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Dipti Borkar, Ahana, and Derrick Harcey, Securonix | CUBE Conversation, July 2021


 

(upbeat music) >> Welcome to theCUBE Conversation. I'm John Furrier, host of theCUBE here in Palo Alto, California, in our studios. We've got a great conversation around open data link analytics on AWS, two great companies, Ahana and Securonix. Dipti Borkar, Co-founder and Chief Product Officer at Ahana's here. Great to see you, and Derrick Harcey, Chief Architect at Securonix. Thanks for coming on, really appreciate you guys spending the time. >> Yeah, thanks so much, John. Thank you for having us and Derrick, hello again. (laughing) >> Hello, Dipti. >> We had a great conversation around our startup showcase, which you guys were featured last month this year, 2021. The conversation continues and a lot of people are interested in this idea of open systems, open source. Obviously open data lakes is really driving a lot of value, especially with machine learning and whatnot. So this is a key, key point. So can you guys just take a step back before we get under the hood and set the table on Securonix and Ahana? What's the big play here? What is the value proposition? >> Why sure, I'll give a quick update. Securonix has been in the security business. First, a user and entity, behavioral analytics, and then the next generation SIEM platform for 10 years now. And we really need to take advantage of some cutting edge technologies in the open source community and drive adoption and momentum that we can not only bring in data from our customers, that they can find security threats, but also store in a way that they can use for other purposes within their organization. That's where the open data lake is very critical. >> Yeah and to add on to that, John, what we've seen, you know, traditionally we've had data warehouses, right? We've had operational systems move all of their data into the warehouse and those, you know, while these systems are really good, built for good use cases, the amount of data is exploding, the types of data is exploding, different types, semi-structured, structured and so when, as companies like Securonix in the security space, as well as other verticals, look for getting more insights out of their data, there's a new approach that's emerging where you have a data lake, which AWS has revolutionized with S3 and commoditized and there's analytics that's built on top of it. And so we're seeing a lot of good advantages that come out of this new approach. >> Well, it's interesting EC2 and S3 are having their 15th birthday, as they say in Amazon's interesting teenage years, but while I got you guys here, I want to just ask you, can you define the SIEM thing because the SIEM market is exploding, it just changed a little bit. Obviously it's data, event management, but again, as data becomes more proliferating, and it's not stopping anytime soon, as cloud native applications emerge, why is this important? What is this SIEM category? What's it about? >> Yeah, thanks. I'll take that. So obviously SIEM traditionally has been around for about a couple of decades and it really started with first log collection and management and rule-based threat detection. Now what we call next generation SIEM is really the modernization of a security platform that includes streaming threat detection and behavioral analysis and data analytics. We literally look for thousands of different threat detection techniques, and we chained together sequences of events and we stream everything in real time and it's very important to find threats as quickly as possible. But the momentum that we see in the industry as we see massive sizes of customers, we have made a transition from on-premise to the cloud and we literally are processing tens of petabytes of data for our customers. And it's critical that we can adjust data quickly, find threats quickly and allow customers to have the tools to respond to those security incidents quickly and really get the handle on their security posture. >> Derrick, if I ask you what's different about this next gen SIEM, what would you say and what's the big a-ha? What's the moment there? What's the key thing? >> The real key is taking the off the boundaries of scale. We want to be able to ingest massive quantities of data. We want to be able to do instant threat detection, and we want to be able to search on the entire forensic data set across all of the history of our customer base. In the past, we had to make sacrifices, either on the amount of data we ingest or the amount of time that we stored that data. And the really the next generation SIEM platform is offering advanced capabilities on top of that data set because those boundaries are no longer barriers for us. >> Dipti, any comment before I jump into the question for you? >> Yeah, you know, absolutely. It is about scale and like I mentioned earlier, the amount of data is only increasing and it's also the types of information. So the systems that were built to process this information in the past are, you know, support maybe terabytes of data, right? And that's where new technologies open source engines like Presto come in, which were built to handle internet scale. Presto was kind of created at Facebook to handle these petabytes that Derrick is talking about that every industry is now seeing where we're are moving from gigs to terabytes to petabytes. And that's where the analytic stack is moving. >> That's a great segue. I want to ask you while I got you here 'cause this is again, the definitions, 'cause people love to hear the experts weigh in. What is open data lake analytics? How would you define that? And then talk about where Presto fits in. >> Yeah, that's a great question. So the way I define open data lake analytics is you have a data lake on the core, which is, let's say S3, it's the most popular one, but on top of it, there are open aspects, it is open format. Open formats play a very important role because you can have different types of processing. It could be SQL processing, it could be machine learning, it could be other types of workloads, all work on these open formats versus a proprietary format where it's locked and it's open interfaces. Open interfaces that are like SQL, JDBC, ODBC is widely accessible to a range of tools. And so it's everywhere. Open source is a very important part of it. As companies like Securonix pick these technologies for their mission critical systems, they want to know that this is going to be available and open for them for a long period of time. And that's why open source becomes important. And then finally, I would say open cloud because at the end of the day, you know, while AWS is where a lot of the innovations happening, a lot of the market is, there are other clouds and open cloud is something that these engines were built for, right? So that's how I define open data lake analytics. It's analytics with query engines built on top of these open formats, open source, open interfaces and open cloud. Now Presto comes in where you want to find the needle in the haystack, right? And so when you have these deep questions about where did the threat come from or who was it, right? You have to ask these questions of your data. And Presto is an open source distributed SQL engine that allows data platform teams to run queries on their data lakes in a high-performance ways, in memory and on these petabytes of data. So that's where Presto fits in. It's one of the defacto query engines for SQL analysis on the data lake. So hopefully that answers the question, gives more context. >> Yeah, I mean, the joke about data lakes has been you don't want to be a data swamp, right? That's what people don't want. >> That's right. >> But at the same time, the needle in the haystack, it's like big data is like a needle in a haystack of needles. So there's a constant struggle to getting that data, the right data at the right time. And what I learned in the last presentation, you guys both presented, your teams presented at the conference was the managed service approach. Could you guys talk about why that approach works well together with you guys? Because I think when people get to the cloud, they replatform, then they start refactoring and data becomes a real big part of that. Why is the managed service the best approach to solving these problems? >> Yeah and interestingly, both Securonix and Ahana have a managed service approach so maybe Derrick can go first and I can go after. >> Yeah, yeah. I'll be happy to go first. You know, we really have found making the transition over the last decade from off premise to the cloud for the majority of our customers that running a large open data lake requires a lot of different skillsets and there's hundreds of technologies in the open source community to choose from and to be able to choose the right blend of skillsets and technologies to produce a comprehensive service is something that customers can do, many customers did do, and it takes a lot of resources and effort. So what we really want to be able to do is take and package up our security service, our next generation SIEM platform to our customers where they don't need to become experts in every aspect of it. Now, an underlying component of that for us is how we store data in an open standards way and how we access that data in an open standards way. So just like we want our customers to get immediate value from the security services that we provide, we also want to be able take advantage of a search service that is offered to us and supported by a vendor like Ahana where we can very quickly take advantage of that value within our core underlying platform. So we really want to be able to make a frictionless effort to allow our customers achieve value as quick as possible. >> That's great stuff. And on the Ahana side, open data lakes, really the ease of use there, it sounds easy to me, but we know it's not easy just to put data in a data lake. At the end of the day, a lot of customers want simplicity 'cause they don't have the staffing. This comes up a lot. How do you leverage their open source participation and/or getting stood up quickly so they can get some value? Because that seems to be the number one thing people want right now. Dipti, how does that work? How do people get value quickly? >> Yeah, absolutely. When you talk about these open source press engines like Presto and others, right? They came out of these large internet companies that have a lot of distributed systems, engineers, PhDs, very kind of advanced level teams. And they can manage these distributed systems building onto them, add features at large scale, but not every company can and these engines are extremely powerful. So when you combine the power of Presto with the cloud and a managed service, that's where value for everyone comes in. And that's what I did with Ahana is looked at Presto, which is a great engine, but converted it into a great user experience so that whether it's a three person platform team or a five person platform team, they still get the same benefit of Presto that a Facebook gets, but at much, much a less operational complexity cost, as well as the ability to depend on a vendor who can then drive the innovation and make it even better. And so that's where managed services really com in. There's thousands of credit parameters that need to be tuned. With Ahana, you get it out of the box. So you have the best practices that are followed at these larger companies. Our team comes from Facebook, HuBERT and others, and you get that out of the box, with a few clicks you can get up and running. And so you see value immediately, in 30 minutes you're up and running and you can create your data lake versus with Hadoop and these prior systems, it would take months to receive real value from some of these systems. >> Yeah, we saw the Hadoop scar tissue is all great and all good now, but it takes too much resource, standing up clusters, managing it, you