Jerry Chen, Greylock | AWS re:Invent 2018
>> Live from Las Vegas, it's theCUBE! Covering AWS re:Invent 2018. Brought to you by Amazon web services, Intel, and their ecosystem partners. >> Hey welcome back everyone, here at AWS re:Invent 2018, their sixth year of theCUBE coverage, two sets wall-to-wall coverage here, two more sets in other locations, getting all the content, bringing it in, ingesting it into our video cloud service on AWS, ah, Dave, >> Lot of content, John. >> Lot of people don't know that we have that video cloud service, but we're going to have a lot of fun, ton of content, ton of stories, and a special analyst segment, Jerry Chen, guest here today, CUBE alumni, famous Venture Capitalist and Greylock partners, partnering with Reid Hoffman, the founder of LinkedIn, great set of partners at Greylock , great firm, tier one, doing a lot of great deals, Rockset, recent one. >> Thanks, yeah. >> You're also, on the record, these six years ago, calling the shot of Babe Ruth predicting the future. You've got a good handle on, you've got VM where you have the cloud business, now you're making investments, you're seeing a lot of stuff on the landscape, certainly, as a Venture Capitalist, you're funding projects, what better time now of innovation to actually put money to work, to hit market share, and then the big guys are getting bigger, they're creating more robust platforms, game is changing big-time, want to get your perspective, Dave, so, Jerry, what's your take on the announcements, slew of announcements, which ones jumped out at you? >> I think there's kind of two or three areas, there's definitely the hybrid cloud story with the Outpost, there's a bunch of stuff around ML and AI services, and a bunch of stuff on data and storage, and for me I think what they're doing around the ML services, the prediction, the personalization, the text OCR, what Amazon's doing at that app layer is now creating AI building blocks for modern application, so you want to do forecasts, you want to do personalization, you want to do text analysis, you have a simple API to basically build these modern apowered apps, he's doing to the app infrastructure layer what he's done to the cloud infrastructure layer, by deconstructing these services. >> And API is also the center, that's what web services are, so question for you is, do you see that the core cloud players, Aussie, Amazon, Bigly, Google, Microsoft, others, it's a winner take most, you called that six years ago, and that's true, but as they grow there's going to be now a new cloudification going on for business apps, new entrepreneurs coming to market, who's vulnerable, who wins, who loses, as this evolution continues because it's going to enable a lot of opportunity. >> Yeah, well I mean Amazon in cloud in general is going to create a lot of winners and losers, like you said, so I think you have a shift of dollars from on prem and old legacy vendors, databay storage, compute, to the cloud, so I think there's a shift of dollars, there are winner and losers, but I think what's going to happen is, with all these services around AI, ML, and Cloud as a distribution model, a lot of applications are going to be rebuilt. So I think that the entire application stack from all the big SaaS players to small SaaS companies, you're going to see this kind of a long tale of new SaaS applications being built on top of the Cloud that you didn't see in the past. >> And the ability to get to markets faster, so the question I have for you is, if you're an entrepreneur out there, looking for funding and I can to market quicker, what's the playbook, and two, Jassie talked on stage about a new persona, a new kind of developer, one that can rethink and reimagine and reinvent something that someone else has already done, so if you're an entrepreneur, you got to think to take someone else's territory, so how does an entrepreneur go out and identify whose lunch to eat, so if I want to take down a company, I got to have a strategy, how do I use the cloud to >> I think it's always a combination when a founder in a thing attacks your market it's a combination of where are the dollars, where can I create some advantage IP or advantage angle, and thirdly where do I have a distribution advantage, how can I actually get my product in the hands of the users differently? And so I think those are the three things, you find intersection of a great market, you have a unique angle, and you have a unique route to market, then you have a powerful story. So, you think about cloud changing the game, think about the mobile app you can consist of, for consumers, that is also a new platform, a new distribution method, the mobile app stores, and so what happened, you had a new category of developers, mode developers, creating this long tale, a thousand thousand apps, for everything from groceries to cars to your Fantasy Football score. So I think you're going to see distribution in the cloud, making it easy to get your apps out there, going to see a bunch of new markets open up, because we're seeing verticals like healthcare, construction, financial services, that didn't have special apps beforehand, be disrupted with technology. Autodesk just bought PlanGrid for 800 million dollars, I mean that's unheard of, construction software company. So you can see a bunch of new inverdics like that be opened up, and then I think