about what I was saying earlier about data as a foundational core and human expertise around it, versus what most companies are, is human expertise with data bolted on or data in silos. What was interesting about Queryplex, I think they called it, is it essentially virtualizes the data. Well, what does that mean? That means i can have data in place, but I can have access to that data, I can democratize that data, make it accessible to people so that they can become data-driven, data is the core. Now, what I don't know, and I don't know enough, just heard about it today, I missed that announcement, I think they announced it a year ago. He mentioned DB2, he mentioned Netezza. Most of the world is not on DB2 and Netezza even though IBM customers are. I think they can get to Hadoop data stores and other data stores, I just don't know how wide that goes, what the standards look like. He joked about the standards as, the great thing about standards is- >> There are a lot of 'em. (laughs) >> There's always another one you can pick if this one fails. And he's right about that. So, that was very interesting. And so, this is again, the question, can traditional companies close that machine learning, machine intelligence, AI gap? Close being, close the gap that the big five have created. And even the small guys, small guys like Uber and Airbnb, and so forth, but even those guys are getting disrupted. The Airbnbs and the Ubers, right? Again, blockchain comes in and you say, "Why do I need a trusted third party called Uber? "Why can't I do this on the blockchain?" I predict you're going to see even those guys get disrupted. And I'll say something else, it's hard to imagine that a Google or a Facebook can be unseated. But I feel like we may be entering an era where this is their peak. Could be wrong, I'm an Apple customer. I don't know, I'm not as enthralled as I used to be. They got trillions in the bank. But is it possible that opensource and blockchain and the citizen developer, the weekend and nighttime developers, can actually attack that engine of growth for the last 10 years, 20 years, and really break that monopoly? The Internet has basically become an oligopoly where five companies, six companies, whatever, 10 companies kind of control things. Is it possible that opensource software, AI, cryptography, all this activity could challenge the status quo? Being in this business as long as I have, things never stay the same. Leaders come, leaders go. >> I just want to say, never say never. You don't know. >> So, it brings it back to IBM, which is interesting to me. It was funny, I was asking Rob Thomas a question about disruption, and I think he misinterpreted it. I think he was thinking that I was saying, "Hey, you're going to get disrupted by all these little guys." IBM's been getting disrupted for years. They know how to reinvent. A lot of people criticize IBM, how many quarters they haven't had growth, blah, blah, blah, but IBM's made some big, big bets on the future. People criticizing Watson, but it's going to be really interesting to see how all this investment that IBM has made is going to pay off. They were early on. People in the Valley like to say, "Well, the Facebooks, and even Amazon, "Google, they got the best AI. "IBM is not there with them." But think about what IBM is trying to do versus what Google is doing. They're very consumer-oriented, solving consumer problems. Consumers have really led the consumerization of IT, that's true, but none of those guys are trying to solve cancer. So IBM is talking about some big, hairy, audacious goals. And I'm not as pessimistic as some others you've seen in the trade press, it's popular to do. So, bringing it back to IBM, I saw IBM as trying to disrupt itself. The challenge IBM has, is it's got a lot of legacy software products that have purchased over the years. And it's got to figure out how to get through those. So, things like Queryplex allow them to create abstraction layers. Things like Bluemix allow them to bring together their hundreds and hundreds and hundreds of SaaS applications. That takes time, but I do see IBM making some big investments to disrupt themselves. They've got a huge analytics business. We've been covering them for quite some time now. They're a leader, if not the leader, in that business. So, their challenge is, "Okay, how do we now "apply all these technologies to help "our customers create innovation?" What I like about the IBM story is they're not out saying, "We're going to go disrupt industries." Silicon Valley has a bifurcated disruption agenda. On the one hand, they're trying to, cloud, and SaaS, and mobile, and social, very disruptive technologies. On the other hand, is Silicon Valley going to disrupt financial services, healthcare, government, education? I think they have plans to do so. Are they going to be able to execute that dual disruption agenda? Or are the consumers of AI and the doers of AI going to be the ones who actually do the disrupting? We'll see, I mean, Uber's obviously disrupted taxis, Silicon Valley company. Is that too much to ask Silicon Valley to do? That's going to be interesting to see. So, my point is, IBM is not trying to disrupt its customers' businesses, and it can point to Amazon trying to do that. Rather, it's saying, "We're going to enable you." So it could be really interesting to see what happens. You're down in DC, Jeff Bezos spent a lot of time there at the Washington Post. >> We just want the headquarters, that's all we want. We just want the headquarters. >> Well, to the point, if you've got such a growing company monopoly, maybe you should set up an HQ2 in DC. >> Three of the 20, right, for a DC base? >> Yeah, he was saying the other day that, maybe we should think about enhancing, he didn't call it social security, but the government, essentially, helping people plan for retirement and the like. I heard that and said, "Whoa, is he basically "telling us he's going to put us all out of jobs?" (both laugh) So, that, if I'm a customer of Amazon's, I'm kind of scary. So, one of the things they should absolutely do is spin out AWS, I think that helps solve that problem. But, back to IBM, Ginni Rometty was very clear at the World of Watson conference, the inaugural one, that we are not out trying to compete with our customers. I would think that resonates to a lot of people. >> Well, to be continued, right? Next month, back with IBM again? Right, three days? >> Yeah, I think third week in March. Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, theCUBE's going to be there. Next week we're in the Bahamas. This week, actually. >> Not as a group taking vacation. Actually a working expedition. >> No, it's that blockchain conference. Actually, it's this week, what am I saying next week? >> Although I'm happy to volunteer to grip on that shoot, by the way. >> Flying out tomorrow, it's happening fast. >> Well, enjoyed this, always good to spend time with you. And good to spend time with you as well. So, you've been watching theCUBE, machine learning everywhere. Build your ladder to AI. Brought to you by IBM. Have a good one. (techno music)

Published Date : Feb 27 2018

SUMMARY :

Brought to you by IBM. talked to a lot of folks today. and they can apply it to different places. And so, I think it's hard for people to envision and so, there is a human component to this. I guess at the end of the day, the question is, back to where we were. to try to deal with the problem, And the answer to that changes every year. What about, on the other side of the coin, because the benefits are going to outweigh the risks. of the privacy tunnel, I see artificial intelligence as, And then the other big thing that we talked about is, And I think something that we take that I think are going to make the last 10 years look tame. And that seems to be, really, an integral step I can democratize that data, make it accessible to people There are a lot of 'em. The Airbnbs and the Ubers, right? I just want to say, never say never. People in the Valley like to say, We just want the headquarters, that's all we want. Well, to the point, if you've got such But, back to IBM, Ginni Rometty was very clear Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, theCUBE's going to be there. Actually a working expedition. No, it's that blockchain conference. to grip on that shoot, by the way. And good to spend time with you as well.

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Machine Learning Panel | Machine Learning Everywhere 2018


 

>> Announcer: Live from New York, it's theCUBE. Covering machine learning everywhere. Build your ladder to AI. Brought to you by IBM. Welcome back to New York City. Along with Dave Vellante, I'm John Walls. We continue our coverage here on theCUBE of machine learning everywhere. Build your ladder to AI, IBM our host here today. We put together, occasionally at these events, a panel of esteemed experts with deep perspectives on a particular subject. Today our influencer panel is comprised of three well-known and respected authorities in this space. Glad to have Colin Sumpter here with us. He's the man with the mic, by the way. He's going to talk first. But, Colin is an IT architect with CrowdMole. Thank you for being with us, Colin. Jennifer Shin, those of you on theCUBE, you're very familiar with Jennifer, a long time Cuber. Founded 8 Path Solutions, on the faculty at NYU and Cal Berkeley, and also with us is Craig Brown, a big data consultant. And a home game for all of you guys, right, more or less here we are in the city. So, thanks for having us, we appreciate the time. First off, let's just talk about the title of the event, Build Your Path... Or Your Ladder, excuse me, to AI. What are those steps on that ladder, Colin? The fundamental steps that you've got to jump on, or step on, in order to get to that true AI environment? >> In order to get to that true AI environment, John, is a matter of mastering or organizing your information well enough to perform analytics. That'll give you two choices to do either linear regression or supervised classification, and then you actually have enough organized data to talk to your team and organize your team around that data to begin that ladder to successively benefit from your data science program. >> Want to take a stab at it, Jennifer? >> So, I would say, compute, right? You need to have the right processing, or at least the ability to scale out to be able to process the algorithm fast enough to be able to find value in your data. I think the other thing is, of course, the data source itself. Do you have right data to answer the questions you want to answer? So, I think, without those two things, you'll either have a lot of great data that you can't process in time, or you'll have a great process or a great algorithm that has no real information, so your output is useless. I think those are the fundamental things you really do need to have any sort of AI solution built. >> I'll take a stab at it from the business side. They have to adopt it first. They have to believe that this is going to benefit them and that the effort that's necessary in order to build into the various aspects of algorithms and data subjects is there, so I think adopting the concept of machine learning and the development aspects that it takes to do that is a key component to building the ladder. >> So this just isn't toe in the water, right? You got to dive in the deep end, right? >> Craig: Right. >> It gets to culture. If you look at most organizations, not the big five market capped companies, but most organizations, data is not at their core. Humans are at their core, human expertise and data is sort of bolted on, but that has to change, or they're going to get disrupted. Data has to be at the core, maybe the human expertise leverages that data. What do you guys seeing with end customers in terms of their readiness for this transformation? >> What I'm seeing customers spending time right now is getting out of the silos. So, when you speak culture, that's primarily what the culture surrounds. They develop applications with functionality as a silo, and data specific to that functionality is the component in which they look at data. They have to get out of that mindset and look at the data holistically, and ultimately, in these events, looking at it as an asset. >> The data is a shared resource. >> Craig: Right, correct. >> Okay, and again, with the exception of the... Whether it's Google, Facebook, obviously, but the Ubers, the AirBNB's, etc... With the exception of those guys, most customers aren't there. Still, the data is in silos, they've got myriad infrastructure. Your thoughts, Jennifer? >> I'm also seeing sort of a disconnect between the operationalizing team, the team that runs these codes, or has a real business need for it, and sometimes you'll see corporations with research teams, and there's sort of a disconnect between what the researchers do and what these operations, or marketing, whatever domain it is, what they're doing in terms of a day to day operation. So, for instance, a researcher will look really deep into these algorithms, and may know a lot about deep learning in theory, in theoretical world, and might publish a paper that's really interesting. But, that application part where they're actually being used every day, there's this difference there, where you really shouldn't have that difference. There should be more alignment. I think actually aligning those resources... I think companies are struggling with that. >> So, Colin, we were talking off camera about RPA, Robotic Process Automation. Where's the play for machine intelligence and RPA? Maybe, first of all, you could explain RPA. >> David, RPA stands for Robotic Process Automation. That's going to enable you to grow and scale a digital workforce. Typically, it's done in the cloud. The way RPA and Robotic Process Automation plays into machine learning and data science, is that it allows you to outsource business processes to compensate for the lack of human expertise that's available in the marketplace, because you need competency to enable the technology to take advantage of these new benefits coming in the market. And, when you start automating some of these processes, you can keep pace with the innovation in the marketplace and allow the human expertise to gradually grow into these new data science technologies. >> So, I was mentioning some of the big guys before. Top five market capped companies: Google, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Microsoft, all digital. Microsoft you can argue, but still, pretty digital, pretty data oriented. My question is about closing that gap. In your view, can companies close that gap? How can they close that gap? Are you guys helping companies close that gap? It's a wide chasm, it seems. Thoughts? >> The thought on closing the chasm is... presenting the technology to the decision-makers. What we've learned is that... you don't know what you don't know, so it's impossible to find the new technologies if you don't have the vocabulary to just begin a simple research of these new technologies. And, to close that gap, it really comes down to the awareness, events like theCUBE, webinars, different educational opportunities that are available to line of business owners, directors, VP's of systems and services, to begin that awareness process, finding consultants... begin that pipeline enablement to begin allowing the business to take advantage and harness data science, machine learning and what's coming. >> One of the things I've noticed is that there's a lot of information out there, like everyone a webinar, everyone has tutorials, but there's a lot of overlap. There aren't that many very sophisticated documents you can find about how to implement it in real world conditions. They all tend to use the same core data set, a lot of these machine learning tutorials you'll find, which is hilarious because the data set's actually very small. And I know where it comes from, just from having the expertise, but it's not something I'd ever use in the real world. The level of skill you need to be able to do any of these methodologies. But that's what's out there. So, there's a lot of information, but they're kind of at a rudimentary level. They're not really at that sophisticated level where you're going to learn enough to deploy in real world conditions. One of the things I'm noticing is, with the technical teams, with the data science team, machine learning teams, they're kind of using the same methodologies I used maybe 10 years ago. Because the management who manage these teams are not technical enough. They're business people, so they don't understand how to guide them, how to explain hey maybe you shouldn't do that with your code, because that's actually going to cause a problem. You should use parallel code, you should make sure everything is running in parallel so compute's faster. But, if these younger teams are actually learning for the first time, they make the same mistakes you made 10 years ago. So, I think, what I'm noticing is that lack of leadership is partly one of the reasons, and also the assumption that a non-technical person can lead the technical team. >> So, it's just not skillset on the worker level, if you will. It's also knowledge base on the decision-maker level. That's a bad place to be, right? So, how do you get into the door to a business like that? Obviously, and we've talked about this a little bit today, that some companies say, "We're not data companies, we're not digital companies, we sell widgets." Well, yeah but you sell widgets and you need this to sell more widgets. And so, how do you get into the door and talk about this problem that Jennifer just cited? You're signing the checks, man. You're going to have to get up to speed on this otherwise you're not going to have checks to sign in three to five years, you're done! >> I think that speaks to use cases. I think that, and what I'm actually saying at customers, is that there's a disconnect and an understanding from the executive teams and the low-level technical teams on what the use case actually means to the business. Some of the use cases are operational in nature. Some of the use cases are data in nature. There's no real conformity on what does the use case mean across the organization, and that understanding isn't there. And so, the CIO's, the CEO's, the CTO's think that, "Okay, we're going to achieve a certain level of capability if we do a variety of technological things," and the business is looking to effectively improve some or bring some efficiency to business processes. At each level within the organization, the understanding is at the level at which the discussions are being made. And so, I'm in these meetings with senior executives and we have lots of ideas on how we can bring efficiencies and some operational productivity with technology. And then we get in a meeting with the data stewards and "What are these guys talking about? They don't understand what's going on at the data level and what data we have." And then that's where the data quality challenges come into the conversation, so I think that, to close that cataclysm, we have to figure out who needs to be in the room to effectively help us build the right understanding around the use cases and then bring the technology to those use cases then actually see within the organization how we're affecting that. >> So, to change the questioning here... I want you guys to think about how capable can we make machines in the near term, let's talk next decade near term. Let's say next decade. How capable can we make machines and are there limits to what we should do? >> That's a tough one. Although you want to go next decade, we're still faced with some of the challenges today in terms of, again, that adoption, the use case scenarios, and then what my colleagues are saying here about the various data challenges and dev ops and things. So, there's a number of things that we have to overcome, but if we can get past those areas in the next decade, I don't think there's going to be much of a limit, in my opinion, as to what the technology can do and what we can ask the machines to produce for us. As Colin mentioned, with RPA, I think that the capability is there, right? But, can we also ultimately, as humans, leverage that capability effectively? >> I get this question a lot. People are really worried about AI and robots taking over, and all of that. And I go... Well, let's think about the example. We've all been online, probably over the weekend, maybe it's 3 or 4 AM, checking your bank account, and you get an error message your password is wrong. And we swear... And I've been there where I'm like, "No, no my password's right." And it keeps saying that the password is wrong. Of course, then I change it, and it's still wrong. Then, the next day when I login, I can login, same password, because they didn't put a great error message there. They just defaulted to wrong password when it's probably a server that's down. So, there are these basics or processes that we could be improving which no one's improving. So you think in that example, how many customer service reps are going to be contacted to try to address that? How many IT teams? So, for every one of these bad technologies that are out there, or technologies that are not being run efficiently or run in a way that makes sense, you actually have maybe three people that are going to be contacted to try to resolve an issue that actually maybe could have been avoided to begin with. I feel like it's optimistic to say that robots are going to take over, because you're probably going to need more people to put band-aids on bad technology and bad engineering, frankly. And I think that's the reality of it. If we had hoverboards, that would be great, you know? For a while, we thought we did, right? But we found out, oh it's not quite hoverboards. I feel like that might be what happens with AI. We might think we have it, and then go oh wait, it's not really what we thought it was. >> So there are real limits, certainly in the near to mid to maybe even long term, that are imposed. But you're an optimist. >> Yeah. Well, not so much with AI but everything else, sure. (laughing) AI, I'm a little bit like, "Well, it would be great, but I'd like basic things to be taken care of every day." So, I think the usefulness of technology is not something anyone's talking about. They're talking about this advancement, that advancement, things people don't understand, don't know even how to use in their life. Great, great is an idea. But, what about useful things we can actually use in our real life? >> So block and tackle first, and then put some reverses in later, if you will, to switch over to football. We were talking about it earlier, just about basics. Fundamentals, get your fundamentals right and then you can complement on that with supplementary technologies. Craig, Colin? >> Jen made some really good points and brought up some very good points, and so has... >> John: Craig. >> Craig, I'm sorry. (laughing) >> Craig: It's alright. >> 10 years out, Jen and Craig spoke to false positives. And false positives create a lot of inefficiency in businesses. So, when you start using machine learning and AI 10 years from now, maybe there's reduced false positives that have been scored in real time, allowing teams not to have their time consumed and their business resources consumed trying to resolve false positives. These false positives have a business value that, today, some businesses might not be able to record. In financial services, banks count money not lended. But, in every day business, a lot of businesses aren't counting the monetary consequences of false positives and the drag it has on their operational ability and capacity. >> I want to ask you guys about disruption. If you look at where the disruption, the digital disruptions, have taken place, obviously retail, certainly advertising, certainly content businesses... There are some industries that haven't been highly disruptive: financial services, insurance, we were talking earlier about aerospace, defense rather. Is any business, any industry, safe from digital disruption? >> There are. Certain industries are just highly regulated: healthcare, financial services, real estate, transactional law... These are very extremely regulated technologies, or businesses, that are... I don't want to say susceptible to technology, but they can be disrupted at a basic level, operational efficiency, to make these things happen, these business processes happen more rapidly, more accurately. >> So you guys buy that? There's some... I'd like to get a little debate going here. >> So, I work with the government, and the government's trying to change things. I feel like that's kind of a sign because they tend to be a little bit slower than, say, other private industries, or private companies. They have data, they're trying to actually put it into a system, meaning like if they have files... I think that, at some point, I got contacted about putting files that they found, like birth records, right, marriage records, that they found from 100-plus years ago and trying to put that into the system. By the way, I did look into it, there was no way to use AI for that, because there was no standardization across these files, so they have half a million files, but someone's probably going to manually have to enter that in. The reality is, I think because there's a demand for having things be digital, we aren't likely to see a decrease in that. We're not going to have one industry that goes, "Oh, your files aren't digital." Probably because they also want to be digital. The companies themselves, the employees themselves, want to see that change. So, I think there's going to be this continuous move toward it, but there's the question of, "Are we doing it better?" It is better than, say, having it on paper sometimes? Because sometimes I just feel like it's easier on paper than to have to look through my phone, look through the app. There's so many apps now! >> (laughing) I got my index cards cards still, Jennifer! Dave's got his notebook! >> I'm not sure I want my ledger to be on paper... >> Right! So I think that's going to be an interesting thing when people take a step back and go like, "Is this really better? Is this actually an improvement?" Because I don't think all things are better digital. >> That's a great question. Will the world be a better, more prosperous place... Uncertain. Your thoughts? >> I think the competition is probably the driver as to who has to this now, who's not safe. The organizations that are heavily regulated or compliance-driven can actually use that as the reasoning for not jumping into the barrel right now, and letting it happen in other areas first, watching the technology mature-- >> Dave: Let's wait. >> Yeah, let's wait, because that's traditionally how they-- >> Dave: Good strategy in your opinion? >> It depends on the entity but I think there's nothing wrong with being safe. There's nothing wrong with waiting for a variety of innovations to mature. What level of maturity, I think, is the perspective that probably is another discussion for another day, but I think that it's okay. I don't think that everyone should jump in. Get some lessons learned, watch how the other guys do it. I think that safety is in the eyes of the beholder, right? But some organizations are just competition fierce and they need a competitive edge and this is where they get it. >> When you say safety, do you mean safety in making decisions, or do you mean safety in protecting data? How are you defining safety? >> Safety in terms of when they need to launch, and look into these new technologies as a basis for change within the organization. >> What about the other side of that point? There's so much more data about it, so much more behavior about it, so many more attitudes, so on and so forth. And there is privacy issues and security issues and all that... Those are real challenges for any company, and becoming exponentially more important as more is at stake. So, how do companies address that? That's got to be absolutely part of their equation, as they decide what these future deployments are, because they're going to have great, vast reams of data, but that's a lot of vulnerability too, isn't it? >> It's as vulnerable as they... So, from an organizational standpoint, they're accustomed to these... These challenges aren't new, right? We still see data breaches. >> They're bigger now, right? >> They're bigger, but we still see occasionally data breaches in organizations where we don't expect to see them. I think that, from that perspective, it's the experiences of the organizations that determine the risks they want to take on, to a certain degree. And then, based on those risks, and how they handle adversity within those risks, from an experience standpoint they know ultimately how to handle it, and get themselves to a place where they can figure out what happened and then fix the issues. And then the others watch while these risk-takers take on these types of scenarios. >> I want to underscore this whole disruption thing and ask... We don't have much time, I know we're going a little over. I want to ask you to pull out your Hubble telescopes. Let's make a 20 to 30 year view, so we're safe, because we know we're going to be wrong. I want a sort of scale of 1 to 10, high likelihood being 10, low being 1. Maybe sort of rapid fire. Do you think large retail stores are going to mostly disappear? What do you guys think? >> I think the way that they are structured, the way that they interact with their customers might change, but you're still going to need them because there are going to be times where you need to buy something. >> So, six, seven, something like that? Is that kind of consensus, or do you feel differently Colin? >> I feel retail's going to be around, especially fashion because certain people, and myself included, I need to try my clothes on. So, you need a location to go to, a physical location to actually feel the material, experience the material. >> Alright, so we kind of have a consensus there. It's probably no. How about driving-- >> I was going to say, Amazon opened a book store. Just saying, it's kind of funny because they got... And they opened the book store, so you know, I think what happens is people forget over time, they go, "It's a new idea." It's not so much a new idea. >> I heard a rumor the other day that their next big acquisition was going to be, not Neiman Marcus. What's the other high end retailer? >> Nordstrom? >> Nordstrom, yeah. And my wife said, "Bad idea, they'll ruin it." Will driving and owning your own car become an exception? >> Driving and owning your own car... >> Dave: 30 years now, we're talking. >> 30 years... Sure, I think the concept is there. I think that we're looking at that. IOT is moving us in that direction. 5G is around the corner. So, I think the makings of it is there. So, since I can dare to be wrong, yeah I think-- >> We'll be on 10G by then anyway, so-- >> Automobiles really haven't been disrupted, the car industry. But you're forecasting, I would tend to agree. Do you guys agree or no, or do you think that culturally I want to drive my own car? >> Yeah, I think people, I think a couple of things. How well engineered is it? Because if it's badly engineered, people are not going to want to use it. For instance, there are people who could take public transportation. It's the same idea, right? Everything's autonomous, you'd have to follow in line. There's going to be some system, some order to it. And you might go-- >> Dave: Good example, yeah. >> You might go, "Oh, I want it to be faster. I don't want to be in line with that autonomous vehicle. I want to get there faster, get there sooner." And there are people who want to have that control over their lives, but they're not subject to things like schedules all the time and that's their constraint. So, I think if the engineering is bad, you're going to have more problems and people are probably going to go away from wanting to be autonomous. >> Alright, Colin, one for you. Will robots and maybe 3D printing, for example RPA, will it reverse the trend toward offshore manufacturing? >> 30 years from now, yes. I think robotic process engineering, eventually you're going to be at your cubicle or your desk, or whatever it is, and you're going to be able to print office supplies. >> Do you guys think machines will make better diagnoses than doctors? Ohhhhh. >> I'll take that one. >> Alright, alright. >> I think yes, to a certain degree, because if you look at the... problems with diagnosis, right now they miss it and I don't know how people, even 30 years from now, will be different from that perspective, where machines can look at quite a bit of data about a patient in split seconds and say, "Hey, the likelihood of you recurring this disease is nil to none, because here's what I'm basing it on." I don't think doctors will be able to do that. Now, again, daring to be wrong! (laughing) >> Jennifer: Yeah so--6 >> Don't tell your own doctor either. (laughing) >> That's true. If anything happens, we know, we all know. I think it depends. So maybe 80%, some middle percentage might be the case. I think extreme outliers, maybe not so much. You think about anything that's programmed into an algorithm, someone probably identified that disease, a human being identified that as a disease, made that connection, and then it gets put into the algorithm. I think what w6ll happen is that, for the 20% that isn't being done well by machine, you'll have people who are more specialized being able to identify the outlier cases from, say, the standard. Normally, if you have certain symptoms, you have a cold, those are kind of standard ones. If you have this weird sort of thing where there's n6w variables, environmental variables for instance, your environment can actually lead to you having cancer. So, there's othe6 factors other than just your body and your health that's going to actually be important to think about wh6n diagnosing someone. >> John: Colin, go ahead. >> I think machines aren't going to out-decision doctors. I think doctors are going to work well the machine learning. For instance, there's a published document of Watson doing the research of a team of four in 10 minutes, when it normally takes a month. So, those doctors,6to bring up Jen and Craig's point, are going to have more time to focus in on what the actual symptoms are, to resolve the outcome of patient care and patient services in a way that benefits humanity. >> I just wish that, Dave, that you would have picked a shorter horizon that... 30 years, 20 I feel good about our chances of seeing that. 30 I'm just not so sure, I mean... For the two old guys on the panel here. >> The consensus is 20 years, not so much. But beyond 10 years, a lot's going to change. >> Well, thank you all for joining this. I always enjoy the discussions. Craig, Jennifer and Colin, thanks for being here with us here on theCUBE, we appreciate the time. Back with more here from New York right after this. You're watching theCUBE. (upbeat digital music)

