Breaking Analysis: The Case for Buy the Dip on Coupa, Snowflake & Zscaler
from the cube studios in palo alto in boston bringing you data driven insights from the cube and etr this is breaking analysis with dave vellante by the dip has been been an effective strategy since the market bottomed in early march last year the approach has been especially successful in tech and even more so for those tech names that one were well positioned for the forced march to digital i sometimes call it i.e remote work online commerce data centric platforms and certain cyber security plays and two already had the cloud figured out the question on investors minds is where to go from here should you avoid some of the high flyers that are richly valued with eye-popping multiples or should you continue to buy the dip and if so which companies that capitalized on the trends from last year will see permanent shifts in spending patterns that make them a solid long-term play hello and welcome to this week's wikibon cube insights powered by etr in this breaking analysis we shine the spotlight on three companies that may be candidates for a buy the dip strategy and it's our pleasure to welcome in ivana delevco who's the chief investment officer and founder of spear alpha a new research-centric etf focused on industrial technology ivana is a long-time equity analyst with a background in both long and short investing ivana welcome to the program thanks so much for coming on thanks for having me david yeah it's really our pleasure i i want to start with your etf and give the folks a bit more background about you first you know we gotta let people know i'm not an investment pro i'm not an advisor i don't make stock recommendations i don't sell investments so you got to do your own research i have a lot of data so happy to share it but you got to understand your own risks you of course yvonne on the other hand you do offer investment services and so people before investing got to carefully review all the available available investment docs understand what you're getting into before you invest now with that out of the way ivana i have some stats up here on this slide your spear you're a newly launched female lead firm that does deep research into the supply chain we're going to talk about that you try to uncover as i understand it under-appreciated industrial tech firms and some really pretty cool areas that we list here but tell us a little bit more about your background and your etf so thanks for having me david my background is in industrial research and industrial technology investments i've spent the past 15 years covering this space and what we've seen over the past five years is technology changes that are really driving fundamental shifts in industrial manufacturing processes so whether this is 5g connectivity innovation in the software stack increasing compute speeds all of these are major technological advancements that are impacting uh traditional manufacturers so what we try to do is assess speak to these firms and assess who is at the leading and who is at the lagging end of this digital transformation and we're trying to assess what vendors they're using what processes they're implementing and that is how we generate most of our investment ideas okay great and and we show on the bottom of of this sort of intro slide if you will uh so one of the processes that you use and one of the things that that is notable a lot of people compare you uh to kathy woods are investments when you came out uh i think you use a different process i mean maybe there are some similarities in terms of disruption but at the bottom of this slide it shows a mckinsey sort of graphic that that i think informs people as to how you really dig into the supply chain from a research standpoint is that right absolutely so for us it's all about understanding the supply chain going deep in the supply chain and gather data points from primary sources that we can then translate into investment opportunities so if you look at this mckinsey graph uh you will see that there is a lot of opportunity to for these companies to transform themselves both on the front end which means better revenue better products and on their operation side which means lower cost whether it's through better operations or through better processes on the the back end so what we do is we will speak to a traditional manufacturing company and ask them okay well what do you use for better product development and they will give us the name of the firms and give us an assessment of what's the differences between the competitors why they like one versus the other so then we're gonna take the data and we will put it into our financial model and we'll understand the broader market for it um the addressable market the market share that the company has and will project the growth so for these higher growth stocks that that you cover the main alpha generation uh potential here is to understand what the amount of growth these companies will generate over the next 10 to 20 years so it's really all about projecting growth in the next three years in the next five years and where will growth ultimately settle in in the next 10 to 20 years love it we're gonna have a fun conversation because today we're going to get into your thesis for cooper snowflake and z scalar we're going to bring in some of our own data some of our data from etr and and why you think these companies may be candidates for long-term growth and and be