Editorial Analysis of CryptoCurrenty Blockchain at Polycon 2018
(energetic electronic music) >> Narrator: Live, from Nassau, in the Bahamas it's theCUBE covering POLYCON18. Brought to you by, Polymath. (attendees chatting indistinctly) >> Crew Member: So, go, we're live. >> Okay, we're live, welcome back! This is day two of our exclusive CUBE coverage of the Bahamas' POLYCON18 It's a security token conference. It's where the world of cryptocurrency, Blockchain, Bitcoin and everything comes together around powering a new value economy. A new kind of decentralized internet. This is the biggest wave that I've seen in my lifetime. It's really bigger than all the other waves, combined. I'm here with Dave Vellante. We have two days of wall-to-wall coverage. And the bottom line is, Dave, we are seeing historic, massive, wealth creation. We're seeing crypto-billionaires here. I mean, people are new money, they're old money and a massive new landscape is emerging. And the tell-sign of this is, institutional money is coming in, real professionals are coming in. It's moving from a culture of Burning Man and cult of the personalities to real industry formation. You see that with companies coming out with real commercial opportunities. You're seeing ecosystems developing, and you're starting to see biz dev. And it's been probably at least a couple decades since I've gone to a conference where this kind of computer-industry movement is happening where the players are doing deals in the hallways. You're hearing people having substantive conversations around how they can work together to create tons of value. This is a dynamic that is absolutely happening. And we're seeing a lot of wealth involved, from people who have made tons of money, billions of dollars in Bitcoin, to kind of, new migration coming into the sector from Wall Street, from other global markets. We're seeing a sea change of democratizing, with an open-source ethos. To me, this is something that we've never seen before. It has all the elements of the modernization, business model modernizations, technology modernizations, real, disruptive, enabling, technology at the heart of it. And some people ask questions like, "How do we make money?" Bottom line is, there is money being made. How and with who, is the real question. So Dave, day one's over. We were out 'til one in the morning last night, working the hallways, having great conversations. I probably talked to at least six whales as they're called, billionaires in the business, and the vibe is the same. We're here to play the long game, we love this market. There's a culture of ethos, of partnership, and openness, and unwritten rules, and tons of activity. Sure there's bad actors! But there's a lot of great players here, and they are starting to crack down on behavior that's not right, because this is a funding dynamic. It's a funding growth companies dynamic. It's a liquidity dynamic. All these things, classic, business model modernization, happening with a massive wave, your take. >> So, let's share with our audience. Well, first of all, this is an investor conference. It's the first conference built around the topic of security tokens. And we can, maybe, explain that in a moment. But, I have, John, I have never seen at an investor conference, which I guess this is, but it's more than that, Blockchain, technology, etc. But, I've never seen such diversity. Like you said, there's new money, there's old money. There's tons of millennials. 100% of the people here are doing deals. >> Yeah. >> And the conversations in the hall, it's all about ICO's, security tokens, utility tokens, protocols, white papers, business models. So, a lot of diversity. Some super smart millennials. Developers that really understand this stuff, and a lot of money. >> And, more women in tech here than I had thought. >> Yeah, I think it's slightly higher proportion. But, you're also seeing, just really interesting, you're seeing VC's who aren't going to sit back and wait and get disintermediated. You're seeing developers who have made a ton of dough, that are now sprinkling the wealth. You're seeing private equity, you're seeing hedge funds. You're seeing, like I say, traditional VC's, new types of VC's. And, very importantly, you're seeing a major diversity in cultural impact, nationalities. And this is a heavily Canadian show, because the organizers of POLYCON, the folks who started Ethereum. But, a lot of diversity in terms of where people are coming from. It's not just U.S. based, you know, MBA's-- >> Silicon Valley. >> Yeah. >> I mean, the game's changing. The other thing I observed is, we're seeing validation of my premise, a couple weeks ago when I was in Washington D.C. with Theresa Carlson, the most powerful woman in D.C. She's also the chief, and head of, Amazon Web Services' global public sector. Is that the global national stage, the nation building, the digital nation transformation, is part of it. Two, the validation that societal change and entrepreneurship, that