can't hire enough people. I got to ask you while you're on that topic, do you guys ship templates? How do you solve the problem of out of the box? You mentioned some out of the box capability. Do you guys think of as recipes, templates? What's your thoughts around what you're providing customers to get up and running? >> Yeah so in the case of Securonix, right, let's say they want to create a Presto cluster. They go into our SAS console. You essentially put in the number of nodes that you want. Number of workers you want. There's a lot of additional value that we built in like caching capabilities if you want more performance, built in cataloging that's again, another single click. And there isn't really as much of a template. Everybody gets the best tuned Presto for their workloads. Now there are certain workloads where you might have interactive in some cases, or you might have transformation batch ETL, and what we're doing next is actually giving you the knobs so that it comes pre tuned for the type of workload that you want to run versus you figuring it out. And so that's what I mean by out of the box, where you don't have to worry about these configuration parameters. You get the performance. And maybe Derrick can you talk a little bit about the benefits of the managed service and the usage as well. >> Yeah, absolutely. So, I'll answer the same question and then I'll tie back to what Dipti asked. Really, you know, our customers, we want it to be very easy for them to ingest security event logs. And there's really hundreds of types of a security event logs that we support natively out of the box, but the key for us is a standard that we call the open event format. And that is a normalized schema. We take any data source in it's normalized format, be a collector device a customer uses on-premise, they send the data up to our cloud, we do streaming analysis and data analytics to determine where the threats are. And once we do that, then we send the data off to a long-term storage format in a standards-based Parquet file. And that Parquet file is natively read by the Ahana service. So we simply deploy an Ahana cluster that uses the Presto engine that natively supports our open standard file format. And we have a normalized schema that our application can immediately start to see value from. So we handle the collection and streaming ingest, and we simply leverage the engine in Ahana to give us the appropriate scale. We can size up and down and control the cost to give the users the experience that they're paying for. >> I really love this topic because one, not only is it cutting edge, but it's very relevant for modern applications. You mentioned next gen SIEMs, SIEM, security information event management, not SIM as memory card, which I think of all the time because I always want to add more, but this brings up the idea of streaming data real-time, but as more services go to the cloud, Derrick, if you don't mind sharing more on this. Share the journey that you guys gone through, because I think a lot of people are looking at the cloud and saying, and I've been in a lot of these conversations about repatriation versus cloud. People aren't going that way. They're going more innovation with his net new revenue models emerging from the value that they're getting out of understanding events that are happening within the network and the apps, even when they're being stood up and torn down. So there's a lot of cloud native action going on where just controlling and understanding is way beyond the, just put stuff into an event log. It's a whole nother animal. >> Well, there's a couple of paradigm shifts that we've seen major patterns for in the last five or six years. Like I said, we started with the safe streaming ingest platform on premise. We use some different open source technologies. What we've done when we moved to the cloud is we've adopted cloud native services as part of our underlying platform to modernize and make our service cloud native. But what we're seeing as many customers either want to focus on on-premise deployments and especially financial institutions and government institute things, because they are very risk averse. Now we're seeing even those customers are realizing that it's very difficult to maintain the hundreds or thousands of servers that it requires on premise and have the large skilled staff required to keep it running. So what we're seeing now is a lot of those customers deployed some packaged products like our own, and even our own customers are doing a mass migration to the cloud because everything is handled for them as a service. And we have a team of experts that we maintain to support all of our global customers, rather than every one of our global customers having their own teams that we then support on the back end. So it's a much more efficient model. And then the other major approach that many of our customers also went down the path of is, is building their own security data lake. And many customers were somewhat successful in building their own security data lake but in order to keep up with the innovation, if you look at the analyst groups, the Gartner Magic Quadrant on the SIEM space, the feature set that is provided by a packaged product is a very large feature set. And even if somebody was put together all of the open source technologies to meet 20% of those features, just maintaining that over time is very expensive and very difficult. So we want to provide a service that has all of the best in class features, but also leverages the ability to innovate on the backend without the customer knowing. So we can do a technology shift to Ahana and Presto from our previous technology set. The customer doesn't know the difference, but they see the value add within the service that we're offering. >> So if I get this right, Derrick, Presto's enabling you guys to do threat detection at a level that you're super happy with as well as giving you the option for give self-service. Is that right for the, is that a kind of a- >> Well, let me clarify our definition. So we do streaming threat detection. So we do a machine learning based behavioral analysis and threat detection on rule-based correlation as well. So we do threat detection during the streaming process, but as part of the process of managing cybersecurity, the customer has a team of security analysts that do threat hunting. And the threat hunting is where Ahana comes in. So a human gets involved and starts searches for the forensic logs to determine what happened over time that might be suspicious and they start to investigate through a series of queries to give them the information that's relevant. And once they find information that's relevant, then they package it up into an algorithm that will do a analysis on an ongoing basis as part of the stream processing. So it's really part of the life cycle of hunting a real time threat detection. >> It's kind of like old adage hunters and farmers, you're farming through the streaming and hunting with the detection. I got to ask you, what would it be the alternative if you go back, I mean, I know cloud's so great because you have cutting edge applications and technologies. Without Presto, where would you be? I mean, what would be life like without these capabilities? What would have to happen? >> Well, the issue is not that we had the same feature set before we moved to Presto, but the challenge was on scale. The cost profile to continue to grow from 100 terabytes to one petabyte, to tens of petabytes, not only was it expensive, but it just, the scaling factors were not linear. So not only did we have a problem with the costs, but we also had a problem with the performance tailing off and keeping the service running. A large Hadoop cluster, for example, our first incarnation of this use, the hive service, in order to query data in a MapReduce cluster. So it's a completely different technology that uses a distributed Hadoop compute cluster to do the query. It does work, but then we start to see resource contention with that, and all the other things in the Hadoop platform. The Presto engine has the beauty of it, not only was it designed for scale, but it's feature built just for a query engine and that's the providing the right tool for the job, as opposed to a general purpose tool. >> Derrick, you've got a very busy job as chief architect. What are you excited about going forward when you look at the cloud technologies? What are you looking at? What are you watching? What are you getting excited about or what worries you? >> Well, that's a good question. What we're really doing, I'm leading up a group called the Securonix Innovation Labs, and we're looking at next generation technologies. We go through and analyze both open source technologies, technologies that are proprietary as well as building own technologies. And that's where we came across Ahana as part of a comprehensive analysis of different search engines, because we wanted to go through another round of search engine modernization, and we worked together in a partnership, and we're going to market together as part of our modernization efforts that we're continuously going through. So I'm looking forward to iterative continuous improvement over time. And this next journey, what we're seeing because of the growth in cybersecurity, really requires new and innovative technologies to work together holistically. >> Dipti, you got a great company that you co-founded. I got to ask you as the co-founder and chief product officer, you both the lead entrepreneur also, got the keys to the kingdom with the products. You got to balance that 20 miles stare out in the future while driving product excellence. You've got open source as a tailwind. What's on your mind as you go forward with your venture? >> Yeah. Great question. It's been super exciting to have found the Ahana in this space, cloud data and open source. That's where the action is happening these days, but there's two parts to it. One is making our customers successful and continuously delivering capabilities, features, continuing on our ease of use theme and a foundation to get customers like Securonix and others to get most value out of their data and as fast as possible, right? So that's a continuum. In terms of the longer term innovation, the way I see the space, there is a lot more innovation to be done and Presto itself can be made even better and there's a next gen Presto that we're working on. And given that Presto is a part of the foundation, the Linux Foundation, a lot of this innovation is happening together collaboratively with Facebook, with Uber who are members of the foundation with us. Securonix, we look forward to making a part of that foundation. And that innovation together can then benefit the entire community as well as the customer base. This includes better performance with more capabilities built in, caching and many other different types of database innovations, as well as scaling, auto scaling and keeping up with this ease of use theme that we're building on. So very exciting to work together with all these companies, as well as Securonix who's been a fantastic partner. We work together, build features together, and I look at delivering those features and functionalities to be used by these analysts, data scientists and threat hunters as Derrick called them. >> Great success, great partnership. And I love the open innovation, open co-creation you guys are doing together and open data lakes, great concept, open data analytics as well. This is the future. Insights coming from the open and sharing and actually having some standards. I love this topic, so Dipti, thank you very much, and Derrick, thanks for coming on and sharing on this Cube Conversation. Thanks for coming on. >> Thank you so much, John. >> Thanks for having us. >> Thanks. Take care. Bye-bye. >> Okay, it's theCube Conversation here in Palo Alto, California. I'm John furrier, your host of theCube. Thanks for watching. (upbeat music)