Published Date : Feb 27 2018

SUMMARY :

Brought to you by IBM. enough organized data to talk to your team and organize or at least the ability to scale out to be able to process and that the effort that's necessary in order to build but that has to change, or they're going to get disrupted. and data specific to that functionality but the Ubers, the AirBNB's, etc... I think companies are struggling with that. Maybe, first of all, you could explain RPA. and allow the human expertise to gradually grow Are you guys helping companies close that gap? presenting the technology to the decision-makers. how to guide them, how to explain hey maybe you shouldn't You're going to have to get up to speed on this and the business is looking to effectively improve some and are there limits to what we should do? I don't think there's going to be much of a limit, that are going to be contacted to try to resolve an issue certainly in the near to mid to maybe even long term, but I'd like basic things to be taken care of every day." in later, if you will, to switch over to football. and brought up some very good points, and so has... Craig, I'm sorry. and the drag it has on their operational ability I want to ask you guys about disruption. operational efficiency, to make these things happen, I'd like to get a little debate going here. So, I think there's going to be this continuous move ledger to be on paper... So I think that's going to be an interesting thing Will the world be a better, more prosperous place... as to who has to this now, who's not safe. It depends on the entity but I think and look into these new technologies as a basis That's got to be absolutely part of their equation, they're accustomed to these... and get themselves to a place where they can figure out I want to ask you to pull out your Hubble telescopes. because there are going to be times I feel retail's going to be around, Alright, so we kind of have a consensus there. I think what happens is people forget over time, I heard a rumor the other day that their next big Will driving and owning your own car become an exception? So, since I can dare to be wrong, yeah I think-- or do you think that culturally I want to drive my own car? There's going to be some system, some order to it. going to go away from wanting to be autonomous. Alright, Colin, one for you. be able to print office supplies. Do you guys think machines will make "Hey, the likelihood of you recurring this disease Don't tell your own doctor either. being able to identify the outlier cases from, say, I think doctors are going to work well the machine learning. I just wish that, Dave, that you would have picked The consensus is 20 years, not so much. I always enjoy the discussions.

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Garry Kasparov | Machine Learning Everywhere 2018


 

