AWS re:Invent 2018 | Day Two Keynote Analysis
live from Las Vegas it's the cube covering AWS reinvent 2018 brought to you by Amazon Web Services Intel and their ecosystem partners everyone welcome back to the cube day two of three days of wall-to-wall coverage here in Las Vegas for AWS Amazon Web Services reinvent 2018 start sixth year covering I was only meeting to all the reinvents except for the original one I'm John for a mykos David Lunz we got two sets here and set one we got another set over there's so much content set upstairs total of four sets here covering all the video covers and right now we're coming off the keynote with Andy Jesse full of action packed analysis Dave a pretty amazing set of keynotes they had so many announcements here at ABS they had to basically start releasing them they did media alerts before the show midnight madness just a lot of front-end releases that would be notable releases for any other other conference they're letting out early Andy Jesse only has two hours on stage he's giving the keynote finishing up huge amounts of news announcements Dave so you know you went to the analyst session I met with any Jesse last Monday night for the preview we've been following Amazon a lot of the stuff that we've been saying for the past multiple years is actually happening our original predictions and impact of a toes of business on the IT landscape is happened and happening and now new areas that they're focused on that extends their a leadership both technology and the business and on the business model side continue to come on they well yesterday launched as a preview satellites as a service you actually stand up some satellites which is the power of the IOT has so many implications so many things to talk about through the course of today a lot of interviews we're gonna have again day two let's analyze Andy's keynote and the company what's your take their business is strong their lead a lot of analysts are fooled by the numbers you're not we've been watching it huge number of lead in the cloud I think the first thing I want to say is I go to Silicon angle calm I read you're both of your pieces that are up there your piece on Forbes this is a preview and then the the number of announcements here is just overwhelming last two days at the analyst event they gave us previews of sixty-two announcements and that's only a partial list of the announcement 62 that they took us through it was like rapid-fire kool-aid injection unbelievable so silicon Hangul comm is covering as much of that as physically possible any chassis made a big point this morning and at the private analyst meeting of talking about the context of the cloud market he's very sensitive to people misinterpreting growth there are 26 27 billion dollar business exclusively focused on infrastructure as a service and they're totally transparent about the size of that business everybody else throws in SAS I mean you've made this point a bunch of times and all these other things they mix in hosting and you really can't tell what's what despite that Amazon is by far the leader infrastructure as a service with over 50% of the marketplace now they're only growing at 46% but there are 26 27 billion-dollar run rate business growing at 46% so you see sometimes like Microsoft growing it whatever 70% but they're much much smaller so the absolute number in terms of revenue growth is much much higher for Amazon so that's sort of point number one the thing that Jesse doesn't talk about is the profitability of the business they're transparent about it in their financials Amazon has 28 percent operating margins now just to put that in the context software companies like Oracle have 37 percent operating margins Microsoft 32 percent AWS I just mentioned 28 percent Cisco 25 percent VMware as a software companies with 22 percent operating margins IBM 15 percent Dell eight point seven percent HPE seven percent this underscores the power of the AWS model at scale where they're driving the marginal cost of new services and deploying new services down to zero and it just keeps getting stronger and stronger and stronger and as a great point as a flywheel effect totally Amazon like but it's a great point ago we've been saying it for a long time the competitive advantage is scale and speed and jessee's now adopting that into his rhetoric into his into his narrative totally true and the other thing to point out on that margin and the profitability is that they're plowing it back in so what what you have at scale I wrote this in my Forbes post and in space at all in Silicon angle transcripts are my my exclusive interview with Andy is that not only are they profitable so they have software like margins for what is what is a hardware business basically in the cloud the stack and in Iraq on their own servers they're making their own chips as they start getting the scale up Dave they are getting a competitive advantage I'm following the profitability back in to launch new services so as the trajectory and I kind of tease this out in my Forbes article I wrote which is as you have a trajectory of growth they're building on that trajectory and the competition is trying to copy Amazon and you can't you can't get the trajectory value by trying to meet Amazon's current trajectory that's called diseconomies of scale I teach you that in business school this economies of scales it's the unsub optimized execution model where you run you don't have the learning experience that you don't have the scale Amazon has that trajectory and as people try to match them they will lose and they're at risk of losing because the risk so the only play for the competition in my opinion like Google like Microsoft like others is to change the goalposts they got to change the playing field on Amazon this is the number one thing that the industry is looking at Amazon is making the market they continue to make the market as market makers that's gonna attract an ecosystem that's gonna attract value and and more companies the only competitive strike that I think one could make is to change the playing field they got to change the game on Amazon that is extremely difficult to do when you're operating at scale you got the profitability numbers you talked about so again that is the new bar and as Amazon I'm we've said this every year ever and every year they've done it they've doubled their aurora customers on the database lied every year they introduced more services last year they in 2018 they'll have introduced significantly new services and the number of eighteen hundred plus okay the year before is like fourteen hundred next year we're probably higher by introducing new services faster that keeps the pace and that's what's hard to copy it's hard for competition to try to match that and as they try to match it they have the diseconomies of scale this is a major advantage this is going to give Amazon customers a comfort because they know that that's that scale becomes more stable products becomes stable the flywheel kicks in and as data gets into the cloud it gets sticky so there's no real lock in spec you can move every in and out of Amazon all you want but why would you because the benefits of being in Amazon far outweigh benefits of actually doing anything else so again the lock-in spec doesn't exist anymore from a technology feature standpoint it's a lock in spec on business model oh it's better well and I want to add something some color to what you said about the the new services and the pace of innovation their services of substance and we know this because our developers you