buy the dip stock so to do that i hacked up this little comparison slide we're showing here i do this for context our audience knows i'm not a cfa or a valuation expert but we like to do simple comparisons just to give people context and a sense of relative size growth and valuation and so this chart attempts to do that so what i did is i took the most recent quarterly revenue for cooper snowflake and z scalar multiplied it by four to get a run rate we included servicenow in the table just for baseline reference because bill mcdermott as we've reported aspires to make service now the next great enterprise software company alongside with salesforce and oracle and some of the others and and all these companies that we list here that through the three here they aspire to do so in their own domain so we're displaying the market cap from friday morning september 10th we calculated a revenue run rate multiple and we show the quarterly revenue growth and what this data does is gives you a sense of the three companies they're well on their way to a billion dollars in revenue it underscores the relationship between revenue growth and valuation snowflake being the poster child for that dynamic savannah i know you do much more detailed financial analysis but let's talk about these companies in order maybe start with koopa they just crushed their quarter i mean they blew away consensus on the top line what else about the company do you like and why is it on your by the dip list so just to back up david on valuation these companies investors either directly or indirectly value on a dcf basis and what happened at the beginning of the year as interest rates started increasing people started freaking out and once you plug in 100 basis points higher interest rate in your dcf model you get significant price downside so that really drove a lot of the pullback at the beginning of the year right now where we stand today interest rates haven't really moved all that significantly off the bot of the bottom they're still around the same levels maybe a little bit higher but those are not the types of moves that are going to drive significant downside in this stock so as things have stabilized here a lot of these opportunities look pretty attractive on that basis so koopa specifically came out of our um if you go back to that uh the chart of like where the opportunities lie in um in across the manufacturing uh um enterprise koopa is really focused on business pen management so they're really trying to help companies reduce their cost uh and they're a leader in the space uh they're unique uh unique in that they're cloud-based so the feedback we've been hearing from from our companies that use it jetblue uses it train technologies uses it the feedback we've been hearing is that they love the ease of implementation so it's very easy to implement and it drives real savings um savings for these companies so we see in our dcf model we see multiple years of this 30 40 percent growth and that's really driving our price target yeah and we can i can confirm that i mean i mean just anecdotally you know you know we serve a lot of the technology community and many of our clients are saying hey okay you know when you go to do invoicing or whatever you work with procurement it's koopa you know this is some ariba that's kind of the legacy which is sap we'll talk about that a little later but let's talk about snowflake um you know snowflake we've been tracking them very closely we know the management there we've watched them through their last two companies now here and have been following that company early on since since really 2015. tell us why you like snowflake um and and maybe why you think it can continue its rapid growth thanks david so first of all i need to compliment you on your research on the company on the technology side so where we come in is more from understanding where our companies can use soft snowflake and where snowflake can add value so what we've been hearing from our companies is the challenge that they're facing is that everybody's moving to the cloud but it's not as simple as just send your data to the cloud and call aws and they're gonna generate more revenue for your solve your cost problem so what we've been hearing is that companies need to find tools that are easy to use where they can use their own domain expertise and just plug and play so um ansys is one of the companies we covered the dust simulation they've found snowflake to be an extremely useful tool in sales lead generation and within sales crm systems have been around for a while and they're they've really been implemented but analyzing sales numbers is something that is new to this company some some of our companies don't even know what their sales are even when they look back after the quarter is closed so tools like this help um companies do easy analytics and therefore drive revenue and cost savings growth so we see really big runway for for this company and i think the most misunderstood part about it is that people view it as a warehousing data warehousing play while this is all about compute and the company does a good job separating the two and what our their customers like or like the companies that we cover like about it is that it can lower their compute costs um and make it much easier much more easily manageable for them great and we're going to talk about more about each of these companies but let's talk about z-scaler a bit i mean z-scaler is a company