with this cloud technology, with compute storage network becomes free and you have this AI layer on top of it, you can power these new applications using AI, that I think is pretty damn exciting. >> Yes, you described this sort of, we went from client server to the cloud, brought a whole bunch of new app providers, obviously Salesforce was there but Workday, Service Now, what you described is a set of composeable digital services running on top of a cloud, so that's ripe for disruption, so do I have to own my own data centers if I'm big SaaS company, what happens to those big guys? >> I don't think you have to, well, you don't have to own your own data center as a company, but you could if you wanted to, right, so at some point in scale, a lot of big players build their own data centers, like AirBNB is on Amazon, but Dropbox built their own storage on Amazon early, then their own data center later. Uber has their own data center, right, so you can argue that at some point of scale it makes sense to build your own, so you don't need to be on Amazon or Google as your start, but it does give you a head start. Now the question is, in the future, can you build a SaaS application entirely on Amazon, Azure, or Google, without any custom code, right, can you hide read write call private SaaS, like a single instance of my SaaS application for you, John, or for you, Dave, that's your data, your workflow, your information personalized for you, so instead of this multi-tenet CRM system like Salesforce, I have a custom CRM system just for Dave, just for Jeff, just for Jerry, just for theCUBE, right? >> I think yes, for that, I think that's definitely a trend I would see happening. >> It's what Infor is trying to do, right, Charles Phillips says "Friends don't let friends "build data centers," but they've still got a big loss in legacy there, but it's an interesting model, focused on verticals or microverticals or like the healthcare example that you're giving, and lot of potential for something. >> Well here's why I think I like this because, I think, and I said this before in theCUBE maybe it's not the best way to say it is that, if you look at the benefit of AI, data-driven, the quality of the data and the power of the compute has to be there. AI will work well with all that stuff, but it's also specialized around the application's use case. So you have specialism around the application, but you don't have to build a full stack to do that, you could use a horizontally scalable cloud distribution system in your word, and then only create custom unique workloads for the app, where machine learning's involved, and AI, that's unique to the app, that's differentiation, that could be the business model, or the utility. So, multitenancy could exist in theory, at the scalable level, but unique at the top of the level so yes I would say I'd want that hosted in the most customized, agile, flexible way. So I would argue that that's the scenario. >> I think that's the future, I mean one of my, I think you were saying, Dave, friends don't let friends build data centers anymore, it's you probably don't need to build a data center anymore because you can actually build your own application on top of one of the two or three large cloud providers. So it's interesting to see what happens the next three, four years, we're going to see kind of a thousand flowers bloom of different apps, not everyone's going to make it, not everyone's going to be a huge Salesforce-like outcome, but there'll be a bunch of applications out there. >> And the IoT stuff is interesting to me, so observing a lot of what the IT guys are doing, it reminds me of people trying to make the Windows mobile phone, they're just trying to force IT standards down the IoT, what I've seen from AWS today is more of a bottoms up approach, build applications for operations technology people, which I think is the right way to go, what do you see in an IoT, IoT apps, what's the formula there? >> I think what Amazon announced today with their time series database, right, their Timestream prediction engine, plus their Outpost offering with the Vmware themselves, you're really seeing a combination of IoT and Edge, right, it's the whole idea is, one, there's a bunch of use cases for time series in IoT, because sentry data, cameras, self-driving cars, drones, et cetera, there's more data coming at you, it adds all of that. >> And Splunk has proven that big-time. >> Correct, Splunk's let 18 billion Marcap company, all on time series data, but number two, what's happening is, it's not necessarily centralized data, right, it's happening at the edge, your self-driving car, your cell phone, et cetera, so Outpost is really a way for Amazon to get closer to the edge, by pushing their compute towards your data center, towards remote office, branch office, and get closer to where the data is, so I think that'll be super interesting. >> Well the Elastic Inference engine is critical, now we got elasticity around inference, and then they got the chip set that worked Inferentia, that can work with the elastic service. That's a powerful combination. >> The AI plumbing war between Google and TetraFlow as technology there's like PyTorch, Google TPUs versus what Amazon is doing with inference chips today, versus what I'm sure Microsoft and else is doing, is fascinating to watch in terms of how you had a kind