Published Date : Jul 30 2021

SUMMARY :

guys spending the time. and Derrick, hello again. and set the table on Securonix and Ahana? and momentum that we can into the warehouse and those, you know, because the SIEM market is exploding, and really get the handle either on the amount of data we ingest and it's also the types of information. hear the experts weigh in. So hopefully that answers the Yeah, I mean, the joke Why is the managed Yeah and interestingly, a search service that is offered to us And on the Ahana side, open data lakes, and you get that out of the box, I got to ask you while and the usage as well. and control the cost from the value that they're getting and have the large skilled staff as well as giving you the for the forensic logs to and hunting with the detection. and that's the providing when you look at the cloud technologies? because of the growth in cybersecurity, got the keys to the and a foundation to get And I love the open here in Palo Alto, California.

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Steven Mih, Ahana and Sachin Nayyar, Securonix | AWS Startup Showcase


 

>> Voiceover: From theCUBE's Studios in Palo Alto in Boston, connecting with thought leaders all around the world, this is theCUBE Conversation. >> Welcome back to theCUBE's coverage of the AWS Startup Showcase. Next Big Thing in AI, Security and Life Sciences featuring Ahana for the AI Trek. I'm your host, John Furrier. Today, we're joined by two great guests, Steven Mih, Ahana CEO, and Sachin Nayyar, Securonix CEO. Gentlemen, thanks for coming on theCUBE. We're talking about the Next-Gen technologies on AI, Open Data Lakes, et cetera. Thanks for coming on. >> Thanks for having us, John. >> Thanks, John. >> What a great line up here. >> Sachin: Thanks, Steven. >> Great, great stuff. Sachin, let's get in and talk about your company, Securonix. What do you guys do? Take us through, I know you've got a slide to help us through this, I want to introduce your stuff first then jump in with Steven. >> Absolutely. Thanks again, Steven. Ahana team for having us on the show. So Securonix, we started the company in 2010. We are the leader in security analytics and response capability for the cybermarket. So basically, this is a category of solutions called SIEM, Security Incident and Event Management. We are the quadrant leaders in Gartner, we now have about 500 customers today and have been plugging away since 2010. Started the company just really focused on analytics using machine learning and an advanced analytics to really find the needle in the haystack, then moved from there to needle in the needle stack using more algorithms, analysis of analysis. And then kind of, I evolved the company to run on cloud and become sort of the biggest security data lake on cloud and provide all the analytics to help companies with their insider threat, cyber threat, cloud solutions, application threats, emerging internally and externally, and then response and have a great partnership with Ahana as well as with AWS. So looking forward to this session, thank you. >> Awesome. I can't wait to hear the news on that Next-Gen SIEM leadership. Steven, Ahana, talk about what's going on with you guys, give us the update, a lot of stuff happening. >> Yeah. Great to be here and thanks for that such, and we appreciate the partnership as well with both Securonix and AWS. Ahana is the open source company based on PrestoDB, which is a project that came out of Facebook and is widely used, one of the fastest growing projects in data analytics today. And we make a managed service for Presto easily on AWS, all cloud native. And we'll be talking about that more during the show. Really excited to be here. We believe in open source. We believe in all the challenges of having data in the cloud and making it easy to use. So thanks for having us again. >> And looking forward to digging into that managed service and why that's been so successful. Looking forward to that. Let's get into the Securonix Next-Gen SIEM leadership first. Let's share the journey towards what you guys are doing here. As the Open Data Lakes on AWS has been a hot topic, the success of data in the cloud, no doubt is on everyone's mind especially with the edge coming. It's just, I mean, just incredible growth. Take us through Sachin, what do you guys got going on? >> Absolutely. Thanks, John. We are hearing about cyber threats every day. No question about it. So in the past, what was happening is companies, what we have done as enterprise is put all of our eggs in the basket of solutions that were evaluating the network data. With cloud, obviously there is no more network data. Now we have moved into focusing on EDR, right thing to do on endpoint detection. But with that, we also need security analytics across on-premise and cloud. And your other solutions like your OT, IOT, your mobile, bringing it all together into a security data lake and then running purpose built analytics on top of that, and then having a response so we can prevent some of these things from happening or detect them in real time versus innovating for hours or weeks and months, which is is obviously too late. So with some of the recent events happening around colonial and others, we all know cybersecurity is on top of everybody's mind. First and foremost, I also want to. >> Steven: (indistinct) slide one and that's all based off on top of the data lake, right? >> Sachin: Yes, absolutely. Absolutely. So before we go into on Securonix, I also want to congratulate everything going on with the new cyber initiatives with our government and just really excited to see some of the things that the government is also doing in this space to bring, to have stronger regulation and bring together the government and the private sector. From a Securonix perspective, today, we have one third of the fortune 500 companies using our technology. In addition, there are hundreds of small and medium sized companies that rely on Securonix for their cyber protection. So what we do is, again, we are running the solution on cloud, and that is very important. It is not just important for hosting, but in the space of cybersecurity, you need to have a solution, which is not, so where we can update the threat models and we can use the intelligence or the Intel that we gather from our customers, partners, and industry experts and roll it out to our customers within seconds and minutes, because the game is real time in cybersecurity. And that you can only do in cloud where you have the complete telemetry and access to these environments. When we go on-premise traditionally, what you will see is customers are even thinking about pushing the threat models through their standard Dev test life cycle management, and which is just completely defeating the purpose. So in any event, Securonix on the cloud brings together all the data, then runs purpose-built analytics on it. Helps you find very few, we are today pulling in several million events per second from our customers, and we provide just a very small handful of events and reduce the false positives so that people can focus on them. Their security command center can focus on that and then configure response actions on top of that. So we can take action for known issues and have intelligence in all the layers. So that's kind of what the Securonix is focused on. >> Steven, he just brought up, probably the most important story in technology right now. That's ransomware more than, first of all, cybersecurity in general, but ransomware, he mentioned some of the government efforts. Some are saying that the ransomware marketplace is bigger than some governments, nation state governments. There's a business model behind it. It's highly active. It's dominating the scene and it's a real threat. This is the new world we're living in, cloud creates the refactoring capabilities. We're hearing that story here with Securonix. How does Presto and Securonix work together? Because I'm connecting the dots here in real time. I think you're going to go there. So take us through because this is like the most important topic happening. >> Yeah. So as Sachin said, there's all this data that needs to go into the cloud and it's all moving to the cloud. And there's a massive amounts of data and hundreds of terabytes, petabytes of data that's moving into the data lakes and that's the S3-based data lakes, which are the easiest, cheapest, commodified place to put all this data. But in order to deliver the results that Sachin's company is driving, which is intelligence on when there's a ransomware or possibility, you need to have analytics on them. And so Presto is the open source project that is a open source SQL query engine for data lakes and other data sources. It was created by Facebook as part of the Linux foundation, something called Presto foundation. And it was built to replace the complicated Hadoop stack in order to then drive analytics at very lightning fast queries on large, large sets of data. And so Presto fits in with this Open Data Lake analytics movement, which has made Presto one of the fastest growing projects out there. >> What is an Open Data Lake? Real quick for the audience who wants to learn on what it means. Does is it means it's open source in the Linux foundation or open meaning it's open to multiple applications? What does that even mean? >> Yeah. Open Data Lake analytics means that you're, first of all, your data lake has open formats. So it is made up of say something called the ORC or Parquet. And these are formats that any engine can be used against. That's really great, instead of having locked in data types. Data lakes can have all different types of data. It can have unstructured, semi-structured data. It's not just the structured data, which is typically in your data warehouses. There's a lot more data going into the Open Data Lake. And then you can, based on what workload you're looking to get benefit from, the insights come from that, and actually slide two covers this pictorially. If you look on the left here on slide two, the Open Data Lake is where all the data is pulling. And Presto is the layer in between that and the insights which are driven by the visualization, reporting, dashboarding, BI tools or applications like in Securonix case. And so analytics are now being driven by every company for not just industries of security, but it's also for every industry out there, retail, e-commerce, you name it. There's a healthcare, financials, all are looking at driving more analytics for their SaaSified applications as well as for their own internal analysts, data scientists, and folks that are trying to be more data-driven. >> All right. Let's talk about the relationship now with where Presto fits in with Securonix because I get the open data layer. I see value in that. I get also what we're talking about the cloud and being faster with the datasets. So how does, Sachin' Securonix and Ahana fit in together? >> Yeah. Great question. So I'll tell you, we have two customers. I'll give you an example. We have two fortune 10 customers. One has moved most of their operations to the cloud and another customer which is in the process, early stage. The data, the amount of data that we are getting from the customer who's moved fully to the cloud is 20 times, 20 times more than the customer who's in the early stages of moving to the cloud. That is because the ability to add this level of telemetry in the cloud, in this case, it happens to be AWS, Office 365, Salesforce and several other rescalers across several other cloud technologies. But the level of logging that we are able to get the telemetry is unbelievable. So what it does is it allows us to analyze more, protect the customers better, protect them in real time, but there is a cost and scale factor to that. So like I said, when you are trying to pull in billions of events per day from a customer billions of events per day, what the customers are looking for is all of that data goes in, all of data gets enriched so that it makes sense to a normal analyst and all of that data is available for search, sometimes 90 days, sometimes 12 months. And then all of that data is available to be brought back into a searchable format for up to seven years. So think about the amount of data we are dealing with here and we have to provide a solution for this problem at a price that is affordable to the customer and that a medium-sized company as well as a large organization can afford. So after a lot of our analysis on this and again, Securonix is focused on cyber, bringing in the data, analyzing it, so after a lot of our analysis, we zeroed in on S3 as the core bucket where this data needs to be stored because the price point, the reliability, and all the other functions available on top of that. And with that, with S3, we've created a great partnership with AWS as well as with Snowflake that is providing this, from a data lake perspective, a bigger data lake, enterprise data lake perspective. So now for us to be able to provide customers the ability to search that data. So data comes in, we are enriching it. We are putting it in S3 in real time. Now, this is where Presto comes in. In our research, Presto came out as the best search engine to sit on top of S3. The engine is supported by companies like Facebook and Uber, and it is open source. So open source, like you asked the question. So for companies like us, we cannot depend on a very small technology company to offer mission critical capabilities because what if that company gets acquired, et cetera. In the case of open source, we are able to adopt it. We know there is a community behind it and it will be kind of available for us to use and we will be able to contribute in it for the longterm. Number two, from an open source perspective, we have a strong belief that customers own their own data. Traditionally, like Steven used the word locked in, it's