know they talked to us about Amazon Andy Jesse told the story about one of his his executives that was on a plane leaving Seattle he didn't mention Microsoft but clearly he was talking about Microsoft that somebody's laptop was up the PowerPoint presentation it said their strategies explicitly said just announce what Amazon announces don't worry about the functionality and and what so what Amazon what Microsoft is doing presumably it was Microsoft is basically saying check the box freeze the market we have that too so to your point competitors cannot compete with Amazon on pace of innovation no way what they have to do is in the case of Microsoft they have to rely on their software estate in the case of Google you know they've got their innovations ok fine but nobody can match Amazon head-to-head don't just lose every time I like Google's position I love I love Google's got the technology power but you're exactly right that competitive strategy of checking the boxes is an old way of competing and I think what's interesting is the competition has not yet woke up to the fact that the game has already changed on them look at the public sector work that Teresa Collins done the CIA deal really made Amazon a business model because people said hey the CIA could do it we could do it that's been that's come up in all my conversations across all Amazon executives but what's happening now the DoD isn't the only soul source or that's Oracle's business they try to compete I'm checking the boxes but because it's so easy to use the cloud and Andy talked about this as keynote is that you can't fake it till you make it hey you can't you got it you have the surge it's gotta be up and running so it's very easy to do a bake off so you know that it's so that whole way of competing of checking the boxes over the only way to compete is have value and that is a new flywheel that's what's happening right now and that's key so so let me set it up so when you get to reinvent I mean I'm so psyched to be here with you John it's been a while but but try that you try to absorb all the innovation so you so try to boil it down you got to look at it it to simplify it two dimensions one is the data exploiting data better use out of data and the other is developers and developer tools and making it simpler for developers their announcements the 60-plus announcement that they made I break them down into five categories storage and database services compute networking and security third is ease of use and abstractions making things simpler fourth is machine learning and developer tools and the fifth is these new growth frontiers like you mentioned satellite as a service and some other things like in hybrid that we're going to talk about so the announcements kind of fit into that framework but let's maybe highlight some of the announcement a lot of time at least just run down the announcements real quick to meet the main main ones at the place he started the bottom of the stack and move it has moved up storage deep glacier FX Windows file systems lustre for high-performance workloads the new persona developer he call it the Builder the right tool for the right job this is a constant refrain he's been saying control tower blueprints and guardrails template based approach to stand up new use cases for compliance all the kind of detailed manual things that they're automating signal from the noise I love that phrase he put on this put on the big screen that's our motto here it's looking angle security hub lake formation instant data lakes he kind of was pooh-poohing data Lake which I love them like oh shit it'll is just one piece of freedom around databases so one storage was a huge part of the innovation and they're expanding that front and compute and storage it's gonna be critical the database war is definitely happening open engines Aurora doubling customers DynamoDB runtime capacity on demand sensors and time series dais they have timestream block chaining address that straight up look at weekly we'd love blockchain if the customers wanted we're gonna look at and understand it then announce that they announced the quantum ledger database ql DB amazon manage blockchain service so you want etherium or hyper ledger got it and then he moved on to Mitch from databases to machine learning this is where sage maker comes in so you got s3 and ec2 that the pillars you got Aurora that's the key product and then sage making the other key product at the top of stack sets the tone for all these abstractions the machine learning trends tensorflow if you want to use it no problem we'll optimize it Amazon inference engine so elastic inferences blatant see they got a chip inference chip in inferential inferential so you put it the chip and the elasticity service together you have a powerful combination that comes out of the Annapurna acquisition from 2015 building and tuning and managing machine learning apps is gonna be a control area they're gonna add value on and the insights coming from this and marketplace capability so and then on and on and finally the Amazon on premise stack which is gonna be called outpost is the final nail of the coffin behind the strategy because think about it you're gonna put Amazon on premise with a hardware device that's gonna connect with the cloud with all the innovation and this is what amy jazzy talked about we're not just a software company we're hardware we're networking we're compute we're storage and we're software abstractions we're gonna bring that and put it in a device so we're gonna basically create a Amazon Cloud in a box search solution on premise to allow people to manage those Layton sees where network traffic is there this is not just a software only he's not gonna let people run their databases on their clouds it's the Amazon footprints I wanna make a comment about that I came in to reinvent with the with the statement that Amazon actually is winning in hybrid now they used to not talk about hybrid as you well know how can I make that statement when they don't really deliberately go after hybrid well the reason I made the statements cuz the entire ecosystem is connecting to Amazon s3 targets Direct Connect you've seen Amazon do things like snowball and VPC so now what Amazon is doing without post is they're putting the exact same hardware that Amazon uses in its data centers allowing customers to put that in their data centers the identical configuration control plane hardware etc that move is going to really even further extend yeah Amazon's lead and hybrid yeah and we're gonna have eme Jesse on Thursday day of coverage here we have Teresa Carlson on Andy Jessie all the topics David gave McCann you name all the AIG folks coming on as well we're gonna get into all this and extract the signal from all this signal out here of course RTS on VMware I forgot it the other way so there's so much this noise omus iot there IOT strategy is bottoms up and very very impressive gonna have Jerry Chen come on former VMware cloud guy now great little cray lakh venture capital partners over there he's gonna come on and analyze what's the only announcements we're gonna continue to tease out the announcement of course but a silicon angle comm check out all the news it's a tsunami of content coming out of reinvent totally game-changing days we're gonna wrap it up here we're gonna do more analysis so you'll see a bunch of videos on on our YouTube channel and stay tuned watching all week here for live coverage I'm chef Devaux want a stay with us we'll be right back [Music]
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