>> [Narrator] Live from New York, it's theCube, covering Machine Learning Everywhere. Build your ladder to AI, brought to you by IBM. >> Welcome back here to New York City as we continue at IBM's Machine Learning Everywhere, build your ladder to AI, along with Dave Vellante, I'm John Walls. It is now a great honor of ours to have I think probably and arguably the greatest chess player of all time, Garry Kasparov now joins us. He's currently the chairman of the Human Rights Foundation, political activist in Russia as well some time ago. Thank you for joining us, we really appreciate the time, sir. >> Thank you for inviting me. >> We've been looking forward to this. Let's just, if you would, set the stage for us. Artificial Intelligence obviously quite a hot topic. The maybe not conflict, the complementary nature of human intelligence. There are people on both sides of the camp. But you see them as being very complementary to one another. >> I think that's natural development in this industry that will bring together humans and machines. Because this collaboration will produce the best results. Our abilities are complementary. The humans will bring creativity and intuition and other typical human qualities like human judgment and strategic vision while machines will add calculation, memory, and many other abilities that they have been acquiring quickly. >> So there's room for both, right? >> Yes, I think it's inevitable because no machine will ever reach 100% perfection. Machines will be coming closer and closer, 90%, 92, 94, 95. But there's still room for humans because at the end of the day even with this massive power you have guide it. You have to evaluate the results and at the end of the day the machine will never understand when it reaches the territory of diminishing returns. It's very important for humans actually to identify. So what is the task? I think it's a mistake that is made by many pundits that they automatically transfer the machine's expertise for the closed systems into the open-ended systems. Because in every closed system, whether it's the game of chess, the game of gall, video games like daughter, or anything else where humans already define the parameters of the problem, machines will perform phenomenally. But if it's an open-ended system then machine will never identify what is the sort of the right question to be asked. >> Don't hate me for this question, but it's been reported, now I don't know if it's true or not, that at one point you said that you would never lose to a machine. My question is how capable can we make machines? First of all, is that true? Did you maybe underestimate the power of computers? How capable to you think we can actually make machines? >> Look, in the 80s when the question was asked I was much more optimistic because we saw very little at that time from machines that could make me, world champion at the time, worry about machines' capability of defeating me in the real chess game. I underestimated the pace it was developing. I could see something was happening, was cooking, but I thought it would take longer for machines to catch up. As I said in my talk here is that we should simply recognize the fact that everything we do while knowing how we do that, machines will do better. Any particular task that human perform, machine will eventually surpass us. >> What I love about your story, I was telling you off-camera about when we had Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee on, you're the opposite of Samuel P. Langley to me. You know who Samuel P. Langley is? >> No, please. >> Samuel P. Langley, do you know who Samuel P. Langley is? He was the gentleman that, you guys will love this, that the government paid. I think it was $50,000 at the time, to create a flying machine. But the Wright Brothers beat him to it, so what did Samuel P. Langley do after the Wright Brothers succeeded? He quit. But after you lost to the machine you said you know what? I can beat the machine with other humans, and created what is now the best chess player in the world, is my understanding. It's not a machine, but it's a combination of machines and humans. Is that accurate? >> Yes, in chess actually, we could demonstrate how the collaboration can work. Now in many areas people rely on the lessons that have been revealed, learned from what I call advanced chess. That in this team, human plus machine, the most important element of success is not the strengths of the human expert. It's not the speed of the machine, but it's a process. It's an interface, so how you actually make them work together. In the future I think that will be the key of success because we have very powerful machine, those AIs, intelligent algorithms. All of them will require very special treatment. That's why also I use this analogy with the right fuel for Ferrari. We will have expert operators, I call them the shepherds, that will have to know exactly what are the requirements of this machine or that machine, or that group of algorithms to guarantee that we'll be able by our human input to compensate for their deficiencies. Not the other way around. >> What let you to that response? Was it your competitiveness? Was it your vision of machines and humans working together? >> I thought I could last longer as the undefeated world champion. Ironically, 1997 when you just look at the game and the quality of the game and try to evaluate the Deep Blue real strengths, I think I was objective, I was stronger. Because today you can analyze these games with much more powerful computers. I mean any chess app on your laptop. I mean you cannot really compare with Deep Blue. That's natural progress. But as I said, it's not about solving the game, it's not about objective strengths. It's about your ability to actually perform at the board. I just realized while we could compete with machines for few more years, and that's great, it did take place. I played two more matches in 2003 with German program. Not as publicized as IBM match. Both ended as a tie and I think they were probably stronger than Deep Blue, but I knew it would just be over, maybe a decade. How can we make chess relevant? For me it was very natural. I could see this immense power of calculations, brute force. On the other side I could see us having qualities that machines will never acquire. How about bringing together and using chess as a laboratory to find the most productive ways for human-machine collaboration? >> What was the difference in, I guess, processing power basically, or processing capabilities? You played the match, this is 1997. You played the match on standard time controls which allow you or a player a certain amount of time. How much time did Deep Blue, did the machine take? Or did it take its full time to make considerations as opposed to what you exercised? >> Well it's the standard time control. I think you should explain to your audience at that time it was seven hours game. It's what we call classical chess. We have rapid chess that is under one hour. Then you have blitz chess which is five to ten minutes. That was a normal time control. It's worth mentioning that other computers they were beating human players, myself included, in blitz chess. In the very fast chess. We still thought that more time was more time we could have sort of a bigger comfort zone just to contemplate the machine's plans and actually to create real problems that machine would not be able to solve. Again, more time helps humans but at the end of the day it's still about your ability not to crack under pressure because there's so many things that could take you off your balance, and machine doesn't care about it. At the end of the day machine has a steady hand, and steady hand wins. >> Emotion doesn't come into play. >> It's not about apps and strength, but it's about guaranteeing that it will play at a certain level for the entire game. While human game maybe at one point it could go a bit higher. But at the end of the day when you look at average it's still lower. I played many world championship matches and I analyze the games, games played at the highest level. I can tell you that even the best games played by humans at the highest level, they include not necessarily big mistakes, but inaccuracies that are irrelevant when humans facing humans because I make a mistake, tiny mistake, then I can expect you to return the favor. Against the machine it's just that's it. Humans cannot play at the same level throughout the whole game. The concentration, the vigilance are now required when humans face humans. Psychologically when you have a strong machine, machine's good enough to play with a steady hand, the game's over. >> I want to point out too, just so we get the record straight for people who might not be intimately familiar with your record, you were ranked number one in the world from 1986 to 2005 for all but three months. Three months, that's three decades. >> Two decades. >> Well 80s, 90s, and naughts, I'll give you that. (laughing) That's unheard of, that's phenomenal. >> Just going back to your previous question about why I just look for some new form of chess. It's one of the key lessons I learned from my childhood thanks to my mother who spent her live just helping me to become who I am, who I was after my father died when I was seven. It's about always trying to make the difference. It's not just about winning, it's about making a difference. It led me to kind of a new motto in my professional life. That is it's all about my own quality of the game. As long as I'm challenging my own excellence I will never be short of opponents. For me the defeat was just a kick, a push. So let's come up with something new. Let's find a new challenge. Let's find a way to turn this defeat, the lessons from this defeat into something more practical. >> Love it, I mean I think in your book I think, was it John Henry, the famous example. (all men speaking at once) >> He won, but he lost. >> Motivation wasn't competition, it was advancing society and creativity, so I love it. Another thing I just want, a quick aside, you mentioned performing under pressure. I think it was in the 1980s, it might have been in the opening of your book. You talked about playing multiple computers. >> [Garry] Yeah, in 1985. >> In 1985 and you were winning all of them. There was one close match, but the computer's name was Kasparov and you said I've got to beat this one because people will think that it's rigged or I'm getting paid to do this. So well done. >> It's I always mention this exhibition I played in 1985 against 32 chess-playing computers because it's not the importance of this event was not just I won all the games, but nobody was surprised. I have to admit that the fact that I could win all the games against these 32 chess-playing computers they're only chess-playing machine so they did nothing else. Probably boosted my confidence that I would never be defeated even by more powerful machines. >> Well I love it, that's why I asked the question how far can we take machines? We don't know, like you said. >> Why should we bother? I see so many new challenges that we will be able to take and challenges that we abandoned like space exploration or deep ocean exploration because they were too risky. We couldn't actually calculate all the odds. Great, now we have AI. It's all about increasing our risk because we could actually measure against this phenomenal power of AI that will help us to find the right pass. >> I want to follow up on some other commentary. Brynjolfsson and McAfee basically put forth the premise, look machines have always replaced humans. But this is the first time in history that they have replaced humans in the terms of cognitive tasks. They also posited look, there's no question that it's affecting jobs. But they put forth the prescription which I think as an optimist you would agree with, that it's about finding new opportunities. It's about bringing creativity in, complementing the machines and creating new value. As an optimist, I presume you would agree with that. >> Absolutely, I'm always saying jobs do not disappear, they evolve. It's an inevitable part of the technological progress. We come up with new ideas and every disruptive technology destroys some industries but creates new jobs. So basically we see jobs shifting from one industry to another. Like from agriculture, manufacture, from manufacture to other sectors, cognitive tasks. But now there will be something else. I think the market will change, the job market will change quite dramatically. Again I believe that we will have to look for riskier jobs. We will have to start doing things that we abandoned 30, 40 years ago because we thought they were too risky. >> Back to the book you were talking about, deep thinking or machine learning, or machine intelligence ends and human intelligence begins, you talked about courage. We need fail safes in place, but you also need that human element of courage like you said, to accept risk and take risk. >> Now it probably will be easier, but also as I said the machine's wheel will force a lot of talent actually to move into other areas that were not as attractive because there were other opportunities. There's so many what I call raw cognitive tasks that are still financially attractive. I hope and I will close many loops. We'll see talent moving into areas where we just have to open new horizons. I think it's very important just to remember it's the technological progress especially when you're talking about disruptive technology. It's more about unintended consequences. The fly to the moon was just psychologically it's important, the Space Race, the Cold War. But it was about also GPS, about so many side effects that in the 60s were not yet appreciated but eventually created the world we have now. I don't know what the consequences of us flying to Mars. Maybe something will happen, one of the asteroids will just find sort of a new substance that will replace fossil fuel. What I know, it will happen because when you look at the human history there's all this great exploration. They ended up with unintended consequences as the main result. Not what was originally planned as the number one goal. >> We've been talking about where innovation comes from today. It's a combination of a by-product out there. A combination of data plus being able to apply artificial intelligence. And of course there's cloud economics as well. Essentially, well is that reasonable? I think about something you said, I believe, in the past that you didn't have the advantage of seeing Deep Blue's moves, but it had the advantage of studying your moves. You didn't have all the data, it had the data. How does data fit into the future? >> Data is vital, data is fuel. That's why I think we need to find some of the most effective ways of collaboration between humans and machines. Machines can mine the data. For instance, it's a breakthrough in instantly mining data and human language. Now we could see even more effective tools to help us to mine the data. But at the end of the day it's why are we doing that? What's the purpose? What does matter to us, so why do we want to mine this data? Why do we want to do here and not there? It seems at first sight that the human responsibilities are shrinking. I think it's the opposite. We don't have to move too much but by the tiny shift, just you know percentage of a degree of an angle could actually make huge difference when this bullet reaches the target. The same with AI. More power actually offers opportunities to start just making tiny adjustments that could have massive consequences. >> Open up a big, that's why you like augmented intelligence. >> I think artificial is sci-fi. >> What's artificial about it, I don't understand. >> Artificial, it's an easy sell because it's sci-fi. But augmented is what it is because our intelligent machines are making us smarter. Same way as the technology in the past made us stronger and faster. >> It's not artificial horsepower. >> It's created from something. >> Exactly, it's created from something. Even if the machines can adjust their own code, fine. It still will be confined within the parameters of the tasks. They cannot go beyond that because again they can only answer questions. They can only give you answers. We provide the questions so it's very important to recognize that it is we will be in the leading role. That's why I use the term shepherds. >> How do you spend your time these days? You're obviously writing, you're speaking. >> Writing, speaking, traveling around the world because I have to show up at many conferences. The AI now is a very hot topic. Also as you mentioned I'm the Chairman of Human Rights Foundation. My responsibilities to help people who are just dissidents around the world who are fighting for their principles and for freedom. Our organization runs the largest dissident gathering in the world. It's called the Freedom Forum. We have the tenth anniversary, tenth event this May. >> It has been a pleasure. Garry Kasparov, live on theCube. Back with more from New York City right after this. (lively instrumental music)

Published Date : Feb 27 2018

SUMMARY :

Build your ladder to AI, brought to you by IBM. He's currently the chairman of the Human Rights Foundation, The maybe not conflict, the complementary nature that will bring together humans and machines. of the day even with this massive power you have guide it. How capable to you think we can actually make machines? recognize the fact that everything we do while knowing P. Langley to me. But the Wright Brothers beat him to it, In the future I think that will be the key of success the Deep Blue real strengths, I think I was objective, as opposed to what you exercised? I think you should explain to your audience But at the end of the day when you look at average you were ranked number one in the world from 1986 to 2005 Well 80s, 90s, and naughts, I'll give you that. For me the defeat was just a kick, a push. Love it, I mean I think in your book I think, in the opening of your book. was Kasparov and you said I've got to beat this one the importance of this event was not just I won We don't know, like you said. I see so many new challenges that we will be able Brynjolfsson and McAfee basically put forth the premise, Again I believe that we will have to look Back to the book you were talking about, deep thinking the machine's wheel will force a lot of talent but it had the advantage of studying your moves. But at the end of the day it's why are we doing that? But augmented is what it is because to recognize that it is we will be in the leading role. How do you spend your time these days? We have the tenth anniversary, tenth event this May. Back with more from New York City right after this.

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Madhu Kochar, IBM | Machine Learning Everywhere 2018


 