we've been very excited about and identified them kind of early on they've definitely benefited from the move to cloud generally and specifically the remote work uh situation with the cyber threats etc but tell us why you like z-scaler so interestingly z-scaler um we like the broader security space um the broader cyber security space and interestingly our companies are not yet spending to the level that is commensurate with the increase in attack rate so we think this is a trend that is really going to accelerate as we go forward um my own board 20 of the time on the last board meeting was spent on cyber security what we're doing and this is a pretty simple operation that that we're running here so you can imagine for a large enterprise with thousands of people all around the world um needing to be on a single simple system z-scaler really fits well here very easy to implement several of our industrial companies use it siemens uses it ge uses it and they've had great great experience with it excellent i just want to take a quick look at how some of these names have performed over the last year and and what if anything this data tells us this is a chart comparing the past 12 months performance of of those four companies uh that we just talked about and we added in you know servicenow z scalar as you can see has outperformed the other despite your commentary on discounted cash flow snowflake is underperformed really precisely for the reasons that you mentioned not to mention the fact that it was pretty highly valued and you can see relative to the nas but it's creeping back lately after very strong earnings even though the stock dropped after it beat earnings because the street wants the cfo to say to guide even higher than maybe as mike scarpelli feels is prudent and you can see cooper has also underperformed relatively speaking i mean it absolutely destroyed consensus this week the stock went up but it's been off with the the weaker market this week i know you like to take a longer term view but but anything you would add here yeah so interestingly both z-scaler and koopa were in the camp of as we went into earnings expectations were already pretty high because few of their competitors reported very strong results so this scalar yesterday their revenue growth was was pretty strong the stock is down today uh and the reason is because people were kind of caught up a little bit in the noise of this quarter growth is 57 last quarter it was 60 like is this a deceleration we don't see it as that at all and the company brought up one point that i thought was extremely interesting which is as their deal sizes are getting larger it takes a little longer time for them to see the revenue come through so it takes a little bit of time to for you to see it into from billings into into revenue same thing with cooper very strong earnings report but i think expectations were already pretty high going into it uh given the service now and um and anna plan as well reported strong results so i think it's all about positioning so we love these setups where you can buy the deep in on this opportunity where like people get caught up in um short-term noise and and it creates good entry points excellent i i want to bring in some data from our partner etr and see if you have any comments ivana so what we're showing here is a two-dimensional chart we like to show this uh very frequently it's based on a survey of between a thousand and fifteen hundred chief information officers and technology buyers every quarter this is from their most recent july survey the vertical axis shows net score which is a measure of spending momentum i mean this it measures the net percentage of customers in the survey that are spending more on a particular product or platform in other words it essentially subtracts the percentage of customers spending less from those spending more which yields a net score it's more granular than that but basically that's what it does the horizontal axis is market share or pervasiveness in the data set it's not revenue market share like you get from idc it's it's a mention market share and now that red dotted line at the 40 percent mark on the vertical represents an elevated level in other words anything above 40 percent we consider notable and we've plotted our three by the dip companies and included some of their competitors for context and you can see we added salesforce servicenow and oracle and that orange ellipse because they're some of the bigger names in the software business so let's take these in alphabetical order ivana starting with koopa in the blue you can see we plotted them next to sap's ariba and you can see cooper has stronger spending momentum but not as much presence in the market so to me my influence is oh that's an opportunity for them to steal share more modern technology you know more facile and of course oracle has products in this space but the oracle dot includes all oracle products not just the procurement stuff but uh maybe your thoughts on this absolutely i love this chart i think that's your spot on this would be the same way i would interpret the chart where um increased spending momentum is is a sign of the company providing products that people like and we we expect to see cooper's share grow market share grow over time as well so let's come back to the chart and i want to i want to really point out the green ellipse this is the data zone if you will uh and we're like a broken record on this program with