was used to be involved in non-profits that never went anywhere, you know, these philanthropy projects. Social entrepreneurship, or societal entrepreneurship, as I call it, is absolutely real. And, in this culture, you're seeing people with Bitcoin, and crypto-currencies funding mission based activities. Now, the younger demographics, I think, lean towards that. That's pretty clear in our reporting and our data. That the younger generation wants to work for companies and communities that have an ethos of mission base. But, mission base is not about changing the world, it's about saving the world. And, this is real, you're looking at Blockchain ventures that track water supply. You're looking at Blockchain ventures that track, you know, food supply. You're looking at solving world hunger kind of challenges. And I think the tell here is, Blockchain is used to identify markets and incumbents, or opportunities where there's idle resource. So, whether that's using compute in a P2P way or solving the world hunger problem, anywhere there's an opportunity to be efficient, Blockchain is being used to solve those problems. And, the creative talent is the technology providers. This is a completely new dynamic. One that Silicon Valley pays lip service to. 'Cause they don't actually do societal change. They say they do, but, they build apps and platforms. So, I think this is a nuanced, but an important game changer for the industry, and the global economy and global entrepreneurship, because you can do things now that can be global impact based investing, and technology investing, in one shot. So, you get a double down effect for change. This is not just cloud computing, have more power, faster, better apps, more monetization. Sure, but now you have over the top, impact to users. The community dynamic, and the societal change is very, very real. That's a big driver of this ecosystem in terms of market selection, human capital, technology, leverage, and now financial. So, it is pretty intoxicating here. People are geared up, they're energized, and it's just pretty phenomenal. >> So, many people in our audience are still probably saying, I just don't get it. So, let's go back to 2008 when Satoshi, whoever that person was, writes this, I think it was an eight page white paper. And, remember what 2008 was like, banks were blowing up, too big to fail, the economic system was melting down, and guess who paid for it? The taxpayers. So, some libertarian minded people said, screw that, we're going to change the world. We're going to create a virtual currency and we're going to take back what the government is taking from us. Essentially, okay. So, that started people like, what, I don't really get it. That has formed a whole new, and people often say, it's not about Bitcoin, it's about Blockchain. Blockchain is building out this whole new internet. And we've talked about that all week. But, what you're seeing now is this concept of a value store a virtual value store, and people leveraging that in so many different ways to build out this new internet. And, they're building protocols, they're building apps, they're building new capabilities that we haven't seen before. That brings state to the internet, a state of communications. Now, let's talk about the investor profiles that we see here. I want to start with developers. So, developers built the internet, and most of them didn't really get paid huge money. Here, many of the developers are like multi, multi-millionaires flying in on private jets. Okay, so why? Because they've developed a new token that they, basically, invested in with their sweat and their money, and the price has gone through the roof. Bitcoin, Ethereum, etc., VC's. VC's, you know, they elbowed out, well they're elbowing their way back in. Private equity, hedge funds, big money. And there's two paths there, one is, guys that read white papers, real hard core technical guys who say, I'm going to invest in just this infrastructure token, utility token. Other guys who say, You know what, I've got big money, I don't really understand the technology, but, I'm going to sprinkle my money around and try to get a big hit. You got angels, you got entrepreneurs, you got superstars that have become billionaires, that are mission based. All these, and here's the thing John, and I want you to sort of explain this to the audience. You have these investor ecosystems forming. It's like the PayPal Mafia, and they're basically buying up all the tokens early, elbowing other people out. You know, one investor told us, We're fighting steel with steel. Steel beats steel, you have to form, it's like Survivor Baha Mar, right? And they're forming groups, and they're eyeing each other, attacking opportunities, elbowing each out, and it's really interesting. >> I mean, it's happening, big time. And, this is healthy, I think, in my mind. Emerging ecosystems have this behavior. The early days of Silicon Valley was very much the same. And it became very much war, now in