>> Announcer: Live from New York, it's theCUBE covering Machine Learning Everywhere, Build Your Ladder To AI, brought to you by IBM. (techy music playing) >> Welcome back to New York City as we continue here at IBM's Machine Learning Everywhere, Build Your Ladder To AI bringing it to you here on theCUBE, of course the rights to the broadcast of SiliconANGLE Media and Dave Vellante joins me here. Dave, good morning once again to you, sir. >> Hey, John, good to see you. >> And we're joined by Madhu Kochar, who is the Vice President of Analytics Development and Client Success at IBM, I like that, client success. Good to see you this morning, thanks for joining us. >> Yeah, thank you. >> Yeah, so let's bring up a four letter / ten letter word, governance, that some people just cringe, right, right away, but that's very much in your wheelhouse. Let's talk about that in terms of what you're having to be aware of today with data and all of a sudden these great possibilities, right, but also on the other side, you've got to be careful, and I know there's some clouds over in Europe as well, but let's just talk about your perspective on governance and how it's important to get it all under one umbrella. >> Yeah, so I lead product development for IBM analytics, governance, and integration, and like you said, right, governance has... Every time you talk that, people cringe and you think it's a dirty word, but it's not anymore, right. Especially when you want to tie your AI ladder story, right, there is no AI without information architecture, no AI without IA, and if you think about IA, what does that really mean? It means the foundation of that is data and analytics. Now, let's look deeper, what does that really mean, what is data analytics? Data is coming at us from everywhere, right, and there's records... The data shows there's about 2.5 quintillion bytes of data getting generated every single day, raw data from everywhere. How are we going to make sense out of it, right, and from that perspective it is just so important that you understand this type of data, what is the type of data, what's the classification of this means in a business. You know, when you are running your business, there's a lot of cryptic fields out there, what is the business terms assigned to it and what's the lineage of it, where did it come from. If you do have to do any analytics, if data scientists have to do any analytics on it they need to understand where did it actually originated from, can I even trust this data. Trust is really, really important here, right, and is the data clean, what is the quality of this data. The data is coming at us all raw formats from IOT sensors and such. What is the quality of this data? To me, that is the real definition of governance. Right, it's not just about what we used to think about compliance, yes, that's-- >> John: Like rolling a rag. >> Right, right. >> But it's all about being appropriate with all the data you have coming in. >> Exactly, I call it governance 2.0 or governance for insights, because that's what it needs to be all about. Right, compliance, yes indeed, with GDPR and other things coming at us it's important, but I think the most critical is that we have to change the term of governance into, like, this is that foundation for your AI ladder that is going to help us really drive the right insights, that's my perspective. >> I want to double click on that because you're right, I mean, it is kind of governance 2.0. It used to be, you know, Enron forced a lot of, you know, governance and the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure forced a lot of sort of even some artificial governance, and then I think organization, especially public companies and large organizations said, "You know what, we can't just do "this as a band-aid every time." You know, now GDPR, many companies are not ready for GDPR, we know that. Having said that, because it is, went through governance 1.0, many companies are not panicked. I mean, they're kind of panicking because May is coming, (laughs) but they've been through this before. >> Madhu: Mm-hm. >> Do you agree with that premise, that they've got at least the skillsets and the professionals to, if they focus, they can get there pretty quickly? >> Yeah, no, I agree with that, but I think our technology and tools needs to change big time here, right, because regulations are coming at us from all different angles. Everybody's looking to cut costs, right? >> Dave: Right. >> You're not going to hire more people to sit there and classify the data and say, "Hey, is this data ready for GDPR," or for Basel or for POPI, like in South Africa. I mean, there's just >> Dave: Yeah. >> Tons of things, right, so I do think the technology needs to change, and that's why, you know, in our governance portfolio, in IBM information server, we have infused machine learning in it, right, >> Dave: Hm. >> Where it's automatically you have machine learning algorithms and models understanding your data, classifying the data. You know, you don't need humans to sit there and assign terms, the business terms to it. We have compliance built into our... It's running actually on machine learning. You can feed in taxonomy for GDPR. It would automatically tag your data in your catalog and say, "Hey, this is personal data, "this is sensitive data, or this data "is needed for these type of compliance," and that's the aspect which I think we need to go focus on >> Dave: Mm-hm. >> So the companies, to your point, don't shrug every time they hear regulations, that it's kind of built in-- >> Right. >> In the DNA, but technologies have to change, the tools have to change. >> So, to me that's good news, if you're saying the technology and the tools is the gap. You know, we always talk about people, process, and technology the bromide is, but it's true, people and process are the really-- >> Madhu: Mm-hm. >> Hard pieces of it. >> Madhu: Mm-hm. >> Technology comes and goes >> Madhu: Mm-hm. >> And people kind of generally get used to that. So, I'm inferring from your comments that you feel as though governance, there's a value component of governance now >> Yeah, yeah. >> It's not just a negative risk avoidance. It can be a contributor to value. You mentioned the example of classification, which I presume is auto-classification >> Madhu: Yes. >> At the point of use or creation-- >> Madhu: Yes. >> Which has been a real nagging problem for decades, especially after FRCP, Federal Rules of Civil Procedure, where it was like, "Ugh, we can't figure "this out, we'll do email archiving." >> Madhu: Mm-hm. >> You can't do this manually, it's just too much data-- >> Yeah. >> To your point, so I wonder if you could talk a little bit about governance and its contribution to value. >> Yeah, so this is good question. I was just recently visiting some large banks, right, >> Dave: Mm-hm. >> And normally, the governance and compliance has always been an IT job, right? >> Dave: Right. >> And they figure out bunch of products, you know, you can download opensource and do other things to quickly deliver data or insights to their business groups, right, and for business to further figure out new business models and such, right. So, recently what has happened is by doing machine learning into governance, you're making your IT guys the heroes because now they can deliver stuff very quickly, and the business guys are starting to get those insights and their thoughts on data is changing, you know, and recently I was talking with these banks where they're like, "Can you come and talk to "our CFOs because I think the policies," the cultural change you referred to then, maybe the data needs to be owned by businesses. >> Dave: Hm. >> No longer an IT thing, right? So, governance I feel like, you know, governance and integration I feel like is a glue which is helping us drive that cultural change in the organizations, bringing IT and the business groups together to further drive the insights. >> So, for years we've been talking about information as a liability or an asset, and for decades it was really viewed as a liability, get rid of it if you can. You have to keep it for seven years, then get rid of it, you know. That started to change, you know, with the big data movement, >> Madhu: Yeah. >> But there was still sort of... It was hard, right, but what I'm hearing now is increasingly, especially of the businesses sort of owning the data, it's becoming viewed as an asset. >> Madhu: Yes. >> You've got to manage the liabilities, we got that, but now how do we use it to drive business value. >> Yeah, yeah, no, exactly, and that's where I think our focus in IBM analytics, with machine learning and automation, and truly driving that insights out of the data. I mean, you know, people... We've been saying data is a natural resource. >> Dave: Mm-hm. >> It's our bloodline, it's this and that. It truly is, you know, and talking to the large enterprises, everybody is in their mode of digital transformation or transforming, right? We in IBM are doing the same things. Right, we're eating our own, drinking our own champagne (laughs). >> John: Not the Kool-Aid. >> You know, yeah, yeah. >> John: Go right to the dog. >> Madhu: Yeah, exactly. >> Dave: No dog smoothie. (laughs) >> Drinking our own champagne, and truly we're seeing transformation in how we're running our own business as well. >> Now what, there are always surprises. There are always some, you know, accidents kind of waiting to happen, but in terms of the IOT, you know, have got these millions, right, of sensors-- >> Madhu: Mm-hm. >> You know, feeding data in, and what, from a governance perspective, is maybe a concern about, you know, an unexpected source or an unexpected problem or something where yeah, you have great capabilities, but with those capabilities might come a surprise or two in terms of protecting data and a machine might provide perhaps a little more insight than you might've expected. So, I mean, just looking down the road from your perspective, you know, is there anything along those lines that you're putting up flags for just to keep an eye on to see what new inputs might create new problems for you? >> Yeah, no, for sure, I mean, we're always looking at how do we further do innovation, how do we disrupt ourselves and make sure that data doesn't become our enemy, right, I mean it's... You know, as we are talking about AI, people are starting to ask a lot of questions about ethics and other things, too, right. So, very critical, so obviously when you focus on governance, the point of that is let's take the manual stuff out, make it much faster, but part of the governance is that we're protecting you, right. That's part of that security and understanding of the data, it's all about that you don't end up in jail. Right, that's the real focus in terms of our technology in terms of the way we're looking at. >> So, maybe help our audience a little bit. So, I described at our open AI is sort of the umbrella and machine learning is the math and the algorithms-- >> Madhu: Yeah. >> That you apply to train systems to do things maybe better than, maybe better than humans can do and then there's deep learning, which is, you know, neural nets and so forth, but am I understanding that you've essentially... First of all, is that sort of, I know it's rudimentary, but is it reasonable, and then it sounds like you've infused ML into your software. >> Madho: Yes. >> And so I wonder if you could comment on that and then describe from the client's standpoint what skills they need to take advantage of that, if any. >> Oh, yeah, no, so embedding ML into a software, like a packaged software which gets delivered to our client, people don't understand actually how powerful that is, because your data, your catalog, is learning. It's continuously learning from the system itself, from the data itself, right, and that's very exciting. The value to the clients really is it cuts them their cost big time. Let me give you an example, in a large organization today for example, if they have, like, maybe 22,000 some terms, normally it would take them close to six months for one application with a team of 20 to sit there and assign the terms, the right business glossary for their business to get data. (laughs) So, by now doing machine learning in our software, we can do this in days, even in hours, obviously depending on what's the quantity of the data in the organization. That's the value, so the value to the clients is cutting down that. They can take those folks and go focus on some, you know, bigger value add applications and others and take advantage of that data. >> The other huge value that I see is as the business changes, the machine can help you adapt. >> Madhu: Yeah. >> I mean, taxonomies are like cement in data classification, and while we can't, you know, move the business forward because we have this classification, can your machines adapt, you know, in real time and can they change at the speed of my business, is my question. >> Right, right, no, it is, right, and clients are not able to move on their transformation journey because they don't have data classified done right. >> Dave: Mm-hm. >> They don't, and you can't put humans to it. You're going to need the technology, you're going to need the machine learning algorithms and the AI built into your software to get that, and that will lead to, really, success of every kind. >> Broader question, one of the good things about things like GDPR is it forces, it puts a deadline on there and we all know, "Give me a deadline and I'll hit it," so it sort of forces action. >> Madhu: Mm-hm. >> And that's good, we've talked about the value that you can bring to an organization from a data perspective, but there's a whole non-governance component of data orientation. How do you see that going, can the governance initiatives catalyze sort of what I would call a... You know, people talk about a data driven organization. Most companies, they may say they are data driven but they're really not foundational. >> Mm-hm. >> Can governance initiatives catalyze that transformation to a data driven organization, and if so, how? >> Yeah, no, absolutely, right. So, the example I was sharing earlier with talking to some of the large financial institutes, where the business guys, you know, outside of IT are talking about how important it is for them to get the data really real time, right, and self-service. They don't want to be dependent on either opening a work ticket for somebody in IT to produce data for them and god forbid if somebody's out on vacation they can never get that. >> Dave: Right. >> We don't live in that world anymore, right. It's online, it's real time, it's all, you know, self-service type of aspects, which the business, the data scientists building new analytic models are looking for that. So, for that, data is the key, key core foundation in governance. The way I explained it earlier, it's not just about compliance. That is going to lead to that transformation for every client, it's the core. They will not be successful without that. >> And the attributes are changing. Not only is it self-service, it's pervasive-- >> Madhu: Yeah. >> It's embedded, it's aware, it's anticipatory. Am I overstating that? >> Madhu: No. >> I mean, is the data going to find me? >> Yeah, you know, (laughs) that's a good way to put it, you know, so no, you're at the, I think you got it. This is absolutely the right focus, and the companies and the enterprises who understand this and use the right technology to fix it that they'll win. >> So, if you have a partner that maybe, if it is contextual, I mean... >> Dave: Yeah. >> So, also make it relevant-- >> Madhu: Yes. >> To me and help me understand its relevance-- >> Madhu: Yes. >> Because maybe as a, I hate to say as a human-- >> Madhu: Yes. >> That maybe just don't have that kind of prism, but can that, does that happen as well, too? >> Madhu: Yeah, no. >> John: It can put up these white flags and say, "Yeah, this is what you need." >> Yeah, no, absolutely, so like the focus we have on our natural language processing, for example, right. If you're looking for something you don't have to always know what your SQL is going to be for a query to do it. You just type in, "Hey, I'm looking for "some customer retention data," you know, and it will go out and figure it out and say, "Hey, are you looking for churn analysis "or are you looking to do some more promotions?" It will learn, you know, and that's where this whole aspect of machine learning and natural language processing is going to give you that contextual aspect of it, because that's how the self-service models will work. >> Right, what about skills, John asked me at the open about skillsets and I want to ask a general question, but then specifically about governance. I would make the assertion that most employees don't have the multidimensional digital skills and domain expertise skills today. >> Yeah. >> Some companies they do, the big data companies, but in governance, because it's 2.0, do you feel like the skills are largely there to take advantage of the innovations that IBM is coming out with? >> I think I generally, my personal opinion is the way the technology's moving, the way we are getting driven by a lot of disruptions, which are happening around us, I think we don't have the right skills out there, right. We all have to retool, I'm sure all of us in our career have done this all the time. You know, so (laughs) to me, I don't think we have it. So, building the right tools, the right technologies and enabling the resources that the teams out there to retool themselves so they can actually focus on innovation in their own enterprises is going to be critical, and that's why I really think more burn I can take off from the IT groups, more we can make them smarter and have them do their work faster. It will help give that time to go see hey, what's their next big disruption in their organization. >> Is it fair to say that traditionally governance has been a very people-intensive activity? >> Mm-hm. >> Will governance, you know, in the next, let's say decade, become essentially automated? >> That's my desire, and with the product-- >> Dave: That's your job. >> That's my job, and I'm actually really proud of what we have done thus far and where we are heading. So, next time when we meet we will be talking maybe governance 3.0, I don't know, right. (laughs) Yeah, that's the thing, right? I mean, I think you hit it on the nail, that this is, we got to take a lot of human-intensive stuff out of our products and more automation we can do, more smarts we can build in. I coined this term like, hey, we've got to build smarter metadata, right? >> Dave: Right. >> Data needs to, metadata is all about data of your data, right? That needs to become smarter, think about having a universe where you don't have to sit there and connect the dots and say, "I want to move from here to there." System already knows it, they understand certain behaviors, they know what your applications is going to do and it kind of automatically does it for you. No more science fake, I think it can happen. (laughs) >> Do you think we'll ever have more metadata than data... (laughs) >> Actually, somebody did ask me that question, will we be figuring out here we're building data lakes, what do we do about metadata. No, I think we will not have that problem for a while, we'll make it smarter. >> Dave: Going too fast, right. >> You're right. >> But it is, it's like working within your workforce and you're telling people, you know, "You're a treasure hunter and we're going to give you a better map." >> Madhu: Yeah. >> So, governance is your better map, so trust me. >> Madhu: Hey, I like that, maybe I'll use it next time. >> Yeah, but it's true, it's like are you saying governance is your friend here-- >> Madhu: Yes. >> And we're going to fine-tune your search, we're going to make you a more efficient employee, we're going to make you a smarter person and you're going to be able to contribute in a much better way, but it's almost enforced, but let it be your friend, not your foe. >> Yes, yeah, be your differentiator, right. >> But my takeaway is it's fundamental, it's embedded. You know, you're doing this now with less thinking. Security's got to get to the same play, but for years security, "Ugh, it slows me down," but now people are like, "Help me," right, >> Madhu: Mm-hm. >> And I think the same dynamic is true here, embedded governance in my business. Not a bolt on, not an afterthought. It's fundamental and foundational to my organization. >> Madhu: Yeah, absolutely. >> Well, Madhu, thank you for the time. We mentioned on the outset by the interview if you want to say hi to your kids that's your camera right there. Do you want to say hi to your kids real quick? >> Yeah, hi Mohed, Kepa, I love you so much. (laughs) >> All right. >> Thank you. >> So, they know where mom is. (laughs) New York City at IBM's Machine Learning Everywhere, Build Your Ladder To AI. Thank you for joining us, Madhu Kochar. >> Thank you, thank you. >> Back with more here from New York in just a bit, you're watching theCUBE. (techy music playing)

Published Date : Feb 27 2018

SUMMARY :

Build Your Ladder To AI, brought to you by IBM. Build Your Ladder To AI bringing it to you here Good to see you this morning, thanks for joining us. right, but also on the other side, You know, when you are running your business, with all the data you have coming in. that is going to help us really drive a lot of, you know, governance and the Everybody's looking to cut costs, You're not going to hire more people and assign terms, the business terms to it. to change, the tools have to change. So, to me that's good news, if you're saying So, I'm inferring from your comments that you feel Yeah, You mentioned the example of classification, Federal Rules of Civil Procedure, and its contribution to value. Yeah, so this is good question. and the business guys are starting to get So, governance I feel like, you know, That started to change, you know, is increasingly, especially of the businesses You've got to manage the liabilities, we got that, I mean, you know, people... It truly is, you know, and talking to Dave: No dog smoothie. Drinking our own champagne, and truly the IOT, you know, have got these concern about, you know, an unexpected source it's all about that you don't end up in jail. is the math and the algorithms-- which is, you know, neural nets and so forth, And so I wonder if you could comment on and assign the terms, the right business changes, the machine can help you adapt. you know, move the business forward and clients are not able to move on algorithms and the AI built into your software Broader question, one of the good things the value that you can bring to an organization where the business guys, you know, That is going to lead to that transformation And the attributes are changing. It's embedded, it's aware, it's anticipatory. Yeah, you know, (laughs) that's a good So, if you have a partner that and say, "Yeah, this is what you need." have to always know what your SQL is don't have the multidimensional digital do you feel like the skills are largely You know, so (laughs) to me, I don't think we have it. I mean, I think you hit it on the nail, applications is going to do and it Do you think we'll ever have more metadata than data... No, I think we will not have that problem and we're going to give you a better map." we're going to make you a more efficient employee, Security's got to get to the same play, It's fundamental and foundational to my organization. if you want to say hi to your kids Yeah, hi Mohed, Kepa, I love you so much. Thank you for joining us, Madhu Kochar. a bit, you're watching theCUBE.

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Rob Thomas, IBM | Machine Learning Everywhere 2018


 