a key term, customers have been locked in into proprietary formats in the past and those days are over. You should be, you own the data and you should be able to use it with us and with other systems of choice. So now you get into a data search engine like Presto, which scales independently of the storage. And then when we start looking at Presto, we came across Ahana. So for every open source system, you definitely need a sort of a for-profit company that invests in the community and then that takes the community forward. Because without a company like this, the community will die. So we are very excited about the partnership with Presto and Ahana. And Ahana provides us the ability to take Presto and cloudify it, or make the cloud operations work plus be our conduit to the Ahana community. Help us speed up certain items on the roadmap, help our team contribute to the community as well. And then you have to take a solution like Presto, you have to put it in the cloud, you have to make it scale, you have to put it on Kubernetes. Standard thing that you need to do in today's world to offer it as sort of a micro service into our architecture. So in all of those areas, that's where our partnership is with Ahana and Presto and S3 and we think, this is the search solution for the future. And with something like this, very soon, we will be able to offer our customers 12 months of data, searchable at extremely fast speeds at very reasonable price points and you will own your own data. So it has very significant business benefits for our customers with the technology partnership that we have set up here. So very excited about this. >> Sachin, it's very inspiring, a couple things there. One, decentralize on your own data, having a democratized, that piece is killer. Open source, great point. >> Absolutely. >> Company goes out of business, you don't want to lose the source code or get acquired or whatever. That's a key enabler. And then three, a fast managed service that has a commercial backing behind it. So, a great, and by the way, Snowflake wasn't around a couple of years ago. So like, so this is what we're talking about. This is the cloud scale. Steven, take us home with this point because this is what innovation looks like. Could you share why it's working? What's some of the things that people could walk away with and learn from as the new architecture for the new NextGen cloud is here, so this is a big part of and share how this works? >> That's right. As you heard from Sachin, every company is becoming data-driven and analytics are central to their business. There's more data and it needs to be analyzed at lower cost without the locked in and people want that flexibility. And so a slide three talks about what Ahana cloud for Presto does. It's the best Presto out of the box. It gives you very easy to use for your operations team. So it can be one or two people just managing this and they can get up to speed very quickly in 30 minutes, be up and running. And that jump starts their movement into an Open Data Lake analytics architecture. That architecture is going to be, it is the one that is at Facebook, Uber, Twitter, other large web scale, internet scale companies. And with the amount of data that's occurring, that's now becoming the standard architecture for everyone else in the future. And so just to wrap, we're really excited about making that easy, giving an open source solution because the open source data stack based off of data lake analytics is really happening. >> I got to ask you, you've seen many waves on the industry. Certainly, you've been through the big data waves, Steven. Sachin, you're on the cutting edge and just the cutting edge billions of signals from one client alone is pretty amazing scale and refactoring that value proposition is super important. What's different from 10 years ago when the Hadoop, you mentioned Hadoop earlier, which is RIP, obviously the cloud killed it. We all know that. Everyone kind of knows that. But like, what's different now? I mean, skeptics might say, I don't believe you, but it's just crazy. There's no way it works. S3 costs way too much. Why is this now so much more of an attractive proposition? What do you say the naysayers out there? With Steve, we'll start with you and then Sachin, I want you to like weigh in too. >> Yeah. Well, if you think about the Hadoop era and if you look at slide three, it was a very complicated system that was done mainly on-prem. And you'd have to go and set up a big data team and a rack and stack a bunch of servers and then try to put all this stuff together and candidly, the results and the outcomes of that were very hard to get unless you had the best possible teams and invested a lot of money in this. What you saw in this slide was that, that right hand side which shows the stack. Now you have a separate compute, which is based off of Intel based instances in the cloud. We run the best in that and they're part of the Presto foundation. And that's now data lakes. Now the distributed compute engines are the ones that have become very much easier. So the big difference in what I see is no longer called big data. It's just called data analytics because it's now become commodified as being easy and the bar is much, much lower, so everyone can get the benefit of this across industries, across organizations. I mean, that's good for the world, reduces the security threats, the ransomware, in the case of Securonix and Sachin here. But every company can benefit from this. >> Sachin, this is really as an example in my mind and you can comment too on if you'd believe or not, but replatform with the cloud, that's a no brainer. People do that. They did it. But the value is refactoring in the cloud. It's thinking differently with the assets you have and making sure you're using the right pieces. I mean, there's no brainer, you know it's good. If it costs more money to stand up something than to like get value out of something that's operating at scale, much easier equation. What's your thoughts on this? Go back 10 years and where we are now, what's different? I mean, replatforming, refactoring, all kinds of happening. What's your take on all this? >> Agreed, John. So we have been in business now for about 10 to 11 years. And when we started my hair was all black. Okay. >> John: You're so silly. >> Okay. So this, everything has happened here is the transition from Hadoop to cloud. Okay. This is what the result has been. So people can see it for themselves. So when we started off with deep partnerships with the Hadoop providers and again, Hadoop is the foundation, which has now become EMR and everything else that AWS and other companies have picked up. But when you start with some basic premise, first, the racking and stacking of hardware, companies having to project their entire data volume upfront, bringing the servers and have 50, 100, 500 servers sitting in their data centers. And then when there are spikes in data, or like I said, as you move to the cloud, your data volume will increase between five to 20x and projecting for that. And then think about the agility that it will take you three to six months to bring in new servers and then bring them into the architecture. So big issue. Number two big issue is that the backend of that was built for HDFS. So Hadoop in my mind was built to ingest large amounts of data in batches and then perform some spark jobs on it, some analytics. But we are talking in security about real time, high velocity, high variety data, which has to be available in real time. It wasn't built for that, to be honest. So what was happening is, again, even if you look at the Hadoop companies today as they have kind of figured, kind of define their next generation, they have moved from HDFS to now kind of a cloud based platform capability and have discarded the traditional HDFS architecture because it just wasn't scaling, wasn't searching fast enough, wasn't searching fast enough for hundreds of analysts at the same time. And then obviously, the servers, et cetera wasn't working. Then when we worked with the Hadoop companies, they were always two to three versions behind for the individual services that they had brought together. And again, when you're talking about this kind of a volume, you need to be on the cutting edge always of the technologies underneath that. So even while we were working with them, we had to support our own versions of Kafka, Solr, Zookeeper, et cetera to really bring it together and provide our customers this capability. So now when we have moved to the cloud with solutions like EMR behind us, AWS has invested in in solutions like EMR to make them scalable, to have scale and then scale out, which traditional Hadoop did not provide because they missed the cloud wave. And then on top of that, again, rather than throwing data in that traditional older HDFS format, we are now taking the same format, the parquet format that it supports, putting it in S3 and now making it available and using all the capabilities like you said, the refactoring of that is critical. That rather than on-prem having servers and redundancies with S3, we get built in redundancy. We get built in life cycle management, high degree of confidence data reliability. And then we get all this innovation from companies like, from groups like Presto, companies like Ahana sitting on double that S3. And the last item I would say is in the cloud we are now able to offer multiple, have multiple resilient options on our side. So for example, with us, we still have some premium searching going on with solutions like Solr and Elasticsearch, then you have Presto and Ahana providing majority of our searching, but we still have Athena as a backup in case something goes down in the architecture. Our queries will spin back up to Athena, AWS service on Presto and customers will still get served. So all of these options, but what it doesn't cost us anything, Athena, if we don't use it, but all of these options are not available on-prem. So in my mind, I mean, it's a whole new world we are living in. It is a world where now we have made it possible for companies to even enterprises to even think about having true security data lakes, which are useful and having real-time analytics. From my perspective, I don't even sign up today for a large enterprise that wants to build a data lake on-prem because I know that is not, that is going to be a very difficult project to make it successful. So we've come a long way and there are several details around this that we've kind of endured through the process, but very excited where we are today. >> Well, we certainly follow up with theCUBE on all your your endeavors. Quickly on Ahana, why them, why their solution? In your words, what would be the advice you'd give me if I'm like, okay, I'm looking at this, why do I want to use it, and what's your experience? >> Right. So the standard SQL query engine for data lake analytics, more and more people have more data, want to have something that's based on open source, based on open formats, gives you that flexibility, pay as you go. You only pay for what you use. And so it proved to be the best option for Securonix to create a self-service system that has all the speed and performance and scalability that they need, which is based off of the innovation from the large companies like Facebook, Uber, Twitter. They've all invested heavily. We contribute to the open source project. It's a vibrant community. We encourage people to join the community and even Securonix, we'll be having engineers that are contributing to the project as well. I think, is that right Sachin? Maybe you could share a little bit about your thoughts on being part of the community. >> Yeah. So also why we chose Ahana, like John said. The first reason is you see Steven is always smiling. Okay. >> That's for sure. >> That is very important. I mean, jokes apart, you need a great partner. You need a great partner. You need a partner with a great attitude because this is not a sprint, this is a marathon. So the Ahana founders, Steven, the whole team, they're world-class, they're world-class. The depth that the CTO has, his experience, the depth that Dipti has, who's running the cloud solution. These guys are world-class. They are very involved in the community. We evaluated them from a community perspective. They are very involved. They have the depth of really commercializing an open source solution without making it too commercial. The right balance, where the founding companies like Facebook and Uber, and hopefully Securonix in the future as we contribute more and more will have our say and they act like the right stewards in this journey and then contribute as well. So and then they have chosen the right niche rather than taking portions of the product and making it proprietary. They have put in the effort towards the cloud infrastructure of making that product available easily on the cloud. So I think it's sort of a no-brainer from our side. Once we chose Presto, Ahana was the no-brainer and just the partnership so far has been very exciting and I'm looking forward to great things together. >> Likewise Sachin, thanks so much for that. And we've only found your team, you're world-class as well, and working together and we look forward to working in the community also in the Presto foundation. So thanks for that. >> Guys, great partnership. Great insight and really, this is a great example of cloud scale, cloud value proposition as it unlocks new benefits. Open source, managed services, refactoring the opportunities to create more value. Stephen, Sachin, thank you so much for sharing your story here on open data lakes. Can open always wins in my mind. This is theCUBE we're always open and we're showcasing all the hot startups coming out of the AWS ecosystem for the AWS Startup Showcase. I'm John Furrier, your host. Thanks for watching. (bright music)