Silicon Valley. See, people don't syndicate deals as much as they used to. Some are and some aren't, but the notion of teamwork has always been part of Silicon Valley. The old saying is, venture capital is a team sport. That is very much what's going on here. Now, they team up because they have to, but, steel on steel implies art of war. You know, we're going to take more allocations down. That's because the new pro persona of the investor, Dave, is the billionaire developer who captured value from the technology that they built, not someone else, not some central organization, they're the players. Developers, and or the actors who were making money in the early days of Bitcoin, cryptocurrency and Blockchain actually are also starting funds themselves. So, that is a new dynamic. We've never seen that before, where you see a wealthy developer become rich and then also start investing at the same time. You have a smarter investor there, but they're doing it in packs and herds. You have a tribe mentality and people are starting to recognize that, okay, this group here loves Burning Man, this group here is more commercial oriented, this group here, like Polychain is much more technical, and BlockTower's much more Goldman Sachs like. So, you're starting to see the formation of categorical roles in the ecosystem. This is very healthy. Now, in the short term there's some jockeying, right? So, you're starting to see people syndicate together. You buy my coin, I'll buy your coin. So, there's a healthy, robust equilibrium going on where the market of insiders is very much the story. The insiders of this industry are the players. They are the ones, not just building the technology, they're funding technology, they're also recruiting, the talent issue, human capital role, mission based. These are all new dynamics. This is going to be a hard nut to crack if you're an incumbent, venture capitalist, or hedge fund, trying to walk into this ecosystem, throw your weight around and compete on a frontal basis, money for money, steel on steel, if you don't play by the rules of engagement that's emerging. Such as, open source communities, unwritten rules, certain kinds of syndications, eliminating bad behavior. This is a dynamic that's real, and you'll either win or lose if you're an investor, win or lose if you're an entrepreneur if you don't recognize that, kind of, big picture. So, you get down and dirty, you got to pull back and say, okay, what's going on, how do I engage? This is where the true money making is going on. >> That's great analysis, John. You mentioned the word dynamics several times. The other underpinning dynamic is, we are going to take control of our own destinies. I've heard things all week like, I might move out of the U.S. Ya know. (laughs) Do you have a bank account overseas? (laughs) >> Estonia's looking good right now. >> Right, because I'm going to move to a place that's more friendly to this kind of concept. And the U.S. is anti-competitive. And this is the ethos of this community, We are going to control our own destiny. And we're going to go live in places and work in places that are friendly. >> This, to me, is perfect capitalism at work. You know, some would criticize Barack Obama or other folks that might have more of a socialistic bent around having government do redistribution of wealth. This is actually an example where I see redistribution of wealth going on in a capitalistic way. Where the enabling technology, Blockchain, and or new business models with cryptocurrency, which is money, basically open sourced money, as Miko Matsumura would say, and that is the dynamic. That is actually creating real value and redistribution of wealth. And the premise of Blockchain and cryptocurrency, although Bill Tighe pointed out, investor, and leader in the area, money's a concept, right? A dollar's a dollar, it has money value because it's a concept. But, if you look at things like what we learned in business school, the value chain of a organization, value chain, Blockchain, cryptocurrency money, is that this redistribution of wealth is going on in context to redefining business, redefining how people work. And again, I said earlier, the human capital component is very much a real dynamic, it's not just machines taking over the world. Some poopoo AI, some poopoo all this technology, but, human capital, a big force in this market. And, it is a big issue, and you got to learn protocols. We're all developers. So, again, zoom out, opportunity is right there. I think I'm long on this sector. I'm long on this game because the actors are going to self organize, Steel on steel turns into handshakes, or, steel on steel in the right areas, eliminating bad actors. FCC makes some regulations, that's only in the U.S. What about the opportunities for digital nations to say, hey, we're going to be the Wall Street of crypto. There are country opportunities right now where whoever builds that system, taking in crypto, converting it to fiat, will win