>> Announcer: Live from New York, it's theCUBE, covering Machine Learning Everywhere: Build Your Ladder to AI, brought to you by IBM. >> Welcome back to New York City. theCUBE continue our coverage here at IBM's event, Machine Learning Everywhere: Build Your Ladder to AI. And with us now is Rob Thomas, who is the vice president of, or general manager, rather, of IBM analytics. Sorry about that, Rob. Good to have you with us this morning. Good to see you, sir. >> Great to see you John. Dave, great to see you as well. >> Great to see you. >> Well let's just talk about the event first. Great lineup of guests. We're looking forward to visiting with several of them here on theCUBE today. But let's talk about, first off, general theme with what you're trying to communicate and where you sit in terms of that ladder to success in the AI world. >> So, maybe start by stepping back to, we saw you guys a few times last year. Once in Munich, I recall, another one in New York, and the theme of both of those events was, data science renaissance. We started to see data science picking up steam in organizations. We also talked about machine learning. The great news is that, in that timeframe, machine learning has really become a real thing in terms of actually being implemented into organizations, and changing how companies run. And that's what today is about, is basically showcasing a bunch of examples, not only from our clients, but also from within IBM, how we're using machine learning to run our own business. And the thing I always remind clients when I talk to them is, machine learning is not going to replace managers, but I think machine learning, managers that use machine learning will replace managers that do not. And what you see today is a bunch of examples of how that's true because it gives you superpowers. If you've automated a lot of the insight, data collection, decision making, it makes you a more powerful manager, and that's going to change a lot of enterprises. >> It seems like a no-brainer, right? I mean, or a must-have. >> I think there's a, there's always that, sometimes there's a fear factor. There is a culture piece that holds people back. We're trying to make it really simple in terms of how we talk about the day, and the examples that we show, to get people comfortable, to kind of take a step onto that ladder back to the company. >> It's conceptually a no-brainer, but it's a challenge. You wrote a blog and it was really interesting. It was, one of the clients said to you, "I'm so glad I'm not in the technology industry." And you went, "Uh, hello?" (laughs) "I've got news for you, you are in the technology industry." So a lot of customers that I talk to feel like, meh, you know, in our industry, it's really not getting disrupted. That's kind of taxis and retail. We're in banking and, you know, but, digital is disrupting every industry and every industry is going to have to adopt ML, AI, whatever you want to call it. Can traditional companies close that gap? What's your take? >> I think they can, but, I'll go back to the word I used before, it starts with culture. Am I accepting that I'm a technology company, even if traditionally I've made tractors, as an example? Or if traditionally I've just been you know, selling shirts and shoes, have I embraced the role, my role as a technology company? Because if you set that culture from the top, everything else flows from there. It can't be, IT is something that we do on the side. It has to be a culture of, it's fundamental to what we do as a company. There was an MIT study that said, data-driven cultures drive productivity gains of six to 10 percent better than their competition. You can't, that stuff compounds, too. So if your competitors are doing that and you're not, not only do you fall behind in the short term but you fall woefully behind in the medium term. And so, I think companies are starting to get there but it takes a constant push to get them focused on that. >> So if you're a tractor company, you've got human expertise around making tractors and messaging and marketing tractors, and then, and data is kind of there, sort of a bolt-on, because everybody's got to be data-driven, but if you look at the top companies by market cap, you know, we were talking about it earlier. Data is foundational. It's at their core, so, that seems to me to be the hard part, Rob, I'd like you to comment in terms of that cultural shift. How do you go from sort of data in silos and, you know, not having cloud economics and, that are fundamental, to having that dynamic, and how does IBM help? >> You know, I think, to give companies credit, I think most organizations have developed some type of data practice or discipline over the last, call it five years. But most of that's historical, meaning, yeah, we'll take snapshots of history. We'll use that to guide decision making. You fast-forward to what we're talking about today, just so we're on the same page, machine learning is about, you build a model, you train a model with data, and then as new data flows in, your model is constantly updating. So your ability to make decisions improves over time. That's very different from, we're doing historical reporting on data. And so I think it's encouraging that companies have kind of embraced that data discipline in the last five years, but what we're talking about today is a big next step and what we're trying to break it down to what I call the building blocks, so, back to the point on an AI ladder, what I mean by an AI ladder is, you can't do AI without machine learning. You can't do machine learning without analytics. You can't do analytics without the right data architecture. So those become the building blocks of how you get towards a future of AI. And so what I encourage companies is, if you're not ready for that AI leading edge use case, that's okay, but you can be preparing for that future now. That's what the building blocks are about. >> You know, I think we're, I know we're ahead of, you know, Jeremiah Owyang on a little bit later, but I was reading something that he had written about gut and instinct, from the C-Suite, and how, that's how companies were run, right? You had your CEO, your president, they made decisions based on their guts or their instincts. And now, you've got this whole new objective tool out there that's gold, and it's kind of taking some of the gut and instinct out of it, in a way, and maybe there are people who still can't quite grasp that, that maybe their guts and their instincts, you know, what their gut tells them, you know, is one thing, but there's pretty objective data that might indicate something else. >> Moneyball for business. >> A little bit of a clash, I mean, is there a little bit of a clash in that respect? >> I think you'd be surprise by how much decision making is still pure opinion. I mean, I see that everywhere. But we're heading more towards what you described for sure. One of the clients talking here today, AMC Networks, think it's a great example of a company that you wouldn't think of as a technology company, primarily a content producer, they make great shows, but they've kind of gone that extra step to say, we can integrate data sources from third parties, our own data about viewer habits, we can do that to change our relationship with advertisers. Like, that's a company that's really embraced this idea of being a technology company, and you can see it in their results, and so, results are not coincidence in this world anymore. It's about a practice applied to data, leveraging machine learning, on a path towards AI. If companies are doing that, they're going to be successful. >> And we're going to have the tally from AMC on, but so there's a situation where they have embraced it, that they've dealt with that culture, and data has become foundational. Now, I'm interested as to what their journey look like. What are you seeing with clients? How they break this down, the silos of data that have been built up over decades. >> I think, so they get almost like a maturity curve. You've got, and the rule I talk about is 40-40-20, where 40% of organizations are really using data just to optimize costs right now. That's okay, but that's on the lower end of the maturity curve. 40% are saying, all right, I'm starting to get into data science. I'm starting to think about how I extend to new products, new services, using data. And then 20% are on the leading edge. And that's where I'd put AMC Networks, by the way, because they've done unique things with integrating data sets and building models so that they've automated a lot of what used to be painstakingly long processes, internal processes to do it. So you've got this 40-40-20 of organizations in terms of their maturity on this. If you're not on that curve right now, you have a problem. But I'd say most are somewhere on that curve. If you're in the first 40% and you're, right now data for you is just about optimizing cost, you're going to be behind. If you're not right now, you're going to be behind in the next year, that's a problem. So I'd kind of encourage people to think about what it takes to be in the next 40%. Ultimately you want to be in the 20% that's actually leading this transformation. >> So change it to 40-20-40. That's where you want it to go, right? You want to flip that paradigm. >> I want to ask you a question. You've done a lot of M and A in the past. You spent a lot of time in Silicon Valley and Silicon Valley obviously very, very disruptive, you know, cultures and organizations and it's always been a sort of technology disruption. It seems like there's a ... another disruption going on, not just horizontal technologies, you know, cloud or mobile or social, whatever it is, but within industries. Some industries, as we've been talking, radically disrupted. Retail, taxis, certainly advertising, et cetera et cetera. Some have not yet, the client that you talked to. Do you see, technology companies generally, Silicon Valley companies specifically, as being able to pull off a sort of disruption of not only technologies but also industries and where does IBM play there? You've made a sort of, Ginni in particular has made a deal about, hey, we're not going to compete with our customers. So talking about this sort of dual disruption agenda, one on the technology side, one within industries that Apple's getting into financial services and, you know, Amazon getting into grocery, what's your take on that and where does IBM fit in that world? >> So, I mean, IBM has been in Silicon Valley for a long time, I would say probably longer than 99.9% of the companies in Silicon Valley, so, we've got a big lab there. We do a lot of innovation out of there. So love it, I mean, the culture of the valley is great for the world because it's all about being the challenger, it's about innovation, and that's tremendous. >> No fear. >> Yeah, absolutely. So, look, we work with a lot of different partners, some who are, you know, purely based in the valley. I think they challenge us. We can learn from them, and that's great. I think the one, the one misnomer that I see right now, is there's a undertone that innovation is happening in Silicon Valley and only in Silicon Valley. And I think that's a myth. Give you an example, we just, in December, we released something called Event Store which is basically our stab at reinventing the database business that's been pretty much the same for the last 30 to 40 years. And we're now ingesting millions of rows of data a second. We're doing it in a Parquet format using a Spark engine. Like, this is an amazing innovation that will change how any type of IOT use case can manage data. Now ... people don't think of IBM when they think about innovations like that because it's not the only thing we talk about. We don't have, the IBM website isn't dedicated to that single product because IBM is a much bigger company than that. But we're innovating like crazy. A lot of that is out of what we're doing in Silicon Valley and our labs around the world and so, I'm very optimistic on what we're doing in terms of innovation. >> Yeah, in fact, I think, rephrase my question. I was, you know, you're right. I mean people think of IBM as getting disrupted. I wasn't posing it, I think of you as a disruptor. I know that may sound weird to some people but in the sense that you guys made some huge bets with things like Watson on solving some of the biggest, world's problems. And so I see you as disrupting sort of, maybe yourselves. Okay, frame that. But I don't see IBM as saying, okay, we are going to now disrupt healthcare, disrupt financial services, rather we are going to help our, like some of your comp... I don't know if you'd call them competitors. Amazon, as they say, getting into content and buying grocery, you know, food stores. You guys seems to have a different philosophy. That's what I'm trying to get to is, we're going to disrupt ourselves, okay, fine. But we're not going to go hard into healthcare, hard into financial services, other than selling technology and services to those organizations, does that make sense? >> Yeah, I mean, look, our mission is to make our clients ... better at what they do. That's our mission, we want to be essential in terms of their journey to be successful in their industry. So frankly, I love it every time I see an announcement about Amazon entering another vertical space, because all of those companies just became my clients. Because they're not going to work with Amazon when they're competing with them head to head, day in, day out, so I love that. So us working with these companies to make them better through things like Watson Health, what we're doing in healthcare, it's about making companies who have built their business in healthcare, more effective at how they perform, how they drive results, revenue, ROI for their investors. That's what we do, that's what IBM has always done. >> Yeah, so it's an interesting discussion. I mean, I tend to agree. I think Silicon Valley maybe should focus on those technology disruptions. I think that they'll have a hard time pulling off that dual disruption and maybe if you broadly define Silicon Valley as Seattle and so forth, but, but it seems like that formula has worked for decades, and will continue to work. Other thoughts on sort of the progression of ML, how it gets into organizations. You know, where you see this going, again, I was saying earlier, the parlance is changing. Big data is kind of, you know, mm. Okay, Hadoop, well, that's fine. We seem to be entering this new world that's pervasive, it's embedded, it's intelligent, it's autonomous, it's self-healing, it's all these things that, you know, we aspire to. We're now back in the early innings. We're late innings of big data, that's kind of ... But early innings of this new era, what are your thoughts on that? >> You know, I'd say the biggest restriction right now I see, we talked before about somehow, sometimes companies don't have the desire, so we have to help create the desire, create the culture to go do this. Even for the companies that have a burning desire, the issue quickly becomes a skill gap. And so we're doing a lot to try to help bridge that skill gap. Let's take data science as an example. There's two worlds of data science that I would describe. There's clickers, and there's coders. Clickers want to do drag and drop. They will use traditional tools like SPSS, which we're modernizing, that's great. We want to support them if that's how they want to work and build models and deploy models. There's also this world of coders. This is people that want to do all their data science in ML, and Python, and Scala, and R, like, that's what they want to do. And so we're supporting them through things like Data Science Experience, which is built on Apache Jupiter. It's all open source tooling, it'd designed for coders. The reason I think that's important, it goes back to the point on skill sets. There is a skill gap in most companies. So if you walk in and you say, this is the only way to do this thing, you kind of excluded half the companies because they say, I can't play in that world. So we are intentionally going after a strategy that says, there's a segmentation in skill types. In places there's a gap, we can help you fill that gap. That's how we're thinking about them. >> And who does that bode well for? If you say that you were trying to close a gap, does that bode well for, we talked about the Millennial crowd coming in and so they, you know, do they have a different approach or different mental outlook on this, or is it to the mid-range employee, you know, who is open minded, I mean, but, who is the net sweet spot, you think, that say, oh, this is a great opportunity right now? >> So just take data science as an example. The clicker coder comment I made, I would put the clicker audience as mostly people that are 20 years into their career. They've been around a while. The coder audience is all the Millennials. It's all the new audience. I think the greatest beneficiary is the people that find themselves kind of stuck in the middle, which is they're kind of interested in this ... >> That straddle both sides of the line yeah? >> But they've got the skill set and the desire to do some of the new tooling and new approaches. So I think this kind of creates an opportunity for that group in the middle to say, you know, what am I going to adopt as a platform for how I go forward and how I provide leadership in my company? >> So your advice, then, as you're talking to your clients, I mean you're also talking to their workforce. In a sense, then, your advice to them is, you know, join, jump in the wave, right? You've got your, you can't straddle, you've got to go. >> And you've got to experiment, you've got to try things. Ultimately, organizations are going to gravitate to things that they like using in terms of an approach or a methodology or a tool. But that comes with experimentation, so people need to get out there and try something. >> Maybe we could talk about developers a little bit. We were talking to Dinesh earlier and you guys of course have focused on data scientists, data engineers, obviously developers. And Dinesh was saying, look, many, if not most, of the 10 million Java developers out there, they're not, like, focused around the data. That's really the data scientist's job. But then, my colleague John Furrier says, hey, data is the new development kit. You know, somebody said recently, you know, Andreessen's comment, "software is eating the world." Well, data is eating software. So if Furrier is right and that comment is right, it seems like developers increasingly have to become more data aware, fundamentally. Blockchain developers clearly are more data focused. What's your take on the developer community, where they fit into this whole AI, machine learning space? >> I was just in Las Vegas yesterday and I did a session with a bunch of our business partners. ISVs, so software companies, mostly a developer audience, and the discussion I had with them was around, you're doing, you're building great products, you're building great applications. But your product is only as good as the data and the intelligence that you embed in your product. Because you're still putting too much of a burden on the user, as opposed to having everything happen magically, if you will. So that discussion was around, how do you embed data, embed AI, into your products and do that at the forefront versus, you deliver a product and the client has to say, all right, now I need to get my data out of this application and move it somewhere else so I can do the data science that I want to do. That's what I see happening with developers. It's kind of ... getting them to think about data as opposed to just thinking about the application development framework, because that's where most of them tend to focus. >> Mm, right. >> Well, we've talked about, well, earlier on about the governance, so just curious, with Madhu, which I'll, we'll have that interview in just a little bit here. I'm kind of curious about your take on that, is that it's a little kinder, gentler, friendlier than maybe some might look at it nowadays because of some organization that it causes, within your group and some value that's being derived from that, that more efficiency, more contextual information that's, you know, more relevant, whatever. When you talk to your clients about meeting rules, regs, GDPR, all these things, how do you get them to see that it's not a black veil of doom and gloom but it really is, really more of an opportunity for them to cash in? >> You know, my favorite question to ask when I go visit clients is I say, I say, just show of hands, how many people have all the data they need to do their job? To date, nobody has ever raised their hand. >> Not too many hands up. >> The reason I phrased it that way is, that's fundamentally a governance challenge. And so, when you think about governance, I think everybody immediately thinks about compliance, GDPR, types of things you mentioned, and that's great. But there's two use cases for governance. One is compliance, the other one is self service analytics. Because if you've done data governance, then you can make your data available to everybody in the organization because you know you've got the right rules, the right permissions set up. That will change how people do their jobs and I think sometimes governance gets painted into a compliance corner, when organizations need to think about it as, this is about making data accessible to my entire workforce. That's a big change. I don't think anybody has that today. Except for the clients that we're working with, where I think we've made good strides in that. >> What's your sort of number one, two, and three, or pick one, advice for those companies that as you blogged about, don't realize yet that they're in the software business and the technology business? For them to close the ... machine intelligence, machine learning, AI gap, where should they start? >> I do think it can be basic steps. And the reason I say that is, if you go to a company that hasn't really viewed themselves as a technology company, and you start talking about machine intelligence, AI, like, everybody like, runs away scared, like it's not interesting. So I bring it back to building blocks. For a client to be great in data, and to become a technology company, you really need three platforms for how you think about data. You need a platform for how you manage your data, so think of it as data management. You need a platform for unified governance and integration, and you need a platform for data science and business analytics. And to some extent, I don't care where you start, but you've got to start with one of those. And if you do that, you know, you'll start to create a flywheel of momentum where you'll get some small successes. Then you can go in the other area, and so I just encourage everybody, start down that path. Pick one of the three. Or you may already have something going in one of them, so then pick one where you don't have something going. Just start down the path, because, those building blocks, once you have those in place, you'll be able to scale AI and ML in the future in your organization. But without that, you're going to always be limited to kind of a use case at a time. >> Yeah, and I would add, this is, you talked about it a couple times today, is that cultural aspect, that realization that in order to be data driven, you know, buzzword, you have to embrace that and drive that through the culture. Right? >> That starts at the top, right? Which is, it's not, you know, it's not normal to have a culture of, we're going to experiment, we're going to try things, half of them may not work. And so, it starts at the top in terms of how you set the tone and set that culture. >> IBM Think, we're less than a month away. CUBE is going to be there, very excited about that. First time that you guys have done Think. You've consolidated all your big, big events. What can we expect from you guys? >> I think it's going to be an amazing show. To your point, we thought about this for a while, consolidating to a single IBM event. There's no question just based on the response and the enrollment we have so far, that was the right answer. We'll have people from all over the world. A bunch of clients, we've got some great announcements that will come out that week. And for clients that are thinking about coming, honestly the best thing about it is all the education and training. We basically build a curriculum, and think of it as a curriculum around, how do we make our clients more effective at competing with the Amazons of the world, back to the other point. And so I think we build a great curriculum and it will be a great week. >> Well, if I've heard anything today, it's about, don't be afraid to dive in at the deep end, just dive, right? Get after it and, looking forward to the rest of the day. Rob, thank you for joining us here and we'll see you in about a month! >> Sounds great. >> Right around the corner. >> All right, Rob Thomas joining us here from IBM Analytics, the GM at IBM Analytics. Back with more here on theCUBE. (upbeat music)

Published Date : Feb 27 2018

SUMMARY :

Build Your Ladder to AI, brought to you by IBM. Good to have you with us this morning. Dave, great to see you as well. and where you sit in terms of that ladder And what you see today is a bunch of examples I mean, or a must-have. onto that ladder back to the company. So a lot of customers that I talk to And so, I think companies are starting to get there to be the hard part, Rob, I'd like you to comment You fast-forward to what we're talking about today, and it's kind of taking some of the gut But we're heading more towards what you described for sure. Now, I'm interested as to what their journey look like. to think about what it takes to be in the next 40%. That's where you want it to go, right? I want to ask you a question. So love it, I mean, the culture of the valley for the last 30 to 40 years. but in the sense that you guys made some huge bets in terms of their journey to be successful Big data is kind of, you know, mm. create the culture to go do this. The coder audience is all the Millennials. for that group in the middle to say, you know, you know, join, jump in the wave, right? so people need to get out there and try something. and you guys of course have focused on data scientists, that you embed in your product. When you talk to your clients about have all the data they need to do their job? And so, when you think about governance, and the technology business? And to some extent, I don't care where you start, that in order to be data driven, you know, buzzword, Which is, it's not, you know, it's not normal CUBE is going to be there, very excited about that. I think it's going to be an amazing show. and we'll see you in about a month! from IBM Analytics, the GM at IBM Analytics.

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Vitaly Tsivin, AMC | Machine Learning Everywhere 2018


 