Published Date : Jun 24 2021

SUMMARY :

leaders all around the world, of the AWS Startup Showcase. to help us through this, and provide all the what's going on with you guys, in the cloud and making it easy to use. Let's get into the Securonix So in the past, what was So in any event, Securonix on the cloud Some are saying that the and that's the S3-based data in the Linux foundation or open meaning And Presto is the layer in because I get the open data layer. and all the other functions that piece is killer. and learn from as the new architecture for everyone else in the future. obviously the cloud killed it. and the bar is much, much lower, But the value is refactoring in the cloud. So we have been in business and again, Hadoop is the foundation, be the advice you'd give me system that has all the speed The first reason is you see and just the partnership so in the community also in for the AWS Startup Showcase.

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Breaking Analysis: Cyber Stocks Caught in the Storm While Private Firms Keep Rising


 

>> From theCUBE studios in Palo Alto and Boston, bringing you data-driven insights from theCUBE and ETR. This is Breaking Analysis with Dave Vellante. >> The pandemic precipitated what is shaping up to be a permanent shift in cybersecurity spending patterns. As a direct result of hybrid work, CSOs have vested heavily in endpoint security, identity access management, cloud security, and further hardening the network beyond the headquarters. We've reported on this extensively in this Breaking Analysis series. Moreover, the need to build security into applications from the start rather than bolting protection on as an afterthought has led to vastly high heightened awareness around DevSecOps. Finally, attacking security as a data problem with automation and AI is fueling new innovations in cyber products and services and startups. Hello and welcome to this week's Wikibon CUBE Insights powered by ETR. In this Breaking Analysis, we present our quarterly findings in the security industry, and share the latest ETR survey data on the spending momentum and market movers. Let's start with the most recent news in cybersecurity. Nary a week goes by without more concerning news. The latest focus in the headlines is, of course, Russia's relentless cyber attacks on critical infrastructure in the Ukraine, including banking, government websites, weaponizing information. The hacker group, BlackByte, put a double whammy on the San Francisco 49ers, meaning they exfiltrated data and they encrypted the organization's files as part of its ransomware attack. Then there's the best Super Bowl ad last Sunday, the Coinbase floating QR code. Did you catch that? As people rushed to scan the code and participate in the Coinbase Bitcoin giveaway, it highlights yet another exposure, meaning we're always told not to click on links that we don't trust or we've never seen, but so many people activated this random QR code on their smartphones that it crashed Coinbase's website. What does that tell you? In other news, Securonix raised a billion dollars. They did this raise on top of Lacework's massive $1.3 billion raise last November. Both of these companies are attacking security with data automation and APIs that can engage machine intelligence. Securonix, specifically in the announcement, mentioned the uptake from MSSPs, managed security service providers, something we've talked about in this series. And that's a trend that we see as increasingly gaining traction as customers are just drawing in and drowning in security incidents. Peter McKay's company, Snyk, acquired Fugue, a company focused on making sure security policies are consistent throughout the software development life cycle. It's a really an example of a developer-defined security approach where policy can be checked at the dev, deployment, and production phases to ensure the same policies are in place at all stages, including monitoring at runtime. Fugue, according to Crunchbase, had raised $85 million to date. In some other company news, Cisco was rumored to be acquiring Splunk for not much more than Splunk is worth today. And the talks reportedly broke down. This would be a major move in security by Cisco and underscores the pressure to consolidate. Cisco would get an extremely strong customer base and through efficiencies could improve Splunk's profitability, but it seems like the premium Cisco was willing to pay was not enough to entice board to act. Splunk board, that is. Datadog blew away its earnings, and the stock was up 12%. It's pulled back now, thanks to Putin, but it's one of those companies that is disrupting Splunk. Datadog is less than half the size of Splunk, revenue-wise, but its valuation is more than 2 1/2 times greater. Finally, Elastic, another Splunk disruptor, settled its trademark dispute with AWS, and now AWS will now stop using the name Elasticsearch. All right, let's take a high level look at how cyber companies have performed in the stock market over time. Here's a graph of the Cyber ETF, and you can see the March 1st crosshairs of 2020 signifying the start of the lockdown. The trajectory of cybersecurity stocks is shown by the orange and blue lines, and it surely has steepened post March of 2020. And, of course, it's been down with the market lately, but the run up, as you can see, was substantial and eclipsed the trajectory of the previous cycles over the last couple of years, owing much of the momentum to the spending dynamics that we talked about at our open. Let's now drill into some of the names that we've been following over the last few years and take a look at the firm level. This chart shows some data that we've been tracking since before the pandemic. The top rows show the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ prices, and the bottom rows show specific stocks. The first column is the index price or the market cap of the company just before the pandemic, then the same data one year later. Then the next column shows the peak value during the pandemic, and then the current value. Then it shows in the next column where it is today, in percentage terms, i.e., how far has it pulled back from the peak, then the delta from pre-pandemic, in other words, how much did the issue earn or lose during the pandemic for investors? We then compare the pre-pandemic revenue multiple using a trailing 12-month revenue metric. Sorry, that's what we used. It's easy to get. (laughs) And that's the revenue multiple compared to the August in 2020, when multiples were really high, and where they are today, and then a recent quarterly growth rate guide based on the last earnings report. That's the last column. Okay, so I'm throwing a lot of data at you here, but what does it tell us? First, the S&P and the NAS are well up from pre-pandemic levels, yet they're off 9% and 15%, respectively, from their peaks today. That was earlier on Friday morning. Now let's look at the names more closely. Splunk has been struggling. It definitely had a tailwind from the pandemic as all boats seem to rise, but its execution has been lacking. It's now 30% off from its pre-pandemic levels. (groans) And it's multiple is compressing, and perhaps Cisco thought it could pick up the company for a discount. Now let's talk about Palo Alto Networks. We had reported on some of the challenges the company faced moving into a cloud-friendly model. that was before the pandemic. And we talked about the divergence between Palo Alto's stock price and the valuations relative to Fortinet, and we said at the time, we fully expected Palo Alto to rebound, and that's exactly what happened. It rode the tailwinds of the last two years. It's up over 100% from its pre-COVID levels, and its revenue multiple is expanding, owing to the nice growth rates. Now Fortinet had been doing well coming into the pandemic. In fact, we said it was executing on a cloud strategy better than Palo Alto Networks, hence that divergence in valuations at the time. So it didn't get as much of a boost from the pandemic. Didn't get that momentum at first, but the company's been executing very well. And as you can see, with 155% increase in valuation since just before the pandemic, it's going more than okay for Fortinet. Now, Okta is a name that we've really followed closely, the identity access management specialist that rocketed. But since it's Auth0 acquisition, it's pulled back. Investors are concerned about its guidance and its profitability. And several analyst have downgraded their price targets on Okta. We still really like the company. The Auth0 acquisition gives Okta a developer vector, and we think the company is going hard after market presence and is willing to sacrifice short-term profitability. We actually like that posture. It's very Frank Slupin-like. This company spends a lot of money on R&D and go-to-market. The question is, does Okta have inherent profitability? The company, as they say, spends a ton in some really key areas but it looks to us like it's going to establish a footprint. It's guiding revenue CAGR in the mid-30s over the mid to long-term and near term should beat that benchmark handily. But you can see the red highlights on Okta. And even though Okta is up 59% from its pre-pandemic levels, it's far behind its peers shown in the chart, especially CrowdStrike and Zscaler, the latter being somewhat less impacted by the pullback in stocks recently, of course, due to the fears of inflation and interest rates, and, of course, Russian invasion escalation. But these high flyers, they were bound to pull back. The question is can they maintain their category leadership? And for the most part, we think they can. All right, let's get into some of the ETR data. Here's our favorite XY view with net score, or spending momentum on the Y-axis, and market share or pervasiveness in the data center on the horizontal axis. That red 40% line, that indicates a highly elevated spending level. And the chart inserts to the right, that shows how the data is plotted with net score and shared N in each of the columns by each company. Okay, so this is an eye chart, but there really are three main takeaways. One is that it's a crowded market. And this shows only the companies ETR captures in its survey. We filtered on those that had more than 50 mentions. So there's others in the ETR survey that we're not showing here, and there are many more out there which don't get reported in the spending data in the ETR survey. Secondly, there are a lot of companies above the 40% mark, and plenty with respectable net scores just below. Third, check out SentinelOne, Elastic, Tanium, Datadog, Netskope, and Darktrace. Each has under 100 N's but we're watching these companies closely. They're popping up in the survey, and they're catching our attention, especially SentinelOne, post-IPO. So we wanted to pare this back a bit and filter the data some more. So let's look at companies with more than 100 mentions in the same chart. It gets a little cleaner this picture, but it's still crowded. Auth0 leads everyone in net score. Okta is also up there, so that's very positive sign since they had just acquired Auth0. CrowdStrike SalePoint, Cyberark, CloudFlare, and Zscaler are all right up there as well. And then there's the bigger security companies. Palo Alto Network, very impressive because it's well above the 40% mark, and it has a big presence in the survey, and, of course, in the market. And Microsoft as well. They're such a big whale. They skew the data for everybody else to kind of mess up these charts. And the position of Cisco and Splunk make for an interesting combination. They get both decent net scores, not above the 40% line but they got a good presence in the survey as well. Thinking about the acquisition, Al Shugart was the CEO of of Seagate, and founder. Brilliant Silicon valley icon and engineer. Great business person. I was asking him one time, hey, you thinking about buying this company or that company? And of course, he's not going to tell me who he's thinking about buying or acquiring. He said, let me just tell you this. If you want to know what I'm thinking, ask yourself if it were free, would you take it? And he said the answer's not always obviously yes, because acquisitions can be messy and disruptive. In the case of Cisco and Splunk, I think the answer would be a definitive yes It would expand Cisco's portfolio and make it the leader in security, with an opportunity to bring greater operating leverage to Splunk. Cisco's just got to pay more if it wants that asset. It's got to pay more than the supposed $20 billion offer that it made. It's going to have to get kind of probably north of 23 billion. I pinged my ETR colleague, Erik Bradley, on this, and he generally agreed. He's very close to the security space. He said, Splunk isn't growing the customer base but the customers are sticky. I totally agree. Cisco could roll Splunk into its security suite. Splunk is the leader in that space, security information and event management, and Cisco really is missing that piece of the pie. All right, let's filter the data even more and look at some of the companies that have moved in the survey over the past year and a half. We'll go back here to July 2020. Same two-dimensional chart. And we're isolating here Auth0, Okta, SalePoint CrowdStrike, Zscaler, Cyberark, Fortinet, and Cisco. No Microsoft. That cleans up the chart. Okay, why these firms? Because they've made some major moves to the right, and some even up since last July. And that's what this next chart shows. Here's the data from the January 2022 survey. The arrow start points show the position that we just showed you earlier in July 2020, and all these players have made major moves to the right. How come? Well, it's likely a combination of strong execution, and the fact that security is on the radar of every CEO, CIO, of course, CSOs, business heads, boards of directors. Everyone is thinking about security. The market momentum is there, especially for the leaders. And it's quite tremendous. All right, let's now look at what's become a bit of a tradition with Breaking Analysis, and look at the firms that have earned four stars. Four-star firms are leaders in the ETR survey that demonstrate both a large presence, that's that X-axis that we showed you, and elevated spending momentum. Now in this chart, we filter the N's. Has to be greater than 100. And we isolate on those companies. So more than 100 responses in the survey. On the left-hand side of the chart, we sort by net score or spending velocity. On the right-hand side, we sort by shared N's or presence in the dataset. We show the top 20 for each of the categories. And the red line shows the top 10 cutoffs. Companies that show up in the top 10 for both spending momentum and presence in the data set earn four stars. If they show up in one, and make the top 10 in one, and make the top 20 in the other, they get two stars. And we've added a one-star category as honorable mention for those companies that make the top 20 in both categories. Microsoft, Palo Alto Networks, CrowdStrike, and Okta make the four-star grade. Okta makes it even without Auth0, which has the number one net score in this data set with 115 shared N to boot. So you can add that to Okta. The weighted average would pull Okta's net score to just above Cyberark's into fourth place. And its shared N would bump Okta up to third place on the right-hand side of the chart Cisco, Splunk, Proofpoint, KnowBe4, Zscaler, and Cyberark get two stars. And then you can see the honorable mentions with one star. Now thinking about a Cisco, Splunk combination. You'd get an entity with a net score in the mid-20s. Yeah, not too bad, definitely respectable. But they'd be number one on the right-hand side of this chart, with the largest market presence in the survey by far. Okay, let's wrap. The trends around hybrid work, cloud migration and the attacker escalation that continue to drive cybersecurity momentum and they're going to do so indefinitely. And we've got some bullet points here that you're seeing private companies, (laughs) they're picking up gobs of money, which really speaks to the fact that there's no silver bullet in this market. It's complex, chaotic, and cash-rich. This idea of MSSPs on the rise is going to continue, we think. About half the mid-size and large organization in the US don't have a SecOps, a security operation center, and outsourcing to one that can be tapped on a consumption basis, cloud-like, as a service just makes sense to us. We see the momentum that companies that we've highlighted over the many quarters of Breaking Analysis are forming. They're forming a strong base in the market. They're going for market share and footprint, and they're focusing on growth, at bringing in new talent. They have good balance sheets and strong management teams and we think they'll be leading companies in the future, Zscaler, CrowdStrike, Okta, SentinelOne, Cyberark, SalePoint, over time, joining the ranks of billion dollar cyber firms, when I say billion dollar, billion dollar revenue like Palo Alto Networks, Fortinet, and Splunk, if it doesn't get acquired. These independent firms that really focus on security. Which underscores the pressure and consolidation and M&A in the whole space. It's almost assured with the fragmentation of companies and so many new entrants fighting for escape velocity that this market is going to continue with robust M&A and consolidation. Okay, that's it for today. Thanks to my colleague, Stephanie Chan, who helped research this week's topics, and Alex Myerson on the production team. He also manages the Breaking Analysis podcast. Kristen Martin and Cheryl Knight, who get the word out. Thank you to all. Remember these episodes are all available as podcasts wherever you listen. All you do is search Breaking Analysis podcast. Check out ETR's website at etr.ai. We also publish a full report every week on wikibon.com and siliconangle.com. You can email me at david.vellante@siliconangle.com. @dvellante is my DM. Comment on our LinkedIn posts. This is Dave Vellante for theCUBE Insights powered by ETR. Have a great week. Be safe, be well, and we'll see you next time. (upbeat music)