snowflake has performed unbelievably well in net score and spending momentum every quarter the dtr has captured enough end sample in its survey holding near or above 80 percent its net score consistently is has been up there and we've plotted data bricks in that zone it's been expected right that data bricks is going to do an ipo this year late last month company raised 1.6 billion in a private round so i guess that was either a strategy to delay the ipo or raise a bunch more cash and give late investors a low risk bite at the apple you know pre-ipo as we saw with snowflake last year what we didn't plot here are some of snowflake's biggest competitors ivana who also happen to be their partners most notably the big cloud players all who have their own database offerings aws microsoft and google now you've said snowflake is much more than a database company i wonder if you could add some color here yeah that's a very good point david uh basically the the driver of the thesis in snowflake is all about acceleration and spending and what we are seeing is the customers that are signed up on their platform today they're not even spending they're probably spending less than five percent of what they can ultimately spend on this product and the reason is because they don't yet know what the ultimate applications are for this right so you're gonna start with putting the data in a format you can use and you need to come up with use cases or how are you actually going to use this data so back to the example that i gave with answers the first use case that they found was trying to optimize leads there could be like 100 other use cases and they're coming up with with those on a daily basis so i would expect um this score to keep keep uh keep up pretty high or or go even higher as we as people figure out how they can use this product you know the buy-the-dip thesis on snowflake was great last quarter because the stock pulled back after they announced earnings and when we reported we said you know mike the the company see well cleveland research came out remember they got the dip on that and we looked at the data and we said mike scarpelli said that you know we're going to probably as a percentage of overall customers decelerate the net net new logos but we're going deeper into the customer base and that's exactly what's happening with with snowflake but okay let's bring up the slide again last but not least the z scaler we love z scalar we named z scaler in 2019 as an emerging four-star security company along with crowdstrike and octa and we said these three should be on your radar and as you see we've plotted z scalar with octa who with its it's its recent move into to converging identity and governance uh it gets kind of interesting uh we plotted them with palo alto as well another cyber security player that we've covered extensively we love octa in addition to z-scaler we great respect for palo alto and you'll note all of them are over that 40 percent line these are disruptors they're benefiting well not so much palo alto they're more legacy but the the other two are benefiting from that shift to work from home cloud security modern tech stack uh the acquisition that octa-made of of of auth0 and again z scalar cloud security getting rid of a lot of hardware uh really has a huge tailwind at its back if on a zscaler you know they've benefited from the huge my cloud migration trend what are your thoughts on the company so i actually love all three companies that are there right and the point is people are just going to spend more money whether you are on the cloud of the cloud the data centers need more security as well so i think there is a strong case to be made for all three with this scaler the upside is that it's just very easy to use very easy to implement and if you're somebody that is just setting up infrastructure on the cloud there is no reason for you to call any other competitor right with palo alto the case there is that if you have an established um security platfor if you're on their security platform the databa on the data center side uh they they did introduce through several acquisitions a pretty attractive cloud offering as well so they've been gaining share as well in the space and and the company does look pretty attractive on valiation basis so for us cyber security is really all about rising tide lifts all boats here right so you can have a pure play like this scaler uh that benefits from the cloud but even somebody like palo alto is pretty well positioned um to benefit yeah we think so too over a year ago we reported on the valuation divergence between palo alto and fortinet fortinet was doing a better job moving to the cloud and obviously serves more of a mid-market space palo alto had some go-to-market execution challenges we said at the time they're going to get through those and when we talk to chief information security officers palo alto is like the gold standard they're the thought leader they want to work with them but at the same time they also want to participate in some of these you know modern cloud stacks so i we agree there's plenty of room for all three um just to add a bit more color and drill into the spending data a little bit more this slide here takes that net score and shows the progression since january 2019 and you can see a snowflake just incredible in terms of its ability to maintain that elevated net score as we talked about and the table on the insert it shows you the number of