>> Voiceover: Live from New York it's theCUBE, covering Machine Learning Everywhere: Build Your Ladder to AI. Brought to you by IBM. (upbeat techno music) >> Welcome back to New York City as theCUBE continues our coverage here at IBM's Machine Learning Everywhere: Build Your Ladder to AI. Along with Dave Vellante, I'm John Walls. We're now joined by Vitaly Tsivan who is Executive Vice President at AMC Networks. And Vitaly, thanks for joining us here this morning. >> Thank you. >> I don't know how this interview is going to go, frankly. Because we've got a die-hard Yankee fan in our guest, and a Red Sox fans who bleeds Red Sox Nation. Can you guys get along for about 15 minutes? >> Dave: Maybe about 15. >> I'm glad there's a bit of space between us. >> Dave: It's given us the off-season and the Yankees have done so well. I'll be humble. Okay? (John laughs) We'll wait and see. >> All right. Just in case, I'm ready to jump in if we have to separate here. But it is good to have you here with us this morning. Thanks for making the time. First off, talk about AMC Networks a little bit. So, five U.S. networks. You said multiple international networks and great presence there. But you've had to make this transition to becoming a data company, in essence. You have content and you're making this merger in the data. How has that gone for you? And how have you done that? >> First of all, you make me happy when you say that AMC Networks have made a transition to be a data company. So, we haven't. We are using data to help our primary business, which is obviously broadcasting our content to our viewers. But yes, we use data to help to tune our business, to follow the lead that viewers are giving us. As you can imagine, in the last so many years, viewers have actually dictating how they want to watch. Whether it's streaming video rather than just turning their satellite boxes or TV boxes on, and pretty much dictating what content they want to watch. So, we have to follow, we have to adjust and be at the cutting edge all for our business. And this is where data come into play. >> How did you get there? You must have done a lot of testing, right? I mean, I remember when binge watching didn't even exist, and then all of a sudden now everybody drops 10 episodes at once. Was that a lot of A-B testing? Just analyzing data? How does a company like yours come to that realization? Or is it just, wow, the competition is doing it, we should too. Explain how -- >> Vitaly: Interesting. So, when I speak to executives, I always tell them that business intelligence and data analytics for any company is almost like an iceberg. So, you can actually see the top of it, and you enjoy it very much but there's so much underwater. So, that's what you're referring to which is that in order to be able to deliver that premium thing that's the tip of the iceberg is that we have to have state of the art data management platforms. We have to curate our own first by data. We have to acquire meaningful third party data. We have to mingle it all together. We have to employ optimization predictive algorithms on top of that. We have to employ statistics, and arm business with data-driven decisions. And then it all comes to fruition. >> Now, your company's been around for awhile. You've got an application -- You're a developer. You're an application development executive. So, you've sort of made your personal journey. I'm curious as to how the company made its journey. How did you close that gap between the data platforms that we all know, the Googles, the Facebooks, etc., which data is the central part of their organization, to where you used to be? Which probably was building, looking back doing a lot of business intelligence, decision support, and a lot of sort of asynchronous activities. How did you get from there to where you are today? >> Makes sense. So, I've been with AMC Networks for four years. Prior to that I'd been with Disney, ABC, ESPN four, six years, doing roughly the same thing. So, number one, we're utilizing ever rapidly changing technologies to get us to the right place. Number two is during those four years with AMC, we've employed various tactics. Some of them are called data democratization. So, that's actually not only get the right data sources not only process them correctly, but actually arm everyone in the company with immediate, easy access to this data. Because the entire business, data business, is all about insights. So, the insights -- And if you think of the business, if you for a minute separate business and business intelligence, then business doesn't want to know too much about business intelligence. What they want insights on a silver plate that will tell them what to do next. Now, that's the hardest thing, you can imagine, right? And so the search and drive for those insights has to come from every business person in the organization. Now, obviously, you don't expect them to build their own statistical algorithms and see the results in employee and machine learning. But if you arm them with that data at the tip of their fingers, they'll make many better decisions on a daily basis which means that they're actually coming up with their own small insights. So, there are small insights, big insights, and they're all extremely valuable. >> A big part of that is cultural as well, that mindset. Many companies that I work with, they're data is very siloed. I don't know if that was the case with your firm, maybe less prior to your joining. I'd be curious as to how you've achieved that cultural mindset shift. Cause a lot of times, people try to keep their own data. They don't want to share it. They want to keep it in a silo, gain political power. How did you address that? >> Vitaly: Absolutely. One of my conversations with the president, we were discussing the fact that if we were to go make recordings of how people talk about data in their organization today and go back in time and show them what they will be doing three years from now, they would be shocked. They wouldn't believe that. So, absolutely. So, culturally, educationally, bringing everyone into the place where they can understand data. They can take advantage of the data. It's an undertaking. But we are successful in doing that. >> Help me out here. Maybe I just have never acquired a little translation here, or simplification. So, you think about AMC. You've got programming. You've got your line up. I come on, I click, I go, I watch a movie and I enjoy it or watch my program, whatever. So, now in this new world of viewer habits changing, my behaviors are changing. What have you done? What have you looked for in terms of data and telling you about me that has now allowed you to modify your business and adapt to that. So, I mean, health data shouldn't drive that on a day to day basis in terms of how I access your programming. >> So, good example to that would be something we called TV everywhere. So, you said it yourself, obviously users or viewers are used to watching television as when the shows were provided via television. So, with new technologies, with streaming opportunities, today, they want to watch when they want to watch, and what they want to watch. So, one of the ways we accommodate them with that is that we don't just television, so we are on every available platform today and we are allowing viewers to watch our content on demand, digitally, when they want to watch it. So, that is one of the ways how we are reacting to it. And so, that puts us in the position as one of the B to C type of businesses, where we're now speaking directly to our consumers not via just the television. So, we're broadcasting, their watching which means that we understand how they watch and we try to react accordingly to that. Which is something that Netflix is bragging about is that they know the patterns, they actually kind of promote their business so we on that business too. >> Can you describe your innovation formula, if you will? How do you go about innovating? Obviously, there's data, there's technology. Presumably, there's infrastructure that scales. You have to be able to scale and have massive speed and infrastructure that heals itself. All those other things. But what's your innovation formula? How would you describe it? So, informally simple. It starts with business. I'm fortunate that business has desire to innovate. So, formulating goals is something that drives us to respond to it. So, we don't just walk around the thing, and look around and say, "Let's innovate." So, we follow the business goals with innovation. A good example is when we promote our shows. So, the major portion of our marketing campaigns falls on our own air. So, we promote our shows to our AMC viewers or WE tv viewers. When we do that, we try to optimize our campaigns to the highest level possible, to get the most out of ROI out of that. And so, we've succeeded and we managed today to get about 30% ROI on that and either just do better with our promotional campaigns or reallocate that time for other businesses. >> You were saying that after the first question, or during responding to the first question, about you saying we're really not ... We're a content company still. And we have incorporated data, but you really aren't, Dave and I have talked about this a lot, everybody's a data company now, in a way. Because you have to be. Cause you've got this hugely competitive landscape that you're operating in, right? In terms of getting more odd calls. >> That's right. >> So, it's got to be no longer just a part of what you do or a section of what you do. It's got to be embedded in what you do. Does it not? Oh, it absolutely is. I still think that it's a bit premature to call AMC Networks a data company. But to a degree, every company today is a data company. And with the culture change over the years, if I used to solicit requests and go about implementing them, today it's more of a prioritization of work because every department in the company got educated to the degree that they all want to get better. And they all want those insights from the data. They want their parts of the business to be improved. And we're venturing into new businesses. And it's quite a bit in demand. >> So, is it your aspiration to become a data company? Or is it more data-driven sort of TV network? How would you sort of view that? >> I'd like to say data-driven TV network. Of course. >> Dave: Okay. >> It's more in tune with reality. >> And so, talk about aligning with the business goals. That's kind of your starting point. You were talking earlier about a gut feel. We were joking about baseball. Moneyball for business. So, you're a data person. The data doesn't lie, etc. But insights sometimes are hard. They don't just pop out. Is that true? Do you see that changing as the time to insight, from insight to decision going to compress? What do you see there? >> The search for insights will never stop. And the more dense we are in that journey the better we are going to be as a company. The data business is so much depends on technologies. So, that when technologies matures, and we manage to employ them in a timely basis, so we simply get better from that. So, good example is machine learning. There are a ton of optimizations, optimization algorithms, forecasting algorithms that we put in place. So, for awhile it was a pinnacle of our deliveries. Now, with machine learning maturing today. We are able or trying to be in tune with the audience that is changing their behavior. So, the patterns that we would be looking for manually in the past, machine is now looking for those patterns. So, that's the perfect example for our strength to catch up with the reality. What I'm hoping for, and that's where the future is, is that one day we won't be just reacting utilizing machine learning to the change in patterns in behavior. We are actually going to be ahead of those patterns and anticipate those changes to come, and react properly. >> I was going to say, yeah, what is the next step? Because you said that you are reacting. >> Vitaly: I was ahead of your question. >> Yeah, you were. (laughter) So, I'm going to go ahead and re-ask it. >> Dave: Data guy. (laughter) >> But you've got to get to that next step of not just anticipating but almost creating, right, in your way. Creating new opportunities, creating news data to develop these insights into almost shaping viewer behavior, right? >> Vitaly: Totally. So, like I said, optimization is one avenue that we pursue and continue to pursue. Forecasting is another. But I'm talking about true predictability. I mean, something goes beyond just to say how our show will do. Even beyond, which show would do better. >> John: Can you do that? Even to the point and say these are the elements that have been successful for this genre and for this size of audience, and therefore as we develop programming, whether it's in script and casting, whatever. I mean, take it all the way down to that micro-level to developing almost these ideals, these optimal programs that are going to be better received by your audience. >> Look, it's not a big secret. Every company that is in the content business is trying to get as many The Walking Deads as they can in their portfolio. Is there a direct path to success? Probably not, otherwise everyone would have been-- >> John: Over do it. >> Yeah, would be doing that. But yeah, so those are the most critical and difficult insights to get ahold of and we're working toward that. >> Are you finding that your predictive capabilities are getting meaningfully better? Maybe you could talk about that a little bit in terms of predicting those types of successes. Or is it still a lot of trial and error? >> I'd like to say they are meaningfully better. (laughter) Look, we do, there are obviously interesting findings. There are sometimes setbacks and we learn from it, and we move forward. >> Okay, as good as the weather or better? Or worse? (laughs) >> Depends on the morning and the season. (laughter) >> Vitaly, how have your success or have your success measurements changed as we enter this world of digital and machine learning and artificial intelligence? And if so, how? >> Well, they become more and more challenging and complex. Like, I gave an example for data democratization. It was such an interesting and telling company-wide initiative. And at the time, it felt as a true achievement when everybody get access to their data on their desktops and laptops. When we look back now a few years, it was a walk in the park to achieve. So, the more complex data and objectives we set in front of ourselves, the more educated people in the company become, the more challenging it is to deliver and take the next step. And we strive to do that. >> I wonder if I can ask you a question from a developers perspective. You obviously understand the developer mindset. We were talking to Dennis earlier. He's like, "Yeah, you know, it's really the data scientists that are loving the data, taking a bath in it. The data engineers and so forth." And I was kind of pushing on that saying, "Well, but eventually the developers have to be data-oriented. Data is the new development kit. What's your take? I mean, granted the 10 million Java developers most of them are not focused on the data per se. Will that change? Is that changing? >> So, first of all, I want separate the classical IT that you just referred to, which are developers. Because this discipline has been well established whether it's Waterfall or Agile. So, every company has those departments and they serve companies well. Business intelligence is a different animal. So, most of the work, if not all of the work we do is more of an R&D type of work. It is impossible to say, in three months I'll arrive with the model that will transform this business. So, we're driving there. That's the major distinction between the two. Is it the right path for some of the data-oriented developers to move on from, let's say, IT disciplines and into BI disciplines? I would highly encourage that because the job is so much more challenging, so interesting. There's very little routine as we said. It's actually challenge, challenge, and challenge. And, you know, you look at the news the way I do, and you see that data scientists becomes the number one desired job in America. I hope that there will be more and more people in that space because as every other department was struggling to find good people, right people for the space, and even within that space, you have as you mentioned, data engineers. You have data scientists or statisticians. And now it's maturing to the point that you have people who are above and beyond that. Those who actually can envision models not to execute on them. >> Are you investigating blockchain and playing around with that at all? Is there an application in your business? >> It hasn't matured fully yet in our hands but we're looking into it. >> And the reason I ask is that there seems to me that blockchain developers are data-oriented. And those two worlds, in my view, are coming together. But it's earlier days. >> Look, I mean, we are in R&D space. And like I said, we don't know exactly, we can't fully commit to a delivery. But it's always a balance between being practical and dreaming. So, if I were to say, you know, let me jump into a blockchain right now and be ahead of the game. Maybe. But then my commitments are going to be sort of farther ahead and I'm trying to be pragmatic. >> Before we let you go, I got to give you 30 seconds on your Yankees. How do you feel about the season coming up? >> As for with every season, I'm super-excited. And I can't wait until the season starts. >> We're always excited when pitchers and catchers show up. >> That's right. (laughter) >> If I were a Yankee fan, I'd be excited too. I must admit. >> Nobody's lost a game. >> That's right. >> Vitaly, thank you for being with us here. We appreciate it. And continued success at AMC Networks. Thank you for having me. >> Back with more on theCUBE right after this. (upbeat techno music)

Published Date : Feb 27 2018

SUMMARY :

Brought to you by IBM. Build Your Ladder to AI. I don't know how this interview is going to go, frankly. and the Yankees have done so well. But it is good to have you here with us this morning. So, we have to follow, How did you get there? that's the tip of the iceberg is that we have to have to where you used to be? Now, that's the hardest thing, you can imagine, right? I don't know if that was the case with your firm, But we are successful in doing that. that has now allowed you to modify your business So, that is one of the ways how we are reacting to it. So, we follow the business goals with innovation. or during responding to the first question, So, it's got to be no longer just a part of what you do I'd like to say data-driven TV network. Do you see that changing as the time to insight, So, the patterns that we would be looking for Because you said that you are reacting. So, I'm going to go ahead and re-ask it. (laughter) creating news data to develop these insights So, like I said, optimization is one avenue that we pursue and therefore as we develop programming, Every company that is in the content business and difficult insights to get ahold of Are you finding that your predictive capabilities and we move forward. and the season. So, the more complex have to be data-oriented. And now it's maturing to the point that but we're looking into it. And the reason I ask is that there seems to me and be ahead of the game. Before we let you go, I got to give you 30 seconds And I can't wait until the season starts. and catchers show up. That's right. I must admit. Vitaly, thank you for being with us here. Back with more on theCUBE right after this.

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Sam Lightstone, IBM | Machine Learning Everywhere 2018


 