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Breaking Analysis: Enterprise Technology Predictions 2022


 

>> From theCUBE Studios in Palo Alto and Boston, bringing you data-driven insights from theCUBE and ETR, this is Breaking Analysis with Dave Vellante. >> The pandemic has changed the way we think about and predict the future. As we enter the third year of a global pandemic, we see the significant impact that it's had on technology strategy, spending patterns, and company fortunes Much has changed. And while many of these changes were forced reactions to a new abnormal, the trends that we've seen over the past 24 months have become more entrenched, and point to the way that's coming ahead in the technology business. Hello and welcome to this week's Wikibon CUBE Insights powered by ETR. In this Breaking Analysis, we welcome our partner and colleague and business friend, Erik Porter Bradley, as we deliver what's becoming an annual tradition for Erik and me, our predictions for Enterprise Technology in 2022 and beyond Erik, welcome. Thanks for taking some time out. >> Thank you, Dave. Luckily we did pretty well last year, so we were able to do this again. So hopefully we can keep that momentum going. >> Yeah, you know, I want to mention that, you know, we get a lot of inbound predictions from companies and PR firms that help shape our thinking. But one of the main objectives that we have is we try to make predictions that can be measured. That's why we use a lot of data. Now not all will necessarily fit that parameter, but if you've seen the grading of our 2021 predictions that Erik and I did, you'll see we do a pretty good job of trying to put forth prognostications that can be declared correct or not, you know, as black and white as possible. Now let's get right into it. Our first prediction, we're going to go run into spending, something that ETR surveys for quarterly. And we've reported extensively on this. We're calling for tech spending to increase somewhere around 8% in 2022, we can see there on the slide, Erik, we predicted spending last year would increase by 4% IDC. Last check was came in at five and a half percent. Gardner was somewhat higher, but in general, you know, not too bad, but looking ahead, we're seeing an acceleration from the ETR September surveys, as you can see in the yellow versus the blue bar in this chart, many of the SMBs that were hard hit by the pandemic are picking up spending again. And the ETR data is showing acceleration above the mean for industries like energy, utilities, retail, and services, and also, notably, in the Forbes largest 225 private companies. These are companies like Mars or Koch industries. They're predicting well above average spending for 2022. So Erik, please weigh in here. >> Yeah, a lot to bring up on this one, I'm going to be quick. So 1200 respondents on this, over a third of which were at the C-suite level. So really good data that we brought in, the usual bucket of, you know, fortune 500, global 2000 make up the meat of that median, but it's 8.3% and rising with momentum as we see. What's really interesting right now is that energy and utilities. This is usually like, you know, an orphan stock dividend type of play. You don't see them at the highest point of tech spending. And the reason why right now is really because this state of tech infrastructure in our energy infrastructure needs help. And it's obvious, remember the Florida municipality break reach last year? When they took over the water systems or they had the ability to? And this is a real issue, you know, there's bad nation state actors out there, and I'm no alarmist, but the energy and utility has to spend this money to keep up. It's really important. And then you also hit on the retail consumer. Obviously what's happened, the work from home shift created a shop from home shift, and the trends that are happening right now in retail. If you don't spend and keep up, you're not going to be around much longer. So I think the really two interesting things here to call out are energy utilities, usually a laggard in IT spend and it's leading, and also retail consumer, a lot of changes happening. >> Yeah. Great stuff. I mean, I recall when we entered the pandemic, really ETR was the first to emphasize the impact that work from home was going to have, so I really put a lot of weight on this data. Okay. Our next prediction is we're going to get into security, it's one of our favorite topics. And that is that the number one priority that needs to be addressed by organizations in 2022 is security and you can see, in this slide, the degree to which security is top of mind, relative to some other pretty important areas like cloud, productivity, data, and automation, and some others. Now people may say, "Oh, this is obvious." But I'm going to add some context here, Erik, and then bring you in. First, organizations, they don't have unlimited budgets. And there are a lot of competing priorities for dollars, especially with the digital transformation mandate. And depending on the size of the company, this data will vary. For example, while security is still number one at the largest public companies, and those are of course of the biggest spenders, it's not nearly as pronounced as it is on average, or in, for example, mid-sized companies and government agencies. And this is because midsized companies or smaller companies, they don't have the resources that larger companies do. Larger companies have done a better job of securing their infrastructure. So these mid-size firms are playing catch up and the data suggests cyber is even a bigger priority there, gaps that they have to fill, you know, going forward. And that's why we think there's going to be more demand for MSSPs, managed security service providers. And we may even see some IPO action there. And then of course, Erik, you and I have talked about events like the SolarWinds Hack, there's more ransomware attacks, other vulnerabilities. Just recently, like Log4j in December. All of this has heightened concerns. Now I want to talk a little bit more about how we measure this, you know, relatively, okay, it's an obvious prediction, but let's stick our necks out a little bit. And so in addition to the rise of managed security services, we're calling for M&A and/or IPOs, we've specified some names here on this chart, and we're also pointing to the digital supply chain as an area of emphasis. Again, Log4j really shone that under a light. And this is going to help the likes of Auth0, which is now Okta, SailPoint, which is called out on this chart, and some others. We're calling some winners in end point security. Erik, you're going to talk about sort of that lifecycle, that transformation that we're seeing, that migration to new endpoint technologies that are going to benefit from this reset refresh cycle. So Erik, weigh in here, let's talk about some of the elements of this prediction and some of the names on that chart. >> Yeah, certainly. I'm going to start right with Log4j top of mind. And the reason why is because we're seeing a real paradigm shift here where things are no longer being attacked at the network layer, they're being attacked at the application layer, and in the application stack itself. And that is a huge shift left. And that's taking in DevSecOps now as a real priority in 2022. That's a real paradigm shift over the last 20 years. That's not where attacks used to come from. And this is going to have a lot of changes. You called out a bunch of names in there that are, they're either going to work. I would add to that list Wiz. I would add Orca Security. Two names in our emerging technology study, in addition to the ones you added that are involved in cloud security and container security. These names are either going to get gobbled up. So the traditional legacy names are going to have to start writing checks and, you know, legacy is not fair, but they're in the data center, right? They're, on-prem, they're not cloud native. So these are the names that money is going to be flowing to. So they're either going to get gobbled up, or we're going to see some IPO's. And on the other thing I want to talk about too, is what you mentioned. We have CrowdStrike on that list, We have SentinalOne on the list. Everyone knows them. Our data was so strong on Tanium that we actually went positive for the first time just today, just this morning, where that was released. The trifecta of these are so important because of what you mentioned, under resourcing. We can't have security just tell us when something happens, it has to automate, and it has to respond. So in this next generation of EDR and XDR, an automated response has to happen because people are under-resourced, salaries are really high, there's a skill shortage out there. Security has to become responsive. It can't just monitor anymore. >> Yeah. Great. And we should call out too. So we named some names, Snyk, Aqua, Arctic Wolf, Lacework, Netskope, Illumio. These are all sort of IPO, or possibly even M&A candidates. All right. Our next prediction goes right to the way we work. Again, something that ETR has been on for awhile. We're calling for a major rethink in remote work for 2022. We had predicted last year that by the end of 2021, there'd be a larger return to the office with the norm being around a third of workers permanently remote. And of course the variants changed that equation and, you know, gave more time for people to think about this idea of hybrid work and that's really come in to focus. So we're predicting that is going to overtake fully remote as the dominant work model with only about a third of the workers back in the office full-time. And Erik, we expect a somewhat lower percentage to be fully remote. It's now sort of dipped under 30%, at around 29%, but it's still significantly higher than the historical average of around 15 to 16%. So still a major change, but this idea of hybrid and getting hybrid right, has really come into focus. Hasn't it? >> Yeah. It's here to stay. There's no doubt about it. We started this in March of 2020, as soon as the virus hit. This is the 10th iteration of the survey. No one, no one ever thought we'd see a number where only 34% of people were going to be in office permanently. That's a permanent number. They're expecting only a third of the workers to ever come back fully in office. And against that, there's 63% that are saying their permanent workforce is going to be either fully remote or hybrid. And this, I can't really explain how big of a paradigm shift this is. Since the start of the industrial revolution, people leave their house and go to work. Now they're saying that's not going to happen. The economic impact here is so broad, on so many different areas And, you know, the reason is like, why not? Right? The productivity increase is real. We're seeing the productivity increase. Enterprises are spending on collaboration tools, productivity tools, We're seeing an increased perception in productivity of their workforce. And the CFOs can cut down an expense item. I just don't see a reason why this would end, you know, I think it's going to continue. And I also want to point out these results, as high as they are, were before the Omicron wave hit us. I can only imagine what these results would have been if we had sent the survey out just two or three weeks later. >> Yeah. That's a great point. Okay. Next prediction, we're going to look at the supply chain, specifically in how it's affecting some of the hardware spending and cloud strategies in the future. So in this chart, ETRS buyers, have you experienced problems procuring hardware as a result of supply chain issues? And, you know, despite the fact that some companies are, you know, I would call out Dell, for example, doing really well in terms of delivering, you can see that in the numbers, it's pretty clear, there's been an impact. And that's not not an across the board, you know, thing where vendors are able to deliver, especially acute in PCs, but also pronounced in networking, also in firewall servers and storage. And what's interesting is how companies are responding and reacting. So first, you know, I'm going to call the laptop and PC demand staying well above pre-COVID norms. It had peaked in 2012. Pre-pandemic it kept dropping and dropping and dropping, in terms of, you know, unit volume, where the market was contracting. And we think can continue to grow this year in double digits in 2022. But what's interesting, Erik, is when you survey customers, is despite the difficulty they're having in procuring network hardware, there's as much of a migration away from existing networks to the cloud. You could probably comment on that. Their networks are more fossilized, but when it comes to firewalls and servers and storage, there's a much higher propensity to move to the cloud. 