responses and all three of these companies have been getting more mentions over time but snowflake and z scale are now both well over 100 n in the survey each quarter and the other notable piece here and this is really important you can see all three are coming out of the isolation economy with the spending uptick nice upticks shown in the most recent survey so that's again another positive but i want to close ivana with kind of making the bull and bear case and have you address really the risks to the buy the dip scenario so look there are a lot of reasons to like these companies we talked about them cooper they've got earnings momentum you know management on the call side had very strong end market demand this the stock you know has underperformed the nasdaq you know this year snowflake and zscaler they also have momentum snowflake get this enormous tam uh although they were punished for not putting a hard number on it which is ridiculous in my opinion i mean the thing is it's huge um the investors were just kind of you know wanting a little binky baby blanket but they all have modern tech in the cloud and really importantly this shows in the etr surveys you know the momentum that they have so very high retention is the other point i wanted to make the very very low churn of these companies however cooper's management despite the blowout quarter they gave kind of underwhelming guidance they've cited headwinds uh they've with the the the lamisoft uh migration to their cloud platform snowflake is kind of like price to perfection so maybe that's an advantage because every every little negative news is going to going to cause the company to dip but it's you know it's pretty high value because salutman and scarpelli everybody expects them to surpass what happened at servicenow which was a rocket ship and it could be all argued that all three are richly priced and overvalued so but ivana you're looking out as you said a couple of years three years maybe even five years how do you think about the potential downside risks in in your by the dip scenario you buy every dip you looking for bigger dips or what's your framework there so what we try to do is really look every quarter the company reports is there something that's driving fundamental change to the story or is it a one-off situation where people are just misunderstanding what the company is reporting so in the case we kind of addressed some of the earnings that that were reported but with koopa we think the man that management is guiding conservatively as they should so we're not very concerned about their ability to execute on on the guidance and and to exceed the guidance with snowflake price to perfection that's never a good idea to avoid a stock uh because it just shows that there is the company is doing a great job executing right so um we are looking for reports like the cleveland report where they would be like negative on the stock and that would be an entry point uh for us so broadly we apply by the deep philosophy but not not if something fundamentally changes in the story and none of these three are showing any signs of fundamental change okay we're going to leave it right there thanks to my guest today ivana tremendous having you would love to have you back great to see you thank you david and def you definitely want to check out sprx and the spear etf now remember i publish each week on wikibon.com and siliconangle.com these episodes they're all available as podcasts all you do is search breaking analysis podcasts you can always connect with me on twitter i'm at d vallante or email me at david.vellante at siliconangle.com love the comments on linkedin don't forget to check out etr.plus for all the survey action this is dave vellante for the cube insights powered by etr be well and we'll see you next time [Music] you
SUMMARY :
the company to dip but it's you know
SENTIMENT ANALYSIS :
ENTITIES
Entity | Category | Confidence |
---|---|---|
mike scarpelli | PERSON | 0.99+ |
palo alto | ORGANIZATION | 0.99+ |
january 2019 | DATE | 0.99+ |
mike scarpelli | PERSON | 0.99+ |
david | PERSON | 0.99+ |
40 percent | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
today | DATE | 0.99+ |
1.6 billion | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
five years | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
2019 | DATE | 0.99+ |
2015 | DATE | 0.99+ |
microsoft | ORGANIZATION | 0.99+ |
last year | DATE | 0.99+ |
three companies | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
less than five percent | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
yesterday | DATE | 0.99+ |
early march last year | DATE | 0.99+ |
each week | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
last quarter | DATE | 0.99+ |
siliconangle.com | OTHER | 0.99+ |
this week | DATE | 0.99+ |
dave vellante | PERSON | 0.99+ |
boston | LOCATION | 0.99+ |
thousands of people | QUANTITY | 0.98+ |
four companies | QUANTITY | 0.98+ |
two | QUANTITY | 0.98+ |
this year | DATE | 0.98+ |
apple | ORGANIZATION | 0.98+ |
one point | QUANTITY | 0.98+ |
three years | QUANTITY | 0.98+ |
octa | ORGANIZATION | 0.98+ |
three | QUANTITY | 0.98+ |
crowdstrike | ORGANIZATION | 0.98+ |
60 | QUANTITY | 0.98+ |
aws | ORGANIZATION | 0.98+ |
koopa | ORGANIZATION | 0.98+ |
one | QUANTITY | 0.97+ |
fortinet | ORGANIZATION | 0.97+ |
100 other use cases | QUANTITY | 0.97+ |
both | QUANTITY | 0.97+ |
100 basis | QUANTITY | 0.97+ |
ivana | PERSON | 0.97+ |
first use case | QUANTITY | 0.97+ |