>> Narrator: Live from New York, it's the Cube. Covering Machine Learning Everywhere: Build Your Ladder to AI. Brought to you by IBM. >> And welcome back here to New York City. We're at IBM's Machine Learning Everywhere: Build Your Ladder to AI, along with Dave Vellante, John Walls, and we're now joined by Sam Lightstone, who is an IBM fellow in analytics. And Sam, good morning. Thanks for joining us here once again on the Cube. >> Yeah, thanks a lot. Great to be back. >> Yeah, great. Yeah, good to have you here on kind of a moldy New York day here in late February. So we're talking, obviously data is the new norm, is what certainly, have heard a lot about here today and of late here from IBM. Talk to me about, in your terms, of just when you look at data and evolution and to where it's now become so central to what every enterprise is doing and must do. I mean, how do you do it? Give me a 30,000-foot level right now from your prism. >> Sure, I mean, from a super, if you just stand back, like way far back, and look at what data means to us today, it's really the thing that is separating companies one from the other. How much data do they have and can they make excellent use of it to achieve competitive advantage? And so many companies today are about data and only data. I mean, I'll give you some like really striking, disruptive examples of companies that are tremendously successful household names and it's all about the data. So the world's largest transportation company, or personal taxi, can't call it taxi, but (laughs) but, you know, Uber-- >> Yeah, right. >> Owns no cars, right? The world's largest accommodation company, Airbnb, owns no hotels, right? The world's largest distributor of motion pictures owns no movie theaters. So these companies are disrupting because they're focused on data, not on the material stuff. Material stuff is important, obviously. Somebody needs to own a car, somebody needs to own a way to view a motion picture, and so on. But data is what differentiates companies more than anything else today. And can they tap into the data, can they make sense of it for competitive advantage? And that's not only true for companies that are, you know, cloud companies. That's true for every company, whether you're a bricks and mortars organization or not. Now, one level of that data is to simply look at the data and ask questions of the data, the kinds of data that you already have in your mind. Generating reports, understanding who your customers are, and so on. That's sort of a fundamental level. But the deeper level, the exciting transformation that's going on right now, is the transformation from reporting and what we'll call business intelligence, the ability to take those reports and that insight on data and to visualize it in the way that human beings can understand it, and go much deeper into machine learning and AI, cognitive computing where we can start to learn from this data and learn at the pace of machines, and to drill into the data in a way that a human being cannot because we can't look at bajillions of bytes of data on our own, but machines can do that and they're very good at doing that. So it is a huge, that's one level. The other level is, there's so much more data now than there ever was because there's so many more devices that are now collecting data. And all of us, you know, every one of our phones is collecting data right now. Your cars are collecting data. I think there's something like 60 sensors on every car that rolls of the manufacturing line today. 60. So it's just a wild time and a very exciting time because there's so much untapped potential. And that's what we're here about today, you know. Machine learning, tapping into that unbelievable potential that's there in that data. >> So you're absolutely right on. I mean the data is foundational, or must be foundational in order to succeed in this sort of data-driven world. But it's not necessarily the center of the universe for a lot of companies. I mean, it is for the big data, you know, guys that we all know. You know, the top market cap companies. But so many organizations, they're sort of, human expertise is at the center of their universe, and data is sort of, oh yeah, bolt on, and like you say, reporting. >> Right. >> So how do they deal with that? Do they get one big giant DB2 instance and stuff all the data in there, and infuse it with MI? Is that even practical? How do they solve this problem? >> Yeah, that's a great question. And there's, again, there's a multi-layered answer to that. But let me start with the most, you know, one of the big changes, one of the massive shifts that's been going on over the last decade is the shift to cloud. And people think of the shift to cloud as, well, I don't have to own the server. Someone else will own the server. That's actually not the right way to look at it. I mean, that is one element of cloud computing, but it's not, for me, the most transformative. The big thing about the cloud is the introduction of fully-managed services. It's not just you don't own the server. You don't have to install, configure, or tune anything. Now that's directly related to the topic that you just raised, because people have expertise, domains of expertise in their business. Maybe you're a manufacturer and you have expertise in manufacturing. If you're a bank, you have expertise in banking. You may not be a high-tech expert. You may not have deep skills in tech. So one of the great elements of the cloud is that now you can use these fully managed services and you don't have to be a database expert anymore. You don't have to be an expert in tuning SQL or JSON, or yadda yadda. Someone else takes care of that for you, and that's the elegance of a fully managed service, not just that someone else has got the hardware, but they're taking care of all the complexity. And that's huge. The other thing that I would say is, you know, the companies that are really like the big data houses, they got lots of data, they've spent the last 20 years working so hard to converge their data into larger and larger data lakes. And some have been more successful than others. But everybody has found that that's quite hard to do. Data is coming in many places, in many different repositories, and trying to consolidate, you know, rip the data out, constantly ripping it out and replicating into some data lake where you, or data warehouse where you can do your analytics, is complicated. And it means in some ways you're multiplying your costs because you have the data in its original location and now you're copying it into yet another location. You've got to pay for that, too. So you're multiplying costs. So one of the things I'm very excited about at IBM is we've been working on this new technology that we've now branded it as IBM Queryplex. And that gives us the ability to query data across all of these myriad sources as if they are in one place. As if they are a single consolidated data lake, and make it all look like (snaps) one repository. And not only to the application appear as one repository, but actually tap into the processing power of every one of those data sources. So if you have 1,000 of them, we'll bring to bear the power 1,000 data sources and all that computing and all that memory on these analytics problems. >> Well, give me an example why that matters, of what would be a real-world application of that. >> Oh, sure, so there, you know, there's a couple of examples. I'll give you two extremes, two different extremes. One extreme would be what I'll call enterprise, enterprise data consolidation or virtualization, where you're a large institution and you have several of these repositories. Maybe you got some IBM repositories like DB2. Maybe you've got a little bit of Oracle and a little bit of SQL Server. Maybe you've got some open source stuff like Postgres or MySQL. You got a bunch of these and different departments use different things, and it develops over decades and to some extent you can't even control it, (laughs) right? And now you just want to get analytics on that. You just, what's this data telling me? And as long as all that data is sitting in these, you know, dozens or hundreds of different repositories, you can't tell, unless you copy it all out into a big data lake, which is expensive and complicated. So Queryplex will solve that problem. >> So it's sort of a virtual data store. >> Yeah, and one of the terms, many different terms that are used, but one of the terms that's used in the industry is data virtualization. So that would be a suitable terminology here as well. To make all that data in hundreds, thousands, even millions of possible data sources, appear as one thing, it has to tap into the processing power of all of them at once. Now, that's one extreme. Let's take another extreme, which is even more extreme, which is the IoT scenario, Internet of Things, right? Internet of Things. Imagine you've, have devices, you know, shipping containers and smart meters on buildings. You could literally have 100,000 of these or a million of these things. They're usually small; they don't usually have a lot of data on them. But they can store, usually, couple of months of data. And what's fascinating about that is that most analytics today are really on the most recent you know, 48 hours or four weeks, maybe. And that time is getting shorter and shorter, because people are doing analytics more regularly and they're interested in, just tell me what's going on recently. >> I got to geek out here, for a second. >> Please, well thanks for the warning. (laughs) >> And I know you know things, but I'm not a, I'm not a technical person, but I've been a molt. I've been around a long time. A lot of questions on data virtualization, but let me start with Queryplex. The name is really interesting to me. When I, and you're a database expert, so I'm going to tap your expertise. When I read the Google Spanner paper, I called up my colleague David Floyer, who's an ex-IBM, I said, "This is like global Sysplex. "It's a global distributed thing," And he goes, "Yeah, kind of." And I got very excited. And then my eyes started bleeding when I read the paper, but the name, Queryplex, is it a play on Sysplex? Is there-- >> It's actually, there's a long story. I don't think I can say the story on-air, but we, suffice it to say we wanted to get a name that was legally usable and also descriptive. >> Dave: Okay. >> And we went through literally hundreds and hundreds of permutations of words and we finally landed on Queryplex. But, you know, you mentioned Google Spanner. I probably should spend a moment to differentiate how what we're doing is-- >> Great, if you would. >> A different kind of thing. You know, on Google Spanner, you put data into Google Spanner. With Queryplex, you don't put data into it. >> Dave: Don't have to move it. >> You don't have to move it. You leave it where it is. You can have your data in DB2, you can have it in Oracle, you can have it in a flat file, you can have an Excel spreadsheet, and you know, think about that. An Excel spreadsheet, a collection of text files, comma delimited text files, SQL Server, Oracle, DB2, Netezza, all these things suddenly appear as one database. So that's the transformation. It's not about we'll take your data and copy it into our system, this is about leave your data where it is, and we're going to tap into your (snaps) existing systems for you and help you see them in a unified way. So it's a very different paradigm than what others have done. Part of the reason why we're so excited about it is we're, as far as we know, nobody else is really doing anything quite like this. >> And is that what gets people to the 21st century, basically, is that they have all these legacy systems and yet the conversion is much simpler, much more economical for them? >> Yeah, exactly. It's economical, it's fast. (snaps) You can deploy this in, you know, a very small amount of time. And we're here today talking about machine learning and it's a very good segue to point out in order to get to high-quality AI, you need to have a really strong foundation of an information architecture. And for the industry to show up, as some have done over the past decade, and keep telling people to re-architect their data infrastructure, keep modifying their databases and creating new databases and data lakes and warehouses, you know, it's just not realistic. And so we want to provide a different path. A path that says we're going to make it possible for you to have superb machine learning, cognitive computing, artificial intelligence, and you don't have to rebuild your information architecture. We're going to make it possible for you to leverage what you have and do something special. >> This is exciting. I wasn't aware of this capability. And we were talking earlier about the cloud and the managed service component of that as a major driver of lowering cost and complexity. There's another factor here, which is, we talked about moving data-- >> Right. >> And that's one of the most expensive components of any infrastructure. If I got to move data and the transmission costs and the latency, it's virtually impossible. Speed of light's still up. I know you guys are working on speed of light, but (Sam laughs) you'll eventually get there. >> Right. >> Maybe. But the other thing about cloud economics, and this relates to sort of Queryplex. There's this API economy. You've got virtually zero marginal costs. When you were talking, I was writing these down. You got global scale, it's never down, you've got this network effect working for you. Are you able to, are the standards there? Are you able to replicate those sort of cloud economics the APIs, the standards, that scale, even though you're not in control of this, there's not a single point of control? Can you explain sort of how that magic works? >> Yeah, well I think the API economy is for real and it's very important for us. And it's very important that, you know, we talk about API standards. There's a beautiful quote I once heard. The beautiful thing about standards is there's so many to choose from. (All laugh) And the reality is that, you know, you have standards that are official standards, and then you have the de facto standards because something just catches on and nobody blessed it. It just got popular. So that's a big part of what we're doing at IBM is being at the forefront of adopting the standards that matter. We made a big, a big investment in being Spark compatible, and, in fact, even with Queryplex. You can issue Spark SQL against Queryplex even though it's not a Spark engine, per se, but we make it look and feel like it can be Spark SQL. Another critical point here, when we talk about the API economy, and the speed of light, and movement to the cloud, and these topics you just raised, the friction of the Internet is an unbelievable friction. (John laughs) It's unbelievable. I mean, you know, when you go and watch a movie over the Internet, your home connection is just barely keeping up. I mean, you're pushing it, man. So a gigabyte, you know, a gigabyte an hour or something like that, right? Okay, and if you're a big company, maybe you have a fatter pipe. But not a lot fatter. I mean, not orders of, you're talking incredible friction. And what that means is that it is difficult for people, for companies, to en masse, move everything to the cloud. It's just not happening overnight. And, again, in the interest of doing the best possible service to our customers, that's why we've made it a fundamental element of our strategy in IBM to be a hybrid, what we call hybrid data management company, so that the APIs that we use on the cloud, they are compatible with the APIs that we use on premises. And whether that's software or private cloud. You've got software, you've got private cloud, you've got public cloud. And our APIs are going to be consistent across, and applications that you code for one will run on the other. And you can, that makes it a lot easier to migrate at your leisure when you're ready. >> Makes a lot of sense. That way you can bring cloud economics and the cloud operating model to your data, wherever the data exists. Listening to you speak, Sam, it reminds me, do you remember when Bob Metcalfe who I used to work with at IDG, predicted the collapse of the Internet? He predicted that year after year after year, in speech after speech, that it was so fragile, and you're bringing back that point of, guys, it's still, you know, a lot of friction. So that's very interesting, (laughs) as an architect. >> You think Bob's going to be happy that you brought up that he predicted the Internet was going to be its own demise? (Sam laughs) >> Well, he did it in-- >> I'm just saying. >> I'm staying out of it, man. >> He did it as a lightning rod. >> As a talking-- >> To get the industry to respond, and he had a big enough voice so he could do that. >> That it worked, right. But so I want to get back to Queryplex and the secret sauce. Somehow you're creating this data virtualization capability. What's the secret sauce behind it? >> Yeah, so I think, we're not the first to try, by the way. Actually this problem-- >> Hard problem. >> Of all these data sources all over the place, you try to make them look like one thing. People have been trying to figure out how to do that since like the '70s, okay, so, but-- >> Dave: Really hasn't worked. >> And it hasn't worked. And really, the reason why it hasn't worked is that there's been two fundamental strategies. One strategy is, you have a central coordinator that tries to speak to each of these data sources. So I've got, let's say, 10,000 data sources. I want to have one coordinator tap into each of them and have a dialogue. And what happens is that that coordinator, a server, an agent somewhere, becomes a network bottleneck. You were talking about the friction of the Internet. This is a great example of friction. One coordinator trying to speak to, you know, and collaborators becomes a point of friction. And it also becomes a point of friction not only in the Internet, but also in the computation, because he ends up doing too much of the work. There's too many things that cannot be done at the, at these edge repositories, aggregations, and joins, and so on. So all the aggregations and joins get done by this one sucker who can't keep up. >> Dave: The queue. >> Yeah, so there's a big queue, right. So that's one strategy that didn't work. The other strategy that people tried was sort of an end squared topology where every data source tries to speak to every other data source. And that doesn't scale as well. So what we've done in Queryplex is something that we think is unique and much more organic where we try to organize the universe or constellation of these data sources so that every data source speaks to a small number of peers but not a large number of peers. And that way no single source is a bottleneck, either in network or in computation. That's one trick. And the second trick is we've designed algorithms that can truly be distributed. So you can do joins in a distributed manner. You can do aggregation in a distributed manner. These are things, you know, when I say aggregation, I'm talking about simple things like a sum or an average or a median. These are super popular in, in analytic queries. Everybody wants to do a sum or an average or a median, right? But in the past, those things were hard to do in a distributed manner, getting all the participants in this universe to do some small incremental piece of the computation. So it's really these two things. Number one, this organic, dynamically forming constellation of devices. Dynamically forming a way that is latency aware. So if I'm a, if I represent a data source that's joining this universe or constellation, I'm going to try to find peers who I have a fast connection with. If all the universe of peers were out there, I'll try to find ones that are fast. And the second is having algorithms that we can all collaborate on. Those two things change the game. >> We're getting the two minute sign, and this is fascinating stuff. But so, how do you deal with the data consistency problem? You hear about eventual consistency and people using atomic clocks and-- Right, so Queryplex, you know, there's a reason we call it Queryplex not Dataplex. Queryplex is really a read-only operation. >> Dave: Oh, there you go. >> You've got all these-- >> Problem solved. (laughs) >> Problem solved. You've got all these data sources. They're already doing their, they already have data's coming in how it's coming in. >> Dave: Simple and brilliant. >> Right, and we're not changing any of that. All we're saying is, if you want to query them as one, you can query them as one. I should say a few words about the machine learning that we're doing here at the conference. We've talked about the importance of an information architecture and how that lays a foundation for machine learning. But one of the things that we're showing and demonstrating at the conference today, or at the showcase today, is how we're actually putting machine learning into the database. Create databases that learn and improve over time, learn from experience. In 1952, Arthur Samuel was a researcher at IBM who first, had one of the most fundamental breakthroughs in machine learning when he created a machine learning algorithm that will play checkers. And he programmed this checker playing game of his so it would learn over time. And then he had a great idea. He programmed it so it would play itself, thousands and thousands and thousands of times over, so it would actually learn from its own mistakes. And, you know, the evolution since then. Deep Blue playing chess and so on. The Watson Jeopardy game. We've seen tremendous potential in machine learning. We're putting into the database so databases can be smarter, faster, more consistent, and really just out of the box (snaps) performing. >> I'm glad you brought that up. I was going to ask you, because the legend Steve Mills once said to me, I had asked him a question about in-memory databases. He said ever databases have been around, in-memory databases have been around. But ML-infused databases are new. >> Sam: That's right, something totally new. >> Dave: Yeah, great. >> Well, you mentioned Deep Blue. Looking forward to having Garry Kasparov on a little bit later on here. And I know he's speaking as well. But fascinating stuff that you've covered here, Sam. We appreciate the time here. >> Thank you, thanks for having me. >> And wish you continued success, as well. >> Thank you very much. >> Sam Lightstone, IBM fellow joining us here live on the Cube. We're back with more here from New York City right after this. (electronic music)

Published Date : Feb 27 2018

SUMMARY :

Brought to you by IBM. and we're now joined by Sam Lightstone, Great to be back. Yeah, good to have you here on kind of a moldy New York day and it's all about the data. the kinds of data that you already have in your mind. I mean, it is for the big data, you know, and trying to consolidate, you know, rip the data out, of what would be a real-world application of that. and you have several of these repositories. Yeah, and one of the terms, Please, well thanks for the warning. And I know you know things, but I'm not a, suffice it to say we wanted to get a name that was But, you know, you mentioned Google Spanner. With Queryplex, you don't put data into it. and you know, think about that. And for the industry to show up, and the managed service component of that And that's one of the most expensive components and this relates to sort of Queryplex. And the reality is that, you know, and the cloud operating model to your data, To get the industry What's the secret sauce behind it? Yeah, so I think, we're not the first to try, by the way. you try to make them look like one thing. And really, the reason why it hasn't worked is that And the second trick is Right, so Queryplex, you know, Problem solved. You've got all these data sources. and really just out of the box (snaps) performing. because the legend Steve Mills once said to me, Well, you mentioned Deep Blue. live on the Cube.

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Dinesh Nirmal, IBM | Machine Learning Everywhere 2018


 