30% of customers that ETR surveyed will replace security appliances with cloud services and 41% and 34% respectively will move to cloud compute and storage in 2022. So cloud's relentless march on traditional on-prem models continues. Erik, what do you make of this data? Please weigh in on this prediction. >> As if we needed another reason to go to the cloud. Right here, here it is yet again. So this was added to the survey by client demand. They were asking about the procurement difficulties, the supply chain issues, and how it was impacting our community. So this is the first time we ran it. And it really was interesting to see, you know, the move there. And storage particularly I found interesting because it correlated with a huge jump that we saw on one of our vendor names, which was Rubrik, had the highest net score that it's ever had. So clearly we're seeing some correlation with some of these names that are there, you know, really well positioned to take storage, to take data into the cloud. So again, you didn't need another reason to, you know, hasten this digital transformation, but here we are, we have it yet again, and I don't see it slowing down anytime soon. >> You know, that's a really good point. I mean, it's not necessarily bad news for the... I mean, obviously you wish that it had no change, would be great, but things, you know, always going to change. So we'll talk about this a little bit later when we get into the Supercloud conversation, but this is an opportunity for people who embrace the cloud. So we'll come back to that. And I want to hang on cloud a bit and share some recent projections that we've made. The next prediction is the big four cloud players are going to surpass 167 billion, an IaaS and PaaS revenue in 2022. We track this. Observers of this program know that we try to create an apples to apples comparison between AWS, Azure, GCP and Alibaba in IaaS and PaaS. So we're calling for 38% revenue growth in 2022, which is astounding for such a massive market. You know, AWS is probably not going to hit a hundred billion dollar run rate, but they're going to be close this year. And we're going to get there by 2023, you know they're going to surpass that. Azure continues to close the gap. Now they're about two thirds of the size of AWS and Google, we think is going to surpass Alibaba and take the number three spot. Erik, anything you'd like to add here? >> Yeah, first of all, just on a sector level, we saw our sector, new survey net score on cloud jumped another 10%. It was already really high at 48. Went up to 53. This train is not slowing down anytime soon. And we even added an edge compute type of player, like CloudFlare into our cloud bucket this year. And it debuted with a net score of almost 60. So this is really an area that's expanding, not just the big three, but everywhere. We even saw Oracle and IBM jump up. So even they're having success, taking some of their on-prem customers and then selling them to their cloud services. This is a massive opportunity and it's not changing anytime soon, it's going to continue. >> And I think the operative word there is opportunity. So, you know, the next prediction is something that we've been having fun with and that's this Supercloud becomes a thing. Now, the reason I say we've been having fun is we put this concept of Supercloud out and it's become a bit of a controversy. First, you know, what the heck's the Supercloud right? It's sort of a buzz-wordy term, but there really is, we believe, a thing here. We think there needs to be a rethinking or at least an evolution of the term multi-cloud. And what we mean is that in our view, you know, multicloud from a vendor perspective was really cloud compatibility. It wasn't marketed that way, but that's what it was. Either a vendor would containerize its legacy stack, shove it into the cloud, or a company, you know, they'd do the work, they'd build a cloud native service on one of the big clouds and they did do it for AWS, and then Azure, and then Google. But there really wasn't much, if any, leverage across clouds. Now from a buyer perspective, we've always said multicloud was a symptom of multi-vendor, meaning I got different workloads, running in different clouds, or I bought a company and they run on Azure, and I do a lot of work on AWS, but generally it wasn't necessarily a prescribed strategy to build value on top of hyperscale infrastructure. There certainly was somewhat of a, you know, reducing lock-in and hedging the risk. But we're talking about something more here. We're talking about building value on top of the hyperscale gift of hundreds of billions of dollars in CapEx. So in addition, we're not just talking about transforming IT, which is what the last 10 years of cloud have been like. And, you know, doing work in the cloud because it's cheaper or simpler or more agile, all of those things. So that's beginning to change. And this chart shows some of the technology vendors that are leaning toward this Supercloud vision, in our view, building on top of the hyperscalers that are highlighted in red. Now, Jerry Chan at Greylock, they wrote a piece called Castles in the Cloud. It got our thinking going, and he and the team at Greylock, they're building out a database of all the cloud services and all the sub-markets in cloud. And that got us thinking that there's a higher level of abstraction coalescing in the market, where there's tight integration of services across clouds, but the underlying complexity is hidden, and there's an identical experience across clouds, and even, in my dreams, on-prem for some platforms, so what's new or new-ish and evolving are things like location independence, you've got to include the edge on that, metadata services to optimize locality of reference and data source awareness, governance, privacy, you know, application independent and dependent, actually, recovery across clouds. So we're seeing this evolve. And in our view, the two biggest things that are new are the technology is evolving, where you're seeing services truly integrate cross-cloud. And the other big change is digital transformation, where there's this new innovation curve developing, and it's not just about making your IT better. It's about SaaS-ifying and automating your entire company workflows. So Supercloud, it's not just a vendor thing to us. It's the evolution of, you know, the, the Marc Andreessen quote, "Every company will be a SaaS company." Every company will deliver capabilities that can be consumed as cloud services. So Erik, the chart shows spending momentum on the y-axis and net score, or presence in the ETR data center, or market share on the x-axis. We've talked about snowflake as the poster child for this concept where the vision is you're in their cloud and sharing data in that safe place. Maybe you could make some comments, you know, what do you think of this Supercloud concept and this change that we're sensing in the market? >> Well, I think you did a great job describing the concept. So maybe I'll support it a little bit on the vendor level and then kind of give examples of the ones that are doing it. You stole the lead there with Snowflake, right? There is no better example than what we've seen with what Snowflake can do. Cross-portability in the cloud, the ability to be able to be, you know, completely agnostic, but then build those services on top. They're better than anything they could offer. And it's not just there. I mean, you mentioned edge compute, that's a whole nother layer where this is coming in. And CloudFlare, the momentum there is out of control. I mean, this is a company that started off just doing CDN and trying to compete with Okta Mite. And now they're giving you a full soup to nuts with security and actual edge compute layer, but it's a fantastic company. What they're doing, it's another great example of what you're seeing here. I'm going to call out HashiCorp as well. They're more of an infrastructure services, a little bit more of an open-source freemium model, but what they're doing as well is completely cloud agnostic. It's dynamic. It doesn't care if you're in a container, it doesn't matter where you are. They recently IPO'd and they're down 25%, but their data looks so good across both of our emerging technology and TISA survey. It's certainly another name that's playing on this. And another one that we mentioned as well is Rubrik. If you need storage, compute, and in the cloud layer and you need to be agnostic to it, they're another one that's really playing in this space. So I think it's a great concept you're bringing up. I think it's one that's here to stay and there's certainly a lot of vendors that fit into what you're describing. >> Excellent. Thank you. All right, let's shift to data. The next prediction, it might be a little tough to measure. Before I said we're trying to be a little black and white here, but it relates to Data Mesh, which is, the ideas behind that term were created by Zhamak Dehghani of ThoughtWorks. And we see Data Mesh is really gaining momentum in 2022, but it's largely going to be, we think, confined to a more narrow scope. Now, the impetus for change in data architecture in many companies really stems from the fact that their Hadoop infrastructure really didn't solve their data problems and they struggle to get more value out of their data investments. Data Mesh prescribes a shift to a decentralized architecture in domain ownership of data and a shift to data product thinking, beyond data for analytics, but data products and services that can be monetized. Now this a very powerful in our view, but they're difficult for organizations to get their heads around and further decentralization creates the need for a self-service platform and federated data governance that can be automated. And not a lot of standards around this. So it's going to take some time. At our power panel a couple of weeks ago on data management, Tony Baer predicted a backlash on Data Mesh. And I don't think it's going to be so much of a backlash, but rather the adoption will be more limited. Most implementations we think are going to use a starting point of AWS and they'll enable domains to access and control their own data lakes. And while that is a very small slice of the Data Mesh vision, I think it's going to be a starting point. And the last thing I'll say is, this is going to take a decade to evolve, but I think it's the right direction. And whether it's a data lake or a data warehouse or a data hub or an S3 bucket, these are really, the concept is, they'll eventually just become nodes on the data mesh that are discoverable and access is governed. And so the idea is that the stranglehold that the data pipeline and process and hyper-specialized roles that they have on data agility is going to evolve. And decentralized architectures and the democratization of data will eventually become a norm for a lot of different use cases. And Erik, I wonder if you'd add anything to this. >> Yeah. There's a lot to add there. The first thing that jumped out to me was that that mention of the word backlash you said, and you said it's not really a backlash, but what it could be is these are new words trying to solve an old problem. And I do think sometimes the industry will notice that right away and maybe that'll be a little pushback. And the problems are what you already mentioned, right? We're trying to get to an area where we can have more assets in our data site, more deliverable, and more usable and relevant to the business. And you mentioned that as self-service with governance laid on top. And that's really what we're trying to get to. Now, there's a lot of ways you can get there. Data fabric is really the technical aspect and data mesh is really more about the people, the process, and the governance, but the two of those need to meet, in order to make that happen. And as far as tools, you know, there's even cataloging names like Informatica that play in this, right? Istio plays in