everything. It's like, I'm surprised no one's done that yet. >> Yeah >> This is coming. >> I can't tell you what the price of Bitcoin is in August, but I agree with you, longterm, there's no question in my mind that this is going to be a key contributor to the digital economy. The build out of the next internet. Remember the fundamentals, you got Bitcoin, it's essentially, you know, a virtual Fort Knox. You got Ethereum, which is a horizontal infrastructure that's much more easily programmed by developers. And then you've got a zillion other protocols and tokens. I want to talk about risk factors. Like what could blow this up, what have we heard? Tax exposure, all these people, all these Bitcoin millionaires and billionaires that think, I don't have to pay taxes, well, guess what? (laughs) You do have to pay taxes. And so, one theory is that's why the price has moderated lately, 'cause people are saying, Wow, it's like I exercised the option, but I don't have cash to pay my taxes. 'Cause we saw a pullback recently. Regulation's the other one we heard. Too much regulation could put some brakes on the momentum here, your thoughts. >> Talent, talent. >> Yep, skill sets, and developer talent, right? >> Yeah, well, the top talent, in the protocol area is going to be at a premium. This is a global issue, so, you know, the old days when cloud, old days, when cloud computing came around, full stack developers were all the rage. Now protocol developers are all the rage. So, if you're a full stack developer and a protocol developer, you can have a lot of leverage. So, the danger, in my opinion is the job hopping nature of some of these ICO's. Hey, I made a bunch of dough on this ICO, they paid me in Ether and or Bitcoin whatever, I'm off to the next one and make a couple million bucks there, and move on to the next one. And so the job hopping factor for top talent is an issue. We heard that loud and clear. The tax thing, I'm bullish on Bitcoin, post April 16th. I think, buy Bitcoin right now and look for it to pop in April. Because I think people are going to realize, Oh shit, I should have sold some and had a tax carry over. >> Well, be careful, be careful. They might have to sell more to meet their tax bill. They might be holding on for a little bit, but I don't know. >> File the extension. (laughs) But anyway, I love the opportun-- >> No, you owe your taxes on the date. Extension doesn't remove you from paying the taxes. >> Yeah, but the issue Dave, is, that what's a scam and what's not a scam? So, you know, if you ask Joe Six Pack on the street, throw crypto and Bitcoin, it's a scam. There's a lot of stuff going on. This industry is absolutely, acutely aware of that dynamic. The risk on the wealth creation opportunity. They know it, so they're creating mechanisms to kind of weed that out. You're seeing PR firms having internal, called, in baseball and in sports it's like, clubhouse issues. There's a clubhouse issue going on in this industry. And they're going to take it amongst themselves. And I think that is going to be the tell sign if this ecosystem succeeds or not. >> Do you think there's more scams, or less scams going on there? >> There'll be less scams because, obviously there's too much money to be made right now. >> Right, and in terms of the percentage of the activity that's going on, in my opinion, the smallest percentages is the scams. The challenge is, anyone could be a scam so you have to sort that out, you got to do-- >> Due diligence. >> As always, you got to do homework. >> Alright, well, day two Dave, we're going to drill into. We got a great line up of guests. We'll be talking to investors, entrepreneurs, some whales coming on, we're going to get their opinion on the future of this market. What's the liquidity, how do you get paid? Who's making the money? How is the value that's being created ultimately captured? And, who's going to get that value? It's theCUBE coverage, from the Bahamas, exclusive coverage of the cryptocurrency, tokenization, here at POLYCON18. We'll be right back. (electronic music)
SUMMARY :
Narrator: Live, from Nassau, in the Bahamas and cult of the personalities to real industry formation. 100% of the people here are doing deals. And the conversations in the hall, it's all about that are now sprinkling the wealth. Is that the global national stage, the nation building, Here, many of the developers are like Developers, and or the actors who were making money I might move out of the U.S. And the U.S. is anti-competitive. the actors are going to self organize, Remember the fundamentals, you got Bitcoin, in the protocol area is going to be at a premium. They might have to sell more to meet their tax bill. But anyway, I love the opportun-- No, you owe your taxes on the date. The risk on the wealth creation opportunity. there's too much money to be made right now. Right, and in terms of the percentage you got to do homework. What's the liquidity, how do you get paid?
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