each | QUANTITY | 0.97+ |
cooper | PERSON | 0.97+ |
57 | QUANTITY | 0.96+ |
ORGANIZATION | 0.96+ | |
each quarter | QUANTITY | 0.96+ |
billion dollars | QUANTITY | 0.96+ |
mckinsey | ORGANIZATION | 0.94+ |
def | PERSON | 0.94+ |
friday morning september 10th | DATE | 0.93+ |
lamisoft | ORGANIZATION | 0.93+ |
four-star | QUANTITY | 0.93+ |
mike | PERSON | 0.91+ |
scarpelli | PERSON | 0.91+ |
oracle | ORGANIZATION | 0.91+ |
ansys | ORGANIZATION | 0.91+ |
z scalar | TITLE | 0.91+ |
late last month | DATE | 0.9+ |
ORGANIZATION | 0.9+ | |
30 40 percent | QUANTITY | 0.9+ |
d vallante | PERSON | 0.88+ |
Keynote Analysis | PTC Liveworx 2018
>> From Boston Massachusetts, it's The Cube! Covering LiveWorx 18. Brought to you by PTC. >> Welcome to Boston everybody. You're watching The Cube, the leader in live tech coverage. And we're here with a special presentation in coverage of the LiveWorx show sponsored by PTC of Needham, soon to be of Boston. My name is Dave Vellante. I'm here with my co-host Stu Miniman. And Stu, this is quite a show. There's 6,000 people here. Jim Heppelmann this morning was up giving the keynote. PTC is a company that kind of hit the doldrums in the early 2000s. A company that as manufacturing moved offshore, its core business was CAD software for manufacturers, and it went through a pretty dramatic transformation that we're going to be talking about today. Well, fast forward 10 years, 12 years, 15 years on, this company is smokin, the stock's up 50 percent this year. They got a billion dollars plus in revenue. They're growing at 10 to 15 percent a year. They've shifted their software business from a perpetual software license to a recurring revenue model. And they're booming. And we're here at the original site of The Cube, as you remember well in 2010, the Boston Convention Center down at the seaport. And Stu, what are your initial impressions of LiveWorx? >> Yeah, it's great to be here, Dave. Good to be here with you and they dub this the largest digital transformation conference in the world. (laughing) So, I mean, Dave, you and I have been to much bigger conferences and we've been to a lot of conferences that are talking about digital transformation. But, IOT, AI, Augmented Reality, Block Chain, Robotics, all of these things really are about software, it's about digital transformation, and a really interesting space as you mentioned kind of the legacy of PTC. I have been around long enough. I remember when we used to call them Parametric Technologies. They kind of rebranded themselves as PTC. Windchill brings back some memories for me. When I worked for a high tech manufacturing company, it was that's the life cycle management tool that we used back in the early 2000s. So, I had a little bit of background in them. And, as you said, they're based in Needham, and they're moving to the Seaport. Hot area, especially, as we've said Dave, Boston has the opportunity to be the hub of IOT. And it's companies like PTC that are going to help bring those partnerships and lots of companies to an event like this. >> Well PTC has always been an inquisitive company, as you were pointing out to me off camera. They brought Prime Computer, Computer Vision. A number of acquisitions that they made back in the late 90s, which essentially didn't pan out the way they had hoped. But now again, fast forward to the modern era, Jim Heppelmann came in I think around 2010, exceeded ThingWorx, a company called Cold Light, Kept Ware is another company that they purchased. And took these really sort of independent software components and put them together and created a platform. Everybody talks about platform. We'll be talking about that a lot today, where the number of customers and partners of PTC. And we even have some folks from PTC on. But, basically, talking about digital transformation earlier, Stu, IOT is a huge tailwind for a company like PTC. But they had to really deliberately pivot to take advantage of this market. And if you think about it, yes, it's about connecting and instrumenting devices and machines, it's about reaching them, creating whatever wireless connections. But it's also about the data. We talk about that all the time. And constructing data that goes from edge to core, and even into the cloud, whether that cloud's on prem or in the data center. So you're seeing the transformation of this company. Obviously, I talked about some of the financials. We'll go into some of that. But an evolving ecosystem we heard Accenture's here, Infosys is here, Deloitte is here. As I like to say, the SI's like to eat at the trough. If the SI's are here, that means there's money here, right? >> Yeah Dave and actually a number that jumped out at me when Microsoft was up on stage, and it wasn't that Microsoft is investing five billion dollars in diode, the number that caught my ear was the 20 to 25 partners that it takes to deploy a single IOT solution. So, anybody that's been in tech for a long time, when you see these complicated stack solutions, the SIs need to be here. It takes a long time to work through them, and integration is a big challenge. How do I get all of these pieces together? It's not something that I just tit buy off the shelf. It's not shrink wrap software. This is complicated solution. It is very fragmented in how we make them up. Very specific to the industry that we're building, so really fascinating stuff that's going on. But we are still very early in the life-cycle of IOT. Huge, huge, huge opportunities but big