of a Intel Nvidia duopoly for a long time, and now you have Intel, Nvidia, and then everyone from Amazon, Google, Microsoft doing their own soul again, it's pretty fascinating to watch. >> What was the stat, he said 85% of the TensorFlow, cloud TensorFlow's running on AWS? >> Makes a lot of sense, I think he said Aurora's customers logoslide doubled, but let's break down real quick, to end the segment with the key areas that we see going on, at least my perspective, I want to get your reaction. Storage, major disruption, he emphasized a lot of that in the keynote, spent a lot of time on stores, actually I think more than EC2 if you look at it, two, databases, database war, storage rate configuration, and a holy trinity of networking, storage, and compute, that's evolving, databases, SageMaker, machine learning. All there and then over the top, yesterday's announcement of satellite as a service, that essentially kills the edge of the network, cause there is no edge if we have space satellites shooting connectivity to any device the world is now, there's no more edge, it's everywhere. So, your thoughts, those areas. Which one pops out as the most surprising or most relevant? >> I think it's consistent Amazon strategy, on the lowest layer they're trying to draw the cost to zero, so on storage, cheaper cheaper cheaper, they're driving the bottom layer to zero to get all your data. I think the second thing, the database layer, it makes sense, it's not open-source, right, time scale or time series, it's not, Timestream's not their open-source database, it's their own, so open-source, low cost, the lowest layer, their database stuff is mostly their own, Aurora, Dynamo, Timestream, right, because there's some level lock in there, which I think customers are worried about, so that's clever, it's not by accident, that's all proprietary, and then ML Services, on top of that, that's all cares with developers, and it's API locking, so clearly low-cost open-source for the bottom, proprietary data services that they're trying to own, and then API's on top of it. And so the higher up in the stack, the more and more Amazon, you look, the more and more Amazon you have to adopt as kind of a lock in stack, so it's a brilliant strategy the guys have been executing for the past six, seven years as you guys have seen firsthand, I think the most exciting thing, and the most shocking thing to me is this move towards this battle for the AI front, this ML AI front, I think we saw ML's the new sequel, right, that's the new war, right, against Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. >> And that's the future of applications, cause this is >> But you're right on, it's a knife fight for the data, and then you layer on machine intelligence on top of that, and you get cloud scale, and that's the innovation engine for the next 10 years. >> Alright Jerry Chen just unpacked the State of the Union of cloud, of course as an investor I got to ask the final question, how are you investing to take advantage of this wave, versus being on the wrong side of history? >> I have framers for everything, there's a framer on how to attack the cloud vendors, and so I'm looking at a couple things, one, a seams in between the clouds, right, or in between services, because they can't do everything well, and there were kind of these large continents, Amazon, Google, Azure, so I'm looking for seams between the three of them, I'm looking for two, deep areas of IP that they're not going into that you actually have proprietary tap, and then verticals of data, like source of the data, or workflows that these guys aren't great, and then finally kind of cross-data cross-cloud solution, so, something that gives you the ability to run on prem, off prem, Microsoft, Google, Azure. >> Yeah, fill in the white spaces, there are big white spaces, and then hope that could develop into, good. Jerry Chen, partner in Greylock , partners formerly Vmware part of the V Mafia, friend of theCUBE, great guest analysis here, with Dave Vellante and John Furrier, thanks for watching us, stay with us, more live coverage, day two of three days of wall-to-wall coverage at re:Invent, 52,000 people, the whole industry's here, you can see the formations, we're getting all of the data, we're bringing it to you, stay with us.
SUMMARY :
Brought to you by Amazon web services, Lot of people don't know that we have that video cloud You're also, on the record, these six years ago, you have a simple API to basically build these modern And API is also the center, that's what web services are, so I think you have a shift of dollars from on prem and so what happened, you had a new category I don't think you have to, well, I think yes, for that, I think that's or like the healthcare example that you're giving, and the power of the compute has to be there. anymore because you can actually build your own of IoT and Edge, right, it's the whole idea is, it's happening at the edge, your self-driving car, Well the Elastic Inference engine is critical, for a long time, and now you have Intel, Nvidia, and then actually I think more than EC2 if you look at it, the more and more Amazon you have to adopt and then you layer on machine intelligence on top of that, that you actually have proprietary tap, you can see the formations, we're getting all of the data,
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