this, Snowflake plays in this. So there's a lot of different tools that will support it. But I think you're right in calling out AWS, right? They have AWS Lake, they have AWS Glue. They have so much that's trying to drive this. But I think the really important thing to keep here is what you said. It's going to be a decade long journey. And by the way, we're on the shoulders of giants a decade ago that have even gotten us to this point to talk about these new words because this has been an ongoing type of issue, but ultimately, no matter which vendors you use, this is going to come down to your data governance plan and the data literacy in your business. This is really about workflows and people as much as it is tools. So, you know, the new term of data mesh is wonderful, but you still have to have the people and the governance and the processes in place to get there. >> Great, thank you for that, Erik. Some great points. All right, for the next prediction, we're going to shine the spotlight on two of our favorite topics, Snowflake and Databricks, and the prediction here is that, of course, Databricks is going to IPO this year, as expected. Everybody sort of expects that. And while, but the prediction really is, well, while these two companies are facing off already in the market, they're also going to compete with each other for M&A, especially as Databricks, you know, after the IPO, you're going to have, you know, more prominence and a war chest. So first, these companies, they're both looking pretty good, the same XY graph with spending velocity and presence and market share on the horizontal axis. And both Snowflake and Databricks are well above that magic 40% red dotted line, the elevated line, to us. And for context, we've included a few other firms. So you can see kind of what a good position these two companies are really in, especially, I mean, Snowflake, wow, it just keeps moving to the right on this horizontal picture, but maintaining the next net score in the Y axis. Amazing. So, but here's the thing, Databricks is using the term Lakehouse implying that it has the best of data lakes and data warehouses. And Snowflake has the vision of the data cloud and data sharing. And Snowflake, they've nailed analytics, and now they're moving into data science in the domain of Databricks. Databricks, on the other hand, has nailed data science and is moving into the domain of Snowflake, in the data warehouse and analytics space. But to really make this seamless, there has to be a semantic layer between these two worlds and they're either going to build it or buy it or both. And there are other areas like data clean rooms and privacy and data prep and governance and machine learning tooling and AI, all that stuff. So the prediction is they'll not only compete in the market, but they'll step up and in their competition for M&A, especially after the Databricks IPO. We've listed some target names here, like Atscale, you know, Iguazio, Infosum, Habu, Immuta, and I'm sure there are many, many others. Erik, you care to comment? >> Yeah. I remember a year ago when we were talking Snowflake when they first came out and you, and I said, "I'm shocked if they don't use this war chest of money" "and start going after more" "because we know Slootman, we have so much respect for him." "We've seen his playbook." And I'm actually a little bit surprised that here we are, at 12 months later, and he hasn't spent that money yet. So I think this prediction's just spot on. To talk a little bit about the data side, Snowflake is in rarefied air. It's all by itself. It is the number one net score in our entire TISA universe. It is absolutely incredible. There's almost no negative intentions. Global 2000 organizations are increasing their spend on it. We maintain our positive outlook. It's really just, you know, stands alone. Databricks, however, also has one of the highest overall net sentiments in the entire universe, not just its area. And this is the first time we're coming up positive on this name as well. It looks like it's not slowing down. Really interesting comment you made though that we normally hear from our end-user commentary in our panels and our interviews. Databricks is really more used for the data science side. The MLAI is where it's best positioned in our survey. So it might still have some catching up to do to really have that caliber of usability that you know Snowflake is seeing right now. That's snowflake having its own marketplace. There's just a lot more to Snowflake right now than there is Databricks. But I do think you're right. These two massive vendors are sort of heading towards a collision course, and it'll be very interesting to see how they deploy their cash. I think Snowflake, with their incredible management and leadership, probably will make the first move. >> Well, I think you're right on that. And by the way, I'll just add, you know, Databricks has basically said, hey, it's going to be easier for us to come from data lakes into data warehouse. I'm not sure I buy that. I think, again, that semantic layer is a missing ingredient. So it's going to be really interesting to see how this plays out. And to your point, you know, Snowflake's got the war chest, they got the momentum, they've got the public presence now since November, 2020. And so, you know, they're probably going to start making some aggressive moves. Anyway, next prediction is something, Erik, that you and I have talked about many, many times, and that is observability. I know it's one of your favorite topics. And we see this world screaming for more consolidation it's going all in on cloud native. These legacy stacks, they're fighting to stay relevant, but the direction is pretty clear. And the same XY graph lays out the players in the field, with some of the new entrants that we've also highlighted, like Observe and Honeycomb and ChaosSearch that we've talked about. Erik, we put a big red target around Splunk because everyone wants their gold. So please give us your thoughts. >> Oh man, I feel like I've been saying negative things about Splunk for too long. I've got a bad rap on this name. The Splunk shareholders come after me all the time. Listen, it really comes down to this. They're a fantastic company that was designed to do logging and monitoring and had some great tool sets around what you could do with it. But they were designed for the data center. They were designed for prem. The world we're in now is so dynamic. Everything I hear from our end user community is that all net new workloads will be going to cloud native players. It's that simple. So Splunk has entrenched. It's going to continue doing what it's doing and it does it really, really well. But if you're doing something new, the new workloads are going to be in a dynamic environment and that's going to go to the cloud native players. And in our data, it is extremely clear that that means Datadog and Elastic. They are by far number one and two in net score, increase rates, adoption rates. It's not even close. Even New Relic actually is starting to, you know, entrench itself really well. We saw New Relic's adoption's going up, which is super important because they went to that freemium model, you know, to try to get their little bit of an entrenched customer base and that's working as well. And then you made a great list here, of all the new entrants, but it goes beyond this. There's so many more. In our emerging technology survey, we're seeing Century, Catchpoint, Securonix, Lucid Works. There are so many options in this space. And let's not forget, the biggest data that we're seeing is with Grafana. And Grafana labs as yet to turn on their enterprise. Elastic did it, why can't Grafana labs do it? They have an enterprise stack. So when you look at how crowded this space is, there has to be consolidation. I recently hosted a panel and every single guy on that panel said, "Please give me a consolidation." Because they're the end users trying to actually deploy these and it's getting a little bit confusing. >> Great. Thank you for that. Okay. Last prediction. Erik, might be a little out of your wheelhouse, but you know, you might have some thoughts on it. And that's a hybrid events become the new digital model and a new category in 2022. You got these pure play digital or virtual events. They're going to take a back seat to in-person hybrids. The virtual experience will eventually give way to metaverse experiences and that's going to take some time, but the physical hybrid is going to drive it. And metaverse is ultimately going to define the virtual experience because the virtual experience today is not great. Nobody likes virtual. And hybrid is going to become the business model. Today's pure virtual experience has to evolve, you know, theCUBE first delivered hybrid mid last decade, but nobody really wanted it. We did Mobile World Congress last summer in Barcelona in an amazing hybrid model, which we're showing in some of the pictures here. Alex, if you don't mind bringing that back up. And every physical event that we're we're doing now has a hybrid and virtual component, including the pre-records. You can see in our studios, you see that the green screen. I don't know. Erik, what do you think about, you know, the Zoom fatigue and all this. I know you host regular events with your round tables, but what are your thoughts? >> Well, first of all, I think you and your company here have just done an amazing job on this. So that's really your expertise. I spent 20 years of my career hosting intimate wall street idea dinners. So I'm better at navigating a wine list than I am navigating a conference floor. But I will say that, you know, the trend just goes along with what we saw. If 35% are going to be fully remote. If 70% are going to be hybrid, then our events are going to be as well. I used to host round table dinners on, you know, one or two nights a week. Now those have gone virtual. They're now panels. They're now one-on-one interviews. You know, we do chats. We do submitted questions. We do what we can, but there's no reason that this is going to change anytime soon. I think you're spot on here. >> Yeah. Great. All right. So there you have it, Erik and I, Listen, we always love the feedback. Love to know what you think. Thank you, Erik, for your partnership, your collaboration, and love doing these predictions with you. >> Yeah. I always enjoy them too. And I'm actually happy. Last year you made us do a baker's dozen, so thanks for keeping it to 10 this year. >> (laughs) We've got a lot to say. I know, you know, we cut out. We didn't do much on crypto. We didn't really talk about SaaS. I mean, I got some thoughts there. We didn't really do much on containers and AI. >> You want to keep going? I've got another 10 for you. >> RPA...All right, we'll have you back and then let's do that. All right. All right. Don't forget, these episodes are all available as podcasts, wherever you listen, all you can do is search Breaking Analysis podcast. Check out ETR's website at etr.plus, they've got a new website out. It's the best data in the industry, and we publish a full report every week on wikibon.com and siliconangle.com. You can always reach out on email, David.Vellante@siliconangle.com I'm @DVellante on Twitter. Comment on our LinkedIn posts. This is Dave Vellante for the Cube Insights powered by ETR. Have a great week, stay safe, be well. And we'll see you next time. (mellow music)

Published Date : Jan 22 2022

SUMMARY :

bringing you data-driven and predict the future. So hopefully we can keep to mention that, you know, And this is a real issue, you know, And that is that the number one priority and in the application stack itself. And of course the variants And the CFOs can cut down an expense item. the board, you know, thing interesting to see, you know, and take the number three spot. not just the big three, but everywhere. It's the evolution of, you know, the, the ability to be able to be, and the democratization of data and the processes in place to get there. and is moving into the It is the number one net score And by the way, I'll just add, you know, and that's going to go to has to evolve, you know, that this is going to change anytime soon. Love to know what you think. so thanks for keeping it to 10 this year. I know, you know, we cut out. You want to keep going? This is Dave Vellante for the

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