players like Microsoft, like Google, like Amazon are going to be here making sure that they're going to simplify that environment over time. Huge, you know Dave, what's the original forecast I think we did at Wiki Bon, was a 1.2 trillion dollar opportunity, which most of that, that was actually for the industrial Internet, which is not the commercial things that we think about all the time, when we talk about the home sensors and some of the things, some of the consumer stuff, but also the industrial here. >> Well, I think a couple of key points that you're making here. First of all, the market is absolutely enormous. It's almost impossible to size. I mean you're talking about a trillion dollars in sort of spending on hardware, software, services, virtually everything. But to your point, Stu. It's highly highly fragmented, virtually every industry. And a lot of different segmented technologies. But it's also important to point out this is the mashing together of operations technology, OT with Information Technology, IT, and those four leading companies IT is actually leaning in and embracing this notion of edge, computing, and IOT. Now, I wouldn't even say that IT and OT are Hatfield and McCoy's. They're not. They're parts of the organization that don't talk to each other. So they are cultural differences. They use different languages. They think differently. One is largely engineers who make machines work. The other IT guys, which we obviously know what they do, they keep information technology systems running. They deploy a lot of new IT projects. So, really different worlds that have to start coming together. Jim Heppelmann today I thought did a really good job in his keynote. He talked about innovation. Usually you start with okay we're here at point A, we want to go here. We want to get to point B. And we're going to take a straight line and have a bunch of linear steps and milestones to get there. He pointed out that innovation today is really sort of a non-linear process. And he talked about the combinatorial effects of really three things. Machines, or the physical, computers and humans. Machines are strong, they can do heavy lifting. Computers are fast, and they can do repetitive tasks very accurately. And humans are creative. And he talked about innovation in this new world coming together by combining those three aspects, finding new ways to attack problems, to solve nature's challenges. And bringing nature into that problem solving. He gave a lot of examples of how mother nature mimicking mother nature is now possible with AI and other technologies. Pretty cool. >> Yeah, absolutely Dave. I'm sure we'll be talking a lot today about the fourth Industrial Revolution. A lot of discussion as to what jobs are Robots going to take. I look around the show floor here and there's a lot of cool robotics going on. But as Eric Manou said and Aaron McAfee, the folks from MIT that we've interviewed a couple of times talked about the second machine age. Really the marring of people and machines that are going to be powerful. And absolutely Jim Heppelmann talked about that a lot. It's humans, it's physical, and it's digital. Putting those together and then, the other thing that he talked about is we're talking a lot about voice lightly with all of these assistants, but, you're really limited as to how much input and how fast you can take information in from an auditory standpoint. I mean, I know that I listen to podcasts at 1.5 to 2 X to try to get more information in faster, but it is sight that we're going to get 80 percent of the information in, and therefore, it's the VR and AR that are huge opportunities. I know when I've been talking to some of the large manufacturers, what they used to have in written documentations and then they went digital with, they're now getting you inside to be able to configure the systems with the hollow lens, or some of the AR headsets, the VR headsets, to be able to play with that. So, we're really early but excited to see where this technology has come so far. >> Yeah, we're seeing a lot of practical applications of VR and AR. We go to a lot of these shows and they'll have the demos, and you go, okay, what will I do with this? Well, you're really seeing here at LiveWorx some of the things you actually can do. One good example I thought they did was BEA Systems up in Nashua, actually showing the folks that are doing the manufacturing, little tutorial in how to do that. We're going to see some surgical examples today. Remote surgery. There are thousands, literally thousands of examples. In the time we have remaining, I want to just do the rundown on PTC. Cause it really is quite an amazing transformation story. You're talking about a company with 1.1 billion dollars in revenue. Their aspiration is by 2021 to be a two billion dollar company. They're growing at ten percent a year, their software business has grown at 12 to 15 percent a year. 15 percent is that annual recurring revenue. So this is an example of a company that has successfully shifted from that perpetual model to that recurring model. They got 200 million dollars this year in free cash flow. Their stock, as I said, is up 50 percent this year. They got 350 million dollars in cash, but they just got a billion dollar investment from Rockwell Automation that took about 8.4 percent of the company given them an implied evaluation of almost 11 billion dollars, which has got a little uplift from the stock market there. They're selling a lot of seven figure deals. Really, the core is manufacturing product life-cycle management, CAD. That's the stuff that we know PTC well from. And I talked about some of those acquisitions that they made. They sell products like Creo, which is their 3D CAD software. I think they're on Rev five or six by now. So they've taken their sort of legacy software and sort of updated that for the digital world. >> Yep ,it is version five that they were just announced today. Talking about really the 3D effort they're doing there. Some partnerships around it, and like every other software Dave that we've been hearing about AI is getting infused in here because with so many devices and so much data, we really need the machines to help us process that and do things that humans can't keep up with. >> And the ecosystem's grown. This is a complicated marketplace. If you look at the Gartner Magic Quadrant, there is no leader, even though PTC is the leader. But there is no leader. They're all sort of in the lower right, PTC is up highest. GE is interestingly is not in there, because it doesn't have an on prem solution. I don't know why GE doesn't have an on prem solution. And I don't know why they're not in there. >> Is there another version of the magic quadrant that includes the Amazons and GEs of the world? >> I don't know. So that's kind of interesting. We'll try to unpack that as we go on here. PTC announced today a relationship with a company called Ansys, which does simulation software. Normally, simulation comes sort of after the design. They're bringing those two worlds together. The CAD design piece and the simulation piece, sort of closer to real time. So, there's a lot of stuff going on. As you said, it's data, analytics, edge computing. It's cloud, it's on prim, it's block chain for security. We haven't talked about security. A lot bigger threat metrix, so block chain comes into play. >> Yeah, Dave. I saw a great joke. Do you realize that the S in IOT stands for security? Did you know that? (laughing) Oh wait, there's no S in IOT. Well, that's the point. >> All right, good. So Stu and I will be here all day today. This is actually a three day conference. The Cube will only be there for day one. Keep right there everybody. And we'll be right back. You're watching The Cube, Live from Liveworx in Boston. (upbeat music)
SUMMARY :
Brought to you by PTC. kind of hit the doldrums kind of the legacy of PTC. We talk about that all the time. the SIs need to be here. And he talked about the I mean, I know that I listen to podcasts that are doing the manufacturing, Talking about really the 3D And the ecosystem's grown. sort of after the design. Well, that's the point. So Stu and I will be here all day today.
SENTIMENT ANALYSIS :
ENTITIES
Entity | Category | Confidence |
---|---|---|
Jim Heppelmann | PERSON | 0.99+ |
Dave Vellante | PERSON | 0.99+ |
Eric Manou | PERSON | 0.99+ |
Amazon | ORGANIZATION | 0.99+ |
Aaron McAfee | PERSON | 0.99+ |
Rockwell Automation | ORGANIZATION | 0.99+ |
20 | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
Microsoft | ORGANIZATION | 0.99+ |
Dave | PERSON | 0.99+ |
ORGANIZATION | 0.99+ | |
80 percent | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
Stu | PERSON | 0.99+ |
10 years | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
12 years | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
350 million dollars | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
Cold Light | ORGANIZATION | 0.99+ |
Ansys | ORGANIZATION | 0.99+ |
1.1 billion dollars | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
15 years | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
15 percent | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
Needham | LOCATION | 0.99+ |
Infosys | ORGANIZATION | 0.99+ |
12 | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
2010 | DATE | 0.99+ |
Deloitte | ORGANIZATION | 0.99+ |
Hatfield | ORGANIZATION | 0.99+ |
200 million dollars | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
10 | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
thousands | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
LiveWorx | ORGANIZATION | 0.99+ |
2021 | DATE | 0.99+ |
6,000 people | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
Stu Miniman | PERSON | 0.99+ |
Amazons | ORGANIZATION | 0.99+ |
five billion dollars | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
Kept Ware | ORGANIZATION | 0.99+ |
PTC | ORGANIZATION | 0.99+ |
two billion dollar | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
The Cube | TITLE | 0.99+ |
1.2 trillion dollar | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
GE | ORGANIZATION | 0.99+ |
Boston | LOCATION | 0.99+ |
Accenture | ORGANIZATION | 0.99+ |
today | DATE | 0.99+ |
Seaport | LOCATION | 0.99+ |
BEA Systems | ORGANIZATION | 0.99+ |
early 2000s | DATE | 0.99+ |
about 8.4 percent | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
GEs | ORGANIZATION | 0.99+ |
three day | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
1.5 | QUANTITY | 0.99+ |
25 partners | QUANTITY | 0.98+ |
this year | DATE | 0.98+ |
three aspects | QUANTITY | 0.98+ |
late 90s | DATE | 0.98+ |
Nashua | LOCATION | 0.98+ |
50 percent | QUANTITY | 0.98+ |
two worlds | QUANTITY | 0.97+ |
Parametric Technologies | ORGANIZATION | 0.97+ |
almost 11 billion dollars | QUANTITY | 0.97+ |
2 X | QUANTITY | 0.97+ |
Boston Massachusetts | LOCATION | 0.97+ |
Gartner | ORGANIZATION | 0.97+ |
First | QUANTITY | 0.96+ |
Boston Convention Center | LOCATION | 0.96+ |