>> Announcer: Live from New York, it's theCUBE, covering Machine Learning Everywhere: Build Your Ladder to AI. Brought to you by IBM. >> Welcome back to Midtown, New York. We are at Machine Learning Everywhere: Build Your Ladder to AI being put on by IBM here in late February in the Big Apple. Along with Dave Vellante, I'm John Walls. We're now joined by Dinesh Nirmal, who is the Vice President of Analytics Development and Site Executive at the IBM Silicon Valley lab, soon. Dinesh, good to see you, this morning, sir. >> Thank you, John. >> Fresh from California. You look great. >> Thanks. >> Alright, you've talked about this, and it's really your world: data, the new normal. Explain that. When you say it's the new normal, what exactly... How is it transforming, and what are people having to adjust to in terms of the new normal. >> So, if you look at data, I would say each and every one of us has become a living data set. Our age, our race, our salary. What our likes or dislikes, every business is collecting every second. I mean, every time you use your phone, that data is transmitted somewhere, stored somewhere. And, airlines for example, is looking, you know, what do you like? Do you like an aisle seat? Do you like to get home early? You know, all those data. >> All of the above, right? >> And petabytes and zettabytes of data is being generated. So now, businesses' challenge is that how do you take that data and make insights out of it to serve you as a better customer. That's where I've come to, but the biggest challenge is that, how do you deal with this tremendous amount of data? That is the challenge. And creating sites out of it. >> That's interesting. I mean, that means the definition of identity is really... For decades it's been the same, and what you just described is a whole new persona, identity of an individual. >> And now, you take the data, and you add some compliance or provisioning like GDPR on top of it, all of a sudden how do-- >> John: What is GDPR? For those who might not be familiar with it. >> Dinesh: That's the regulatory term that's used by EU to make sure that, >> In the EU. >> If me as a customer come to an enterprise, say, I don't want any of my data stored, it's up to you to go delete that data completely, right? That's the term that's being used. And that goes into effect in May. How do you make sure that that data gets completely deleted by that time the customer has... How do you get that consent from the customer to go do all those... So there's a whole lot of challenges, as data multiplies, how do you deal with the data, how do you create insights to the data, how do you create consent on the data, how do you be compliant on that data, how do you create the policies that's needed to generate that data? All those things need to be... Those are the challenges that enterprises face. >> You bring up GDPR, which, for those who are not familiar with it, actually went into effect last year but the fines go into effect this year, and the fines are onerous, like 4% of turnover, I mean it's just hideous, and the question I have for you is, this is really scary for companies because they've been trying to catch up to the big data world, and so they're just throwing big data projects all over the place, which is collecting data, oftentimes private information, and now the EU is coming down and saying, "Hey you have to be able to, if requested, delete that." A lot of times they don't even know where it is, so big challenge. Are you guys, can you help? >> Yeah, I mean, today if you look at it, the data exists all over the place. I mean, whether it's in your relational database or in your Hadoop, unstructured data, whereas you know, optics store, it exists everywhere. And you have to have a way to say where the data is and the customer has to consent given to go, for you to look at the data, for you to delete the data, all those things. We have tools that we have built and we have been in the business for a very long time for example our governance catalog where you can see all the data sources, the policies that's associated with it, the compliance, all those things. So for you to look through that catalog, and you can see which data is GDPR compliant, which data is not, which data you can delete, which data you cannot. >> We were just talking in the open, Dave made the point that many companies, you need all-stars, not just somebody who has a specialty in one particular area, but maybe somebody who's in a particular regiment and they've got to wear about five different hats. So how do you democratize data to the point that you can make these all-stars? Across all kinds of different business units or different focuses within a company, because all of a sudden people have access to great reams of information. I've never had to worry about this before. But now, you've got to spread that wealth out and make everybody valuable. >> Right, really good question. Like I said, the data is existing everywhere, and most enterprises don't want to move the data. Because it's a tremendous effort to move from an existing place to another one and make sure the applications work and all those things. We are building a data virtualization layer, a federation layer, whereby which if you are, let's say you're a business unit. You want to get access to that data. Now you can use that federational data virtualization layer without moving data, to go and grab that small piece of data, if you're a data scientist, let's say, you want only a very small piece of data that exists in your enterprise. You can go after, without moving the data, just pick that data, do your work, and build a model, for example, based on that data. So that data virtualization layer really helps because it's basically an SQL statement, if I were to simplify it. That can go after the data that exists, whether it's at relational or non-relational place, and then bring it back, have your work done, and then put that data back into work. >> I don't want to be a pessimist, because I am an optimist, but it's scary times for companies. If they're a 20th century organization, they're really built around human expertise. How to make something, how to transact something, or how to serve somebody, or consult, whatever it is. The 21st century organization, data is foundational. It's at the core, and if my data is all over the place, I wasn't born data-driven, born in the cloud, all those buzzwords, how do traditional organizations catch up? What's the starting point for them? >> Most, if not all, enterprises are moving into a data-driven economy, because it's all going to be driven by data. Now it's not just data, you have to change your applications also. Because your applications are the ones that's accessing the data. One, how do you make an application adaptable to the amount of data that's coming in? How do you make accuracy? I mean, if you're building a model, having an accurate model, generating accuracy, is key. How do you make it performant, or govern and self-secure? That's another challenge. How do you make it measurable, monitor all those things? If you take three or four core tenets, that's what the 21st century's going to be about, because as we augment our humans, or developers, with AI and machine learning, it becomes more and more critical how do you bring these three or four core tenets into the data so that, as the data grows, the applications can also scale. >> Big task. If you look at the industries that have been disrupted, taxis, hotels, books, advertising. >> Dinesh: Retail. >> Retail, thank you. Maybe less now, and you haven't seen that disruption yet in banks, insurance companies, certainly parts of government, defense, you haven't seen a big disruption yet, but it's coming. If you've got the data all over the place, you said earlier that virtually every company has to be data-driven, but a lot of companies that I talk to say, "Well, our industry is kind of insulated," or "Yeah, we're going to wait and see." That seems to me to be the recipe for disaster, what are your thoughts on that? >> I think the disruption will come from three angles. One, AI. Definitely that will change the way, blockchain, another one. When you say, we haven't seen in the financial side, blockchain is going to change that. Third is quantum computing. The way we do compute is completely going to change by quantum computing. So I think the disruption is coming. Those are the three, if I have to predict into the 21st century, that will change the way we work. I mean, AI is already doing a tremendous amount of work. Now a machine can basically look at an image and say what it is, right? We have Watson for cancer oncology, we have 400 to 500,000 patients being treated by Watson. So AI is changing, not just from an enterprise perspective, but from a socio-economic perspective and a from a human perspective, so Watson is a great example for that. But yeah, disruption is happening as we speak. >> And do you agree that foundational to AI is the data? >> Oh yeah. >> And so, with your clients, like you said, you described it, they've got data all over the place, it's all in silos, not all, but much of it is in silos. How does IBM help them be a silo-buster? >> Few things, right? One, data exists everywhere. How do you make sure you get access to the data without moving the data, that's one. But if you look at the whole lifecycle, it's about ingesting the data, bringing the data, cleaning the data, because like you said, data becomes the core. Garbage in, garbage out. You cannot get good models unless the data is clean. So there's that whole process, I would say if you're a data scientist, probably 70% of your time is spent on cleaning the data, making the data ready for building a model or for a model to consume. And then once you build that model, how do you make sure that the model gets retrained on a regular basis, how do you monitor the model, how do you govern the model, so that whole aspect goes in. And then the last piece is visualizational reporting. How do you make sure, once the model or the application is built, how do you create a report that you want to generate or you want to visualize that data. The data becomes the base layer, but then there's a whole lifecycle on top of it based on that data. >> So the formula for future innovation, then, starts with data. You add in AI, I would think that cloud economics, however we define that, is also a part of that. My sense is most companies aren't ready, what's your take? >> For the cloud, or? >> I'm talking about innovation. If we agree that innovation comes from the data plus AI plus you've got to have... By cloud economics I mean it's an API economy, you've got massive scale, those kinds of, to compete. If you look at the disruptions in taxis and retail, it's got cloud economics underneath it. So most customers don't really have... They haven't yet even mastered cloud economics, yet alone the data and the AI component. So there's a big gap. >> It's a huge challenge. How do we take the data and create insights out of the data? And not just existing data, right? The data is multiplying by the second. Every second, petabytes or zettabytes of data are being generated. So you're not thinking about the data that exists within your enterprise right now, but now the data is coming from several different places. Unstructured data, structured data, semi-structured data, how do you make sense of all of that? That is the challenge the customers face, and, if you have existing data, on top of the newcoming data, how do you predict what do you want to come out of that. >> It's really a pretty tough conundrum that some companies are in, because if you're behind the curve right now, you got a lot of catching up to do. So you think that we have to be in this space, but keeping up with this space, because the change happens so quickly, is really hard, so we have to pedal twice as fast just to get in the game. So talk about the challenge, how do you address it? How do you get somebody there to say, "Yep, here's your roadmap. "I know it's going to be hard, "but once you get there you're going to be okay, "or at least you're going to be on a level playing field." >> I look at the three D's. There's the data, there's the development of the models or the applications, and then the deployment of those models or applications into your existing enterprise infrastructure. Not only the data is changing, but that development of the models, the tools that you use to develop are also changing. If you look at just the predictive piece, I mean look from the 80's to now. You look at vanilla machine learning versus deep learning, I mean there's so many tools available. How do you bring it all together to make sense which one would you use? I think, Dave, you mentioned Hadoop was the term from a decade ago, now it's about object store and how do you make sure that data is there or JSON and all those things. Everything is changing, so how do you bring, as an enterprise, you keep up, afloat, on not only the data piece, but all the core infrastructure piece, the applications piece, the development of those models piece, and then the biggest challenge comes when you have to deploy it. Because now you have a model that you have to take and deploy in your current infrastructure, which is not easy. Because you're infusing machine learning into your legacy applications, your third-party software, software that was written in the 60's and 70's, it's not an easy task. I was at a major bank in Europe, and the CTO mentioned to me that, "Dinesh, we built our model in three weeks. "It has been 11 months, we still haven't deployed it." And that's the reality. >> There's a cultural aspect too, I think. I think it was Rob Thomas, I was reading a blog that he wrote, and he said that he was talking to a customer saying, "Thank god I'm not in the technology industry, "things change so fast I could never, "so glad I'm not a software company." And Rob's reaction was, "Uh, hang on. (laughs) "You are in the technology business, "you are a software company." And so there's that cultural mindset. And you saw it with GE, Jeffrey Immelt said, "I went to bed an industrial giant, "woke up a software company." But look at the challenges that industrial giant has had transforming, so... They need partners, they need people that have done this before, they need expertise and obviously technology, but it's people and process that always hold it up. >> I mean technology is one piece, and that's where I think companies like IBM make a huge difference. You understand enterprise. Because you bring that wealth of knowledge of working with them for decades and they understand your infrastructure, and that is a core element, like I said the last piece is the deployment piece, how do you bring that model into your existing infrastructure and make sure that it fits into that architecture. And that involves a tremendous amount of work, skills, and knowledge. >> Job security. (all laugh) >> Dinesh, thanks for being with us this morning, we appreciate that and good luck with the rest of the event, here in New York City. Back with more here on theCUBE, right after this. (calming techno music)

Published Date : Feb 27 2018

SUMMARY :

Brought to you by IBM. and Site Executive at the IBM Silicon Valley lab, soon. You look great. When you say it's the new normal, what exactly... I mean, every time you use your phone, how do you take that data and make insights out of it and what you just described is a whole new persona, For those who might not be familiar with it. How do you get that consent from the customer and the question I have for you is, given to go, for you to look at the data, So how do you democratize data to the point a federation layer, whereby which if you are, It's at the core, and if my data is all over the place, One, how do you make If you look at the industries that have been disrupted, Maybe less now, and you haven't seen that disruption yet When you say, we haven't seen in the financial side, like you said, you described it, how do you make sure that the model gets retrained So the formula for future innovation, If you look at the disruptions in taxis and retail, how do you predict what do you want to come out of that. So talk about the challenge, how do you address it? and how do you make sure that data is there And you saw it with GE, Jeffrey Immelt said, how do you bring that model the rest of the event, here in New York City.

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Kickoff John Walls and Dave Vellante | Machine Learning Everywhere 2018


 

>> Announcer: Live from New York, it's theCUBE! Covering Machine Learning Everywhere: Build Your Ladder To AI. Brought to you by IBM. >> Well, good morning! Welcome here on theCUBE. Along with Dave Vellante, I'm John Walls. We're in Midtown New York for IBM's Machine Learning Everywhere: Build Your Ladder To AI. Great lineup of guests we have for you today, looking forward to bringing them to you, including world champion chess master Garry Kasparov a little bit later on. It's going to be fascinating. Dave, glad you're here. Dave, good to see you, sir. >> John, always a pleasure. >> How you been? >> Up from DC, you know, I was in your area last week doing some stuff with John Furrier, but I've been great. >> Stopped by the White House, drop in? >> You know, I didn't this time. No? >> No. >> Dave: My son, as you know, goes to school down there, so when I go by my hotel, I always walk by the White House, I wave. >> Just in case, right? >> No reciprocity. >> Same deal, we're in the same boat. Let's talk about what we have coming up here today. We're talking about this digital transformation that's going on within multiple industries. But you have an interesting take on it that it's a different wave, and it's a bigger wave, and it's an exciting wave right now, that digital is creating. >> Look at me, I've been around for a long time. I think we're entering a new era. You know, the great thing about theCUBE is you go to all these events, you hear the innovations, and we started theCUBE in 2010. The Big Data theme was just coming in, and it appeared, everybody was very excited. Still excited, obviously, about the data-driven concept. But we're now entering a new era. It's like every 10 years, the parlance in our industry changes. It was cloud, Big Data, SaaS, mobile, social. It just feels like, okay, we're here. We're doing that now. That's sort of a daily ritual. We used to talk about how it's early innings. It's not anymore. It's the late innings for those. I think the industry is changing. The describers of what we're entering are autonomous, pervasive, self-healing, intelligent. When you infuse artificial intelligence, I'm not crazy about that name, but when you infuse that throughout the landscape, things start to change. Data is at the center of it, but I think, John, we're going to see the parlance change. IBM, for example, uses cognitive. People use artificial intelligence. I like machine intelligence. We're trying to still figure out the names. To me, it's an indicator that things are changing. It's early innings now. What we're seeing is a whole new set of opportunities emerging, and if you think about it, it's based on this notion of digital services, where data is at the center. That's something that I want to poke at with the folks at IBM and our guests today. How are people going to build new companies? You're certainly seeing it with the likes of Uber, Airbnb, Waze. It's built on these existing cloud and security, off-the-shelf, if you will, horizontal technologies. How are new companies going to be built, what industries are going to be disruptive? Hint, every industry. But really, the key is, how will existing companies keep pace? That's what I really want to understand. >> You said, every industry's going to be disrupted, which is certainly, I think, an exciting prospect in some respects, but a little scary to some, too, right? Because they think, "No, we're fat and happy "and things are going well right now in our space, "and we know our space better than anybody." Some of those leaders might be thinking that. But as you point out, digital technology has transformed to the extent now that there's nobody safe, because you just slap this application in, you put this technology in, and I'm going to change your business overnight. >> That's right. Digital means data, data is at the center of this transformation. A colleague of mine, David Moschella, has come up with this concept of the matrix, and what the matrix is is a set of horizontal technology services. Think about cloud, or SaaS, or security, or mobile, social, all the way up the stack through data services. But when you look at the companies like Airbnb and Uber and, certainly, what Google is doing, and Facebook, and others, they're building services on top of this matrix. The matrix is comprised of vertical slices by industry and horizontal slices of technology. Disruptors are cobbling together through software and data new sets of services that are disrupting industries. The key to this, John, in my view, anyway, is that, historically, within healthcare or financial services, or insurance, or manufacturing, or education, those were very siloed. But digital and data allows companies and disruptors to traverse silos like never before. Think about it. Amazon buying Whole Foods. Apple getting into healthcare and financial services. You're seeing these big giants disrupt all of these different industries, and even smaller guys, there's certainly room for startups. But it's all around the data and the digital transformation. >> You spoke about traditional companies needing to convert, right? Needing to get caught up, perhaps, or to catch up with what's going on in that space. What do you do with your workforce in that case? You've got a bunch of great, hardworking people, embedded legacy. You feel good about where you are. And now you're coming to that workforce and saying, "Here's a new hat." >> I think that's a great question. I think the concern that one would have for traditional companies is, data is not foundational for most companies. It's not at their core. The vast majority of companies, the core are the people. You hear it all the time. "The people are our greatest asset." That, I hate to say it, but it's somewhat changing. If you look at the top five companies by market cap, their greatest asset is their data, and the people are surrounding that data. They're very, very important because they know how to leverage that data. But if you look at most traditional companies, people are at their core. Data is kind of, "Oh, we got this bolt-on," or it's in a bunch of different silos. The big question is, how do they close that gap? You're absolutely right. The key is skillsets, and the skills have to be, you know, we talk about five-tool baseball players. You're a baseball fan, as am I. Well, you need multi-tool players, those that understand not only the domain of whether it's marketing or sales or operational expertise or finance, but they also require digital expertise. They know, for example, if you're a marketing professional, they know how to do hypertargeting. They know how to leverage social. They know how to do SEO, all these digital skills, and they know how to get information that's relevant and messaging out into the marketplace and permeate that. And so, we're entering, again, this whole new world that's highly scalable, highly intelligent, pervasive, autonomous. We're going to talk about that today with a lot of their guests, with a lot of our guests, that really are kind of futurists and have thought through, I think, the changes that are coming. >> You can't have a DH anymore, right, that's what you're saying? You need a guy that can play the field. >> Not only play the field, not only a utility player, but somebody who's a utility player, but great. Best of breed at all these different skillsets. >> Machine learning, we haven't talked much about that, and another term, right, that certainly has different definitions, but certainly real specific applications to what's going on today. We'll talk a lot about ML today. Your thoughts about that, and how that squares into the artificial intelligence picture, and what we're doing with all those machines out there that are churning 24/7. >> Yeah, so, real quick, I know we're tight on time here. Artificial intelligence to me is the umbrella. Machine learning is the application of math and algorithms to solve a particular problem or answer a particular question. And then there's deep learning, which is highly focused neural networks that go deeper and deeper and deeper, and become auto-didactic, self-learning, in a manner. Those are just the very quick and rudimentary description. Machine learning to me is the starting point, and that's really where organizations really want to start to learn and begin to close the gap. >> A lot of ground to cover, and we're going to do that for you right here on theCUBE as we continue our coverage of Machine Learning Everywhere: Your Ladder To AI, coming up here, IBM hosting us in Midtown, New York. Back with more here on theCUBE in just a bit. (fast electronic music)

Published Date : Feb 27 2018

SUMMARY :

Brought to you by IBM. Great lineup of guests we have for you today, Up from DC, you know, I was in your area last week You know, I didn't this time. I always walk by the White House, I wave. But you have an interesting take on it that and if you think about it, and I'm going to change your business overnight. But when you look at the companies like Airbnb or to catch up with what's going on in that space. and the skills have to be, You need a guy that can play the field. Not only play the field, and what we're doing with all those machines out there of math and algorithms to solve a particular problem and we